Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 3, 2017

Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 5, 2016 - Tue. Jan. 14, 2020)

(Midatech Pharma plc)
MTP latest price $138.0050 (2.23%) ($131.5000 - $141.8750) on Fri. Mar. 3, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.76% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $138.0050(2.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MTP declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MTP declines -5.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MTP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(10%)    GDX(8%)    IPO(7%)    SIL(7%)    XME(5%)
Factors Impacting MTP price   MTP will decline at least -1.88% in a week (0% probabilities).
BNDX(-7%)    PCY(-6%)    SPLV(-5%)    XLV(-4%)    XLRE(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.88% (StdDev 3.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.9%

Resistance Level   $148.92
5 Day Moving Average   $139.5(-1.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $142.26(-2.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $148.92(-7.33%)
To recent high   -14.3%
To recent low   10.8%
Market Cap   $1.456b

$. MTP price fluctuates within 5.41% (three month std-dev: 3.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 42 Average positive next day return: 2.14%(55%) Average negative next day return: -1.51%(45%) Sample size 42 Average positive next three day return: 5.79%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -3.6%(36%) Sample size 42 Average positive next weekly return: 5.71%(74%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.56%(26%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170403

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_3_2017	144.12	148.92	142.26	139.5	138.5	135.87	138.01(2.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-54	-150	-39	-99	0	60%	-0.01	-58.2	3.76%	0	-1.4	37	INF
2	Mar_2_2017	144.14	150.06	143.39	139.8	140.38	137.57	135(-3.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-72	-130	-58	-112	0	60%	-0.04	-53.2	3.78%	0	-1.9	36	INF
3	Mar_1_2017	144.2	151.39	145.74	142	140.68	141.12	140(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-60	-10	-48	-96	0	60%	-0.06	-43.9	3.76%	0	-1.5	38	INF
4	Feb_28_2017	144.28	152.3	147	143.7	142.41	143.19	143.01(1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	13	10	37	-58	0	60%	-0.12	-36.3	3.74%	0	-1.3	40	INF
5	Feb_27_2017	144.45	152.96	148.4	143.1	142.94	140.25	141.5(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	-140	-30	-87	0	60%	-0.15	-41.8	3.77%	0	-1.7	40	INF

6	Feb_24_2017	144.67	153.76	150.11	145.5	143.27	141.63	139.5(-4.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-95	-130	-93	-99	0	60%	-0.17	-34.3	3.76%	0	-2.3	37	INF
7	Feb_23_2017	144.91	154.42	151.89	147.5	147.33	145.63	146.01(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-80	-8	-59	0	63%	-0.1	-30.4	3.75%	0	-1.6	39	INF
8	Feb_22_2017	145.05	154.71	153.1	150.1	148.45	144.9	148.5(6.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-78	-200	-78	-76	0	65%	-0.03	-21.8	3.74%	0	-1.3	40	INF
9	Feb_21_2017	145.1	154.89	153.98	150.9	150.93	149.03	140(-8.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-73	-90	-74	-71	0	63%	-0.21	-12.3	3.76%	0	-3.1	35	INF
10	Feb_17_2017	145.41	155.8	155.78	154.4	153.75	152	153.51(2.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-90	-22	-31	0	69%	-0.03	44.2	3.6%	0	-0.7	50	INF

11	Feb_16_2017	145.46	155.89	156.19	155.44	154.57	152.82	149.5(-5.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-55	-100	-60	-39	0	64%	-0.03	71.6	3.58%	0	-1.9	43	INF
12	Feb_15_2017	145.51	156.01	157.33	156.85	156.62	155.51	159(4.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-11	-50	-13	-3	0	72%	-0.03	115	3.6%	0	1	64	INF
13	Feb_14_2017	145.56	155.79	157.47	156.64	156.99	156.31	152.5(-3.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-20	-20	-26	0	0	70%	-0.08	94.7	3.75%	0	-0.9	57	INF
14	Feb_13_2017	145.67	155.49	158.03	157.54	157.51	157.74	157.5(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	6	10	0	22	0	70%	0.01	102.4	3.73%	0	0.5	65	INF
15	Feb_10_2017	145.65	154.37	157.85	157.34	157.66	157.68	158.73(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	10	14	26	0	70%	-0.03	51.6	3.76%	0	0.7	54	INF

16	Feb_9_2017	145.69	153.49	157.63	157.1	156.71	157.27	156.5(-0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-6	20	-13	16	0	70%	-0.03	41.1	3.77%	0	0.4	53	INF
17	Feb_8_2017	145.74	152.49	157.11	157.9	157.43	157.64	158(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	17	0	12	31	0	67%	-0.17	34.9	3.77%	0	0.7	63	INF
18	Feb_7_2017	145.99	152.27	156.42	158.5	158.17	156.15	157(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-9	-100	-18	19	0	67%	-0.16	48	3.82%	0	0.6	53	INF
19	Feb_6_2017	146.22	151.66	155.86	158.6	158.63	157.22	156.5(-0.63%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-26	-60	-40	16	0	67%	-0.12	56.4	3.86%	0	0.6	65	INF
20	Feb_3_2017	146.39	151.26	155.84	158.36	158.96	160.19	157.5(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	70	9	58	0	67%	-0.21	66.2	3.86%	0	0.8	75	INF

21	Feb_2_2017	146.7	150.77	155.58	158.16	158.17	160.05	160.51(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	58	80	48	88	0	67%	-0.25	76	3.87%	0	1.3	68	INF
22	Feb_1_2017	147.07	149.83	154.57	156.16	156.64	157.74	161(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	55	60	43	90	0	67%	0.1	80.1	3.88%	0	1.5	71	INF
23	Jan_31_2017	146.92	148.67	153.88	154.06	154.46	156.29	157.5(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	90	24	72	0	67%	-0.24	81.1	3.9%	0	1.2	52	INF
24	Jan_30_2017	147.28	147.41	152.67	152.76	153.21	155.54	155.31(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	47	120	38	72	0	67%	-0.25	82.5	3.91%	0	1.1	57	INF
25	Jan_27_2017	147.65	146.23	150.6	153	153	152.62	156.5(3.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	-20	27	56	0	67%		83	3.91%	0	1.4	55	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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