Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 31, 2016

Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 5, 2016 - Tue. Jan. 14, 2020)

(Midatech Pharma plc)
MTP latest price $202.5000 (-5.81%) ($190.5000 - $210.0000) on Wed. Aug. 31, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.3% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $202.5000(-5.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MTP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MTP advances 14.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MTP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
USO(4%)    GDXJ(3%)    TBT(3%)    UUP(3%)    XLE(2%)
Factors Impacting MTP price   MTP will decline at least -2.15% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-5%)    LQD(-5%)    EWP(-5%)    EWG(-5%)    VWO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.15% (StdDev 4.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $206.5(-1.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $199.59(1.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $174.92(15.77%)
To recent high   -8%
To recent low   50%
Market Cap   $2.137b

$. MTP price fluctuates within 16.13% (three month std-dev: 4.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.77%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.4%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 7.64%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -5.75%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 5.63%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.62%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_31_2016	182.4	174.92	199.59	206.5	207.76	209.19	202.5(-5.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	40	70	-11	194	0	63%	-0.24	68.3	4.3%	0	1	73	INF
2	Aug_30_2016	182.83	172.02	195.77	206.1	205.95	211.27	215(2.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	132	180	89	260	0	67%	-0.13	70	4.23%	0	1.5	79	INF
3	Aug_29_2016	183.07	167.97	190.79	203.73	202.45	206.34	209(-5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	131	120	81	280	0	67%	-0.13	71.5	4.25%	0	1.5	80	INF
4	Aug_26_2016	183.3	164.39	185.05	200.93	201.38	200.62	220(18.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	127	-20	72	292	0	70%	-0.05	72.1	4.21%	0	2.2	85	INF
5	Aug_25_2016	183.39	160.13	178.08	193.03	197.38	198.56	186(-7.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	61	110	-14	285	0	63%	-0.3	69.9	3.56%	0	1.1	78	INF

6	Aug_24_2016	183.95	157.55	174.74	191.43	193.67	202.15	200.5(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	235	340	184	388	0	69%	-0.19	68	3.45%	0	1.9	83	INF
7	Aug_23_2016	184.3	154.22	169.01	183.53	185.3	196.21	203.17(4.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	306	440	280	384	0	72%	-0.19	61.7	3.44%	0	2.4	80	INF
8	Aug_22_2016	184.66	150.66	162.32	175.82	174.45	185.19	195(8.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	259	410	239	319	0	71%	-0.12	58.3	3.59%	0	2.7	82	INF
9	Aug_19_2016	184.89	147.76	156.23	166.82	167.43	174.4	180.5(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	239	300	231	263	0	64%	-0.11	50.7	3.5%	0	2.5	74	INF
10	Aug_18_2016	185.1	145.71	151.86	161.02	160.68	163.71	178(10.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	114	130	94	172	0	54%	-0.07	47.5	3.51%	0	3	74	INF

11	Aug_17_2016	185.23	143.78	147.98	155.64	157.44	160.45	161(-2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	90	170	75	134	0	49%	-0.21	45.1	3.68%	0	2.2	71	INF
12	Aug_16_2016	185.62	142.76	146.24	152.15	154.46	157.64	164.6(9.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	112	190	104	134	0	49%	-0.07	37.5	3.68%	0	3.2	71	INF
13	Aug_15_2016	185.75	141.55	143.2	146.73	149.55	154.44	150(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	95	290	93	99	0	42%	-0.19	19.2	3.47%	0	1.7	65	INF
14	Aug_12_2016	186.11	141.37	142.1	143.86	145.34	151.28	151.5(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	137	320	149	100	0	42%	-0.13	2.4	3.47%	0	2.2	59	INF
15	Aug_11_2016	186.35	140.74	140.76	141.19	140.42	144.66	151.13(5.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	95	200	106	61	0	42%	-0.2	-19.8	3.47%	0	2.5	56	INF

16	Aug_10_2016	186.72	140.28	139.08	139.25	137.83	139.4	143.51(4.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	37	50	44	14	0	38%	-0.33	-38.7	3.43%	0	0.9	50	INF
17	Aug_9_2016	187.34	140.23	138.39	139.55	137.98	136.19	137.5(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-120	-11	-13	0	34%	-0.35	-39.9	3.37%	0	-0.8	44	INF
18	Aug_8_2016	187.99	140.59	138.28	139.15	139.28	136.25	135.65(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-59	-150	-64	-45	0	34%	-0.37	-36.3	3.37%	0	-1.3	41	INF
19	Aug_5_2016	188.69	141.25	138.84	139.91	140.26	139.77	138.16(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-20	-41	-38	0	40%	-0.37	-27	3.39%	0	-0.8	37	INF
20	Aug_4_2016	189.39	141.57	139.29	140.08	140.53	142.31	141.43(-2.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	23	100	32	-4	0	40%	-0.33	-22.6	3.51%	0	-0	53	INF

21	Aug_3_2016	190.02	141.64	139.38	138.8	139.95	140.76	145(7.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	33	70	46	-8	0	40%	-0.36	-36.4	3.51%	0	0.9	51	INF
22	Aug_2_2016	190.71	141.65	139.04	137.2	138.69	138.76	135.5(-2.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	40	-1	-41	0	33%	-0.45	-50.2	3.38%	0	-1.6	41	INF
23	Aug_1_2016	191.58	142.03	139.8	137.31	138.07	139.14	139.48(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	70	8	-39	0	33%	-0.46	-56.2	3.37%	0	-0.7	42	INF
24	Jul_29_2016	192.46	142.27	140.57	137.65	137.86	138.63	139(2.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	40	20	-33	0	33%	-0.47	-79.4	3.39%	0	-0.9	37	INF
25	Jul_28_2016	193.36	142.4	140.7	138.45	137.94	137.01	135(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-27	-60	-19	-49	0	33%		-115.3	3.38%	0	-2.1	40	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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