Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 5, 2016 - Tue. Jan. 14, 2020)

(Midatech Pharma plc)
MTP latest price $144.5050 (1.04%) ($144.4500 - $144.5050) on Fri. Jul. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.8% (three month average)
RSI   22
Latest Price   $144.5050(1.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MTP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MTP declines -9.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MTP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
USO(4%)    GDXJ(3%)    UUP(3%)    SIL(2%)    TBT(2%)
Factors Impacting MTP price   MTP will decline at least -1.9% in a week (0% probabilities).
EWP(-5%)    EWG(-5%)    VWO(-4%)    UNG(-4%)    LQD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.9% (StdDev 3.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $128.46(-11.1%)
Resistance Level   $161.19
5 Day Moving Average   $144.03(0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $146.3(-1.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $161.19(-10.35%)
To recent high   -42.5%
To recent low   2.4%
Market Cap   $1.525b

$. MTP price fluctuates within 10.17% (three month std-dev: 3.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 2.43%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.38%(50%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 3.02%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -4.34%(40%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 7.41%(70%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.55%(30%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160808

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_8_2016	205.48	161.19	146.3	144.03	144.55	145.68	144.51(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-22	70	18	-140	0	36%	-0.44	-64.8	3.8%	0	-1	22	0
2	Jul_7_2016	206.38	163.17	148.9	143.35	144.47	144.56	143.02(-2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-18	30	24	-144	0	33%	-0.43	-67.4	3.81%	0	-1.2	21	0
3	Jul_6_2016	207.27	165.29	151.7	144.25	142.85	143.43	146(2.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-69	-0	-36	-168	0	33%	-0.43	-69.2	3.85%	0	-1.2	21	0
4	Jul_5_2016	208.17	167.48	154.58	144.45	145.76	144.38	142.51(-1.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-24	-40	18	-150	0	33%	-0.43	-68.8	3.85%	0	-1.5	15	0
5	Jul_1_2016	209.06	170.01	158.11	145.05	146.7	142.28	144.1(2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-103	-180	-77	-182	0	44%	-0.41	-67.9	4.02%	0	-1.6	15	0

6	Jun_30_2016	209.93	172.56	161.36	149.03	147.2	147.14	141.11(-4.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-117	-40	-99	-171	0	45%	-0.43	-65.3	4.19%	0	-2	16	0
7	Jun_29_2016	210.83	175.15	164.96	155.39	151.63	151.13	147.53(0.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-26	-100	2	-110	0	52%	-0.43	-63.6	4.19%	0	-1.9	17	0
8	Jun_28_2016	211.74	177.48	168.29	160.38	155.78	147.25	147.01(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-119	-470	-114	-133	0	52%	-0.41	-64	4.47%	0	-2.4	16	0
9	Jun_27_2016	212.61	179.66	171.88	166.28	162.21	152.13	145.5(-11.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.9	-191	-510	-204	-151	0	52%	-0.44	-66.5	4.48%	0	-3.1	12	0
10	Jun_24_2016	213.54	182.04	175.89	172.88	169.9	164.3	164(-5.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-127	-280	-134	-105	0	54%	-0.24	-69.2	4.29%	0	-2.3	16	0

11	Jun_23_2016	214.06	183.52	177.6	175.38	174.81	172.3	172.9(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-55	-110	-50	-71	0	53%	-0.2	-70.2	4.32%	0	-1.5	18	0
12	Jun_22_2016	214.49	184.79	178.76	176	176.45	175.5	172.5(-2.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-30	-32	-65	0	53%	-0.21	-66.1	4.43%	0	-1.7	26	0
13	Jun_21_2016	214.94	186.18	180.02	177.5	177.54	177.31	176.5(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-10	-11	-57	0	52%	-0.19	-77.7	4.43%	0	-1.3	27	0
14	Jun_20_2016	215.35	187.36	181.32	178.5	178.68	177.39	178.5(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	-50	-12	-53	0	52%	-0.19	-88.8	4.43%	0	-1.2	38	0
15	Jun_17_2016	215.75	187.69	182.66	179.5	179.49	177.77	176.5(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-41	-70	-35	-57	0	53%	-0.2	-119.9	4.43%	0	-1.5	33	0

16	Jun_16_2016	216.18	188.53	184.42	180.2	180.74	179.97	176(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-20	-24	-49	0	51%	-0.21	-152.4	4.44%	0	-1.8	30	0
17	Jun_15_2016	216.63	189.64	185.97	181.9	181.64	181.22	180(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-20	-10	-42	0	50%	-0.19	-183.9	4.47%	0	-1.5	28	0
18	Jun_14_2016	217.04	192.01	187.23	182.9	182.32	181.51	181.5(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-40	-21	-48	0	49%	-0.18	-110.4	4.49%	0	-1	27	0
19	Jun_13_2016	217.44	194.26	187.96	184.6	183.91	182.06	183.5(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-80	-29	-53	0	49%	-0.18	-89.8	4.49%	0	-0.8	29	0
20	Jun_10_2016	217.83	196.8	188.65	186.42	185.76	183.13	180(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-51	-110	-51	-51	0	49%	-0.2	-73.3	4.48%	0	-1.1	51	0

21	Jun_9_2016	218.27	199.5	189.97	189.32	188.02	185.75	184.5(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-44	-110	-46	-39	0	49%	-0.18	-63.3	4.48%	0	-0.9	45	0
22	Jun_8_2016	218.67	202.14	191.35	190.62	190.02	188.39	185(-2.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-70	-28	-26	0	49%	-0.18	-52.9	4.48%	0	-0.9	42	0
23	Jun_7_2016	219.07	204.42	192.89	192.12	190.49	190.29	190(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-30	-16	-34	0	49%	-0.16	-49.2	4.47%	0	-0.7	29	0
24	Jun_6_2016	219.42	206.59	193.9	191.74	190.7	191.65	192.6(-0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-4	20	9	-43	0	49%	-0.15	-46.8	4.46%	0	-0.7	31	0
25	Jun_3_2016	219.75	208.97	193.11	191.22	191.15	190.69	194.5(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	-20	11	-76	0	49%		-42.8	4.47%	0	-0.7	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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