Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MTP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Aug. 30, 2016

Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 5, 2016 - Tue. Jan. 14, 2020)

(Midatech Pharma plc)
MTP latest price $215.0000 (2.87%) ($209.0000 - $221.0000) on Tue. Aug. 30, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.23% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $215.0000(2.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MTP advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MTP advances 15.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MTP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
USO(4%)    GDXJ(3%)    TBT(3%)    UUP(3%)    XLE(2%)
Factors Impacting MTP price   MTP will decline at least -2.115% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-5%)    LQD(-5%)    EWP(-5%)    EWG(-5%)    VWO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.115% (StdDev 4.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $206.1(4.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $195.77(9.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $172.02(24.99%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   59.3%
Market Cap   $2.269b

$. MTP price fluctuates within 16.49% (three month std-dev: 4.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 3.54%(55%) Average negative next day return: -2.91%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 8.7%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -7.54%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 9.37%(64%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.72%(36%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160930

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_30_2016	182.83	172.02	195.77	206.1	205.95	211.27	215(2.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	132	180	89	260	0	67%	-0.13	70	4.23%	0	1.5	79	0
2	Aug_29_2016	183.07	167.97	190.79	203.73	202.45	206.34	209(-5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	131	120	81	280	0	67%	-0.13	71.5	4.25%	0	1.5	80	0
3	Aug_26_2016	183.3	164.39	185.05	200.93	201.38	200.62	220(18.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	127	-20	72	292	0	70%	-0.05	72.1	4.21%	0	2.2	85	0
4	Aug_25_2016	183.39	160.13	178.08	193.03	197.38	198.56	186(-7.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	61	110	-14	285	0	63%	-0.3	69.9	3.56%	0	1.1	78	0
5	Aug_24_2016	183.95	157.55	174.74	191.43	193.67	202.15	200.5(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	235	340	184	388	0	69%	-0.19	68	3.45%	0	1.9	83	0

6	Aug_23_2016	184.3	154.22	169.01	183.53	185.3	196.21	203.17(4.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	306	440	280	384	0	72%	-0.19	61.7	3.44%	0	2.4	80	0
7	Aug_22_2016	184.66	150.66	162.32	175.82	174.45	185.19	195(8.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	259	410	239	319	0	71%	-0.12	58.3	3.59%	0	2.7	82	0
8	Aug_19_2016	184.89	147.76	156.23	166.82	167.43	174.4	180.5(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	239	300	231	263	0	64%	-0.11	50.7	3.5%	0	2.5	74	0
9	Aug_18_2016	185.1	145.71	151.86	161.02	160.68	163.71	178(10.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	114	130	94	172	0	54%	-0.07	47.5	3.51%	0	3	74	0
10	Aug_17_2016	185.23	143.78	147.98	155.64	157.44	160.45	161(-2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	90	170	75	134	0	49%	-0.21	45.1	3.68%	0	2.2	71	0

11	Aug_16_2016	185.62	142.76	146.24	152.15	154.46	157.64	164.6(9.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	112	190	104	134	0	49%	-0.07	37.5	3.68%	0	3.2	71	0
12	Aug_15_2016	185.75	141.55	143.2	146.73	149.55	154.44	150(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	95	290	93	99	0	42%	-0.19	19.2	3.47%	0	1.7	65	0
13	Aug_12_2016	186.11	141.37	142.1	143.86	145.34	151.28	151.5(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	137	320	149	100	0	42%	-0.13	2.4	3.47%	0	2.2	59	0
14	Aug_11_2016	186.35	140.74	140.76	141.19	140.42	144.66	151.13(5.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	95	200	106	61	0	42%	-0.2	-19.8	3.47%	0	2.5	56	0
15	Aug_10_2016	186.72	140.28	139.08	139.25	137.83	139.4	143.51(4.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	37	50	44	14	0	38%	-0.33	-38.7	3.43%	0	0.9	50	0

16	Aug_9_2016	187.34	140.23	138.39	139.55	137.98	136.19	137.5(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-120	-11	-13	0	34%	-0.35	-39.9	3.37%	0	-0.8	44	0
17	Aug_8_2016	187.99	140.59	138.28	139.15	139.28	136.25	135.65(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-59	-150	-64	-45	0	34%	-0.37	-36.3	3.37%	0	-1.3	41	0
18	Aug_5_2016	188.69	141.25	138.84	139.91	140.26	139.77	138.16(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-20	-41	-38	0	40%	-0.37	-27	3.39%	0	-0.8	37	0
19	Aug_4_2016	189.39	141.57	139.29	140.08	140.53	142.31	141.43(-2.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	23	100	32	-4	0	40%	-0.33	-22.6	3.51%	0	-0	53	0
20	Aug_3_2016	190.02	141.64	139.38	138.8	139.95	140.76	145(7.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	33	70	46	-8	0	40%	-0.36	-36.4	3.51%	0	0.9	51	0

21	Aug_2_2016	190.71	141.65	139.04	137.2	138.69	138.76	135.5(-2.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	40	-1	-41	0	33%	-0.45	-50.2	3.38%	0	-1.6	41	0
22	Aug_1_2016	191.58	142.03	139.8	137.31	138.07	139.14	139.48(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	70	8	-39	0	33%	-0.46	-56.2	3.37%	0	-0.7	42	0
23	Jul_29_2016	192.46	142.27	140.57	137.65	137.86	138.63	139(2.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	40	20	-33	0	33%	-0.47	-79.4	3.39%	0	-0.9	37	0
24	Jul_28_2016	193.36	142.4	140.7	138.45	137.94	137.01	135(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-27	-60	-19	-49	0	33%	-0.48	-115.3	3.38%	0	-2.1	40	0
25	Jul_27_2016	194.29	143.05	141.6	140.05	139.21	137.08	137(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-46	-130	-45	-49	0	33%		-147.7	3.39%	0	-1.9	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.