Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 5, 2016 - Tue. Jan. 14, 2020)

(Midatech Pharma plc)
MTP latest price $143.0550 (-3.34%) ($143.0550 - $145.5000) on Tue. Jul. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.69% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $143.0550(-3.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MTP declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MTP declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MTP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
USO(4%)    GDXJ(3%)    UUP(3%)    SIL(2%)    TBT(2%)
Factors Impacting MTP price   MTP will decline at least -1.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-5%)    EWP(-5%)    EWG(-5%)    VWO(-4%)    LQD(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.845% (StdDev 3.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $134.6(-5.91%)
Resistance Level   $149.43
5 Day Moving Average   $143.51(-0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $144.47(-0.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $149.43(-4.27%)
To recent high   -43.1%
To recent low   2.2%
Market Cap   $1.51b

$. MTP price fluctuates within 7.48% (three month std-dev: 3.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 2.69%(43%) Average negative next day return: -3.15%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 6.24%(14%) Average negative next three day return: -2.22%(86%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 2.87%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.8%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160819

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_19_2016	199.63	149.43	144.47	143.51	144.4	146.08	143.06(-3.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	11	100	15	0	0	47%	-0.43	-70.9	3.69%	0	-0.6	46	0
2	Jul_18_2016	200.5	151.09	144.45	143.9	144.36	144.88	148(5.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	30	41	10	0	47%	-0.4	-64.1	3.69%	0	-0.2	53	0
3	Jul_15_2016	201.31	152.41	144.02	144.1	142.86	142.73	140(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-30	-32	-39	0	43%	-0.31	-60.6	3.6%	0	-0.9	28	0
4	Jul_14_2016	201.94	154.17	144.21	145	144.36	143.85	143.5(0.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	-40	11	-48	0	38%	-0.43	-59.8	3.61%	0	-0.7	25	0
5	Jul_13_2016	202.81	155.93	144.59	144.9	144.55	142.99	143(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-80	-33	-88	0	36%	-0.45	-59	3.73%	0	-0.9	25	0

6	Jul_12_2016	203.73	157.8	144.99	145.5	145.28	144.87	145(-2.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-37	-20	-15	-104	0	36%	-0.43	-58.7	3.79%	0	-0.8	24	0
7	Jul_11_2016	204.62	159.67	145.03	145	145.34	146.11	149(3.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-20	40	15	-124	0	36%	-0.42	-60.3	3.81%	0	-0.7	25	0
8	Jul_8_2016	205.48	161.19	146.3	144.03	144.55	145.68	144.51(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-22	70	18	-140	0	36%	-0.44	-64.8	3.8%	0	-1	22	0
9	Jul_7_2016	206.38	163.17	148.9	143.35	144.47	144.56	143.02(-2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-18	30	24	-144	0	33%	-0.43	-67.4	3.81%	0	-1.2	21	0
10	Jul_6_2016	207.27	165.29	151.7	144.25	142.85	143.43	146(2.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-69	-0	-36	-168	0	33%	-0.43	-69.2	3.85%	0	-1.2	21	0

11	Jul_5_2016	208.17	167.48	154.58	144.45	145.76	144.38	142.51(-1.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-24	-40	18	-150	0	33%	-0.43	-68.8	3.85%	0	-1.5	15	0
12	Jul_1_2016	209.06	170.01	158.11	145.05	146.7	142.28	144.1(2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-103	-180	-77	-182	0	44%	-0.41	-67.9	4.02%	0	-1.6	15	0
13	Jun_30_2016	209.93	172.56	161.36	149.03	147.2	147.14	141.11(-4.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-117	-40	-99	-171	0	45%	-0.43	-65.3	4.19%	0	-2	16	0
14	Jun_29_2016	210.83	175.15	164.96	155.39	151.63	151.13	147.53(0.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-26	-100	2	-110	0	52%	-0.43	-63.6	4.19%	0	-1.9	17	0
15	Jun_28_2016	211.74	177.48	168.29	160.38	155.78	147.25	147.01(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-119	-470	-114	-133	0	52%	-0.41	-64	4.47%	0	-2.4	16	0

16	Jun_27_2016	212.61	179.66	171.88	166.28	162.21	152.13	145.5(-11.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.9	-191	-510	-204	-151	0	52%	-0.44	-66.5	4.48%	0	-3.1	12	0
17	Jun_24_2016	213.54	182.04	175.89	172.88	169.9	164.3	164(-5.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-127	-280	-134	-105	0	54%	-0.24	-69.2	4.29%	0	-2.3	16	0
18	Jun_23_2016	214.06	183.52	177.6	175.38	174.81	172.3	172.9(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-55	-110	-50	-71	0	53%	-0.2	-70.2	4.32%	0	-1.5	18	0
19	Jun_22_2016	214.49	184.79	178.76	176	176.45	175.5	172.5(-2.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-30	-32	-65	0	53%	-0.21	-66.1	4.43%	0	-1.7	26	0
20	Jun_21_2016	214.94	186.18	180.02	177.5	177.54	177.31	176.5(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-10	-11	-57	0	52%	-0.19	-77.7	4.43%	0	-1.3	27	0

21	Jun_20_2016	215.35	187.36	181.32	178.5	178.68	177.39	178.5(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	-50	-12	-53	0	52%	-0.19	-88.8	4.43%	0	-1.2	38	0
22	Jun_17_2016	215.75	187.69	182.66	179.5	179.49	177.77	176.5(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-41	-70	-35	-57	0	53%	-0.2	-119.9	4.43%	0	-1.5	33	0
23	Jun_16_2016	216.18	188.53	184.42	180.2	180.74	179.97	176(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-20	-24	-49	0	51%	-0.21	-152.4	4.44%	0	-1.8	30	0
24	Jun_15_2016	216.63	189.64	185.97	181.9	181.64	181.22	180(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-20	-10	-42	0	50%	-0.19	-183.9	4.47%	0	-1.5	28	0
25	Jun_14_2016	217.04	192.01	187.23	182.9	182.32	181.51	181.5(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-40	-21	-48	0	49%		-110.4	4.49%	0	-1	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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