Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 13, 2016

Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 5, 2016 - Tue. Jan. 14, 2020)

(Midatech Pharma plc)
MTP latest price $183.5000 (1.94%) ($180.0000 - $184.5000) on Mon. Jun. 13, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.49% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $183.5000(1.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MTP declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MTP declines -3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MTP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
USO(4%)    GDXJ(3%)    TBT(3%)    XLE(3%)    XOP(3%)
Factors Impacting MTP price   MTP will decline at least -2.245% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-5%)    VWO(-4%)    UNG(-4%)    EWP(-4%)    EWG(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.245% (StdDev 4.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $176.26(-3.95%)
Resistance Level   $194.26
5 Day Moving Average   $184.6(-0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $187.96(-2.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $194.26(-5.54%)
To recent high   -27%
To recent low   4.9%
Market Cap   $1.936b

$. MTP price fluctuates within 6.65% (three month std-dev: 4.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.36%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.44%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 5.74%(50%) Average negative next three day return: 0%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 6.19%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.99%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160713

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_13_2016	217.44	194.26	187.96	184.6	183.91	182.06	183.5(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-80	-29	-53	0	49%	-0.18	-89.8	4.49%	0	-0.8	29	INF
2	Jun_10_2016	217.83	196.8	188.65	186.42	185.76	183.13	180(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-51	-110	-51	-51	0	49%	-0.2	-73.3	4.48%	0	-1.1	51	INF
3	Jun_9_2016	218.27	199.5	189.97	189.32	188.02	185.75	184.5(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-44	-110	-46	-39	0	49%	-0.18	-63.3	4.48%	0	-0.9	45	INF
4	Jun_8_2016	218.67	202.14	191.35	190.62	190.02	188.39	185(-2.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-70	-28	-26	0	49%	-0.18	-52.9	4.48%	0	-0.9	42	INF
5	Jun_7_2016	219.07	204.42	192.89	192.12	190.49	190.29	190(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-30	-16	-34	0	49%	-0.16	-49.2	4.47%	0	-0.7	29	INF

6	Jun_6_2016	219.42	206.59	193.9	191.74	190.7	191.65	192.6(-0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-4	20	9	-43	0	49%	-0.15	-46.8	4.46%	0	-0.7	31	INF
7	Jun_3_2016	219.75	208.97	193.11	191.22	191.15	190.69	194.5(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	-20	11	-76	0	49%	-0.14	-42.8	4.47%	0	-0.7	29	INF
8	Jun_2_2016	220.06	211	192.9	190.82	191.19	189.75	191(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-52	-50	-29	-119	0	49%	-0.16	-42.9	4.47%	0	-0.9	28	INF
9	Jun_1_2016	220.42	212.58	193.53	192.32	191.94	191.62	192.5(2.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-58	-20	-31	-138	0	49%	-0.16	-46.7	4.47%	0	-1	27	INF
10	May_31_2016	220.78	214.33	196.98	193.92	194.31	192.62	188.1(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-44	-50	-16	-127	0	49%	-0.19	-51.1	4.53%	0	-1.3	30	INF

11	May_27_2016	221.2	216.35	200.87	196.4	196.5	192.25	190(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-63	-150	-39	-134	0	49%	-0.18	-55.7	4.45%	0	-1.4	30	INF
12	May_26_2016	221.6	218.33	205.41	196.4	196.44	196	192.5(-3.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-67	0	-43	-140	0	49%	-0.17	-63.3	4.49%	0	-1.4	28	INF
13	May_25_2016	221.98	220.57	209.64	195.1	195	200.75	198.5(-1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	18	200	57	-101	0	49%	-0.14	-62.8	4.47%	0	-1.2	34	INF
14	May_24_2016	222.3	222.77	213.6	194.9	193.03	196.87	200.5(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	29	110	68	-88	0	48%	-0.13	-56.4	4.51%	0	-1.2	44	INF
15	May_23_2016	222.59	225.31	216.7	200.9	193.56	189.25	200.5(9.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-89	-270	-76	-126	0	48%	-0.13	-39.4	4.51%	0	-1.4	42	INF

16	May_20_2016	222.89	227.61	220.17	206.6	203.32	189.19	183.5(-4.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-193	-530	-204	-160	0	45%	-0.25	-22.6	4.32%	0	-2.6	33	INF
17	May_19_2016	223.44	230.72	226.27	217.4	214.97	197.88	192.5(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-280	-590	-319	-164	0	46%	-0.2	5.3	4.31%	0	-2.8	35	INF
18	May_18_2016	223.88	232.51	230.95	226.12	225.58	217.44	197.5(-14.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-215	-260	-251	-108	0	46%	-0.16	32.1	4.3%	0	-3	34	INF
19	May_17_2016	224.25	233.55	233.81	234.52	234.78	232.07	230.5(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-80	-39	-6	0	52%	0.04	52	3.91%	0	-0.3	43	INF
20	May_16_2016	224.16	232.57	233.52	234.71	237.02	233.72	229(-3.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-70	-40	-20	0	52%	0.03	32.2	3.91%	0	-0.3	37	INF

21	May_13_2016	224.09	231.54	233.4	235.87	235.61	237.49	237.5(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-46	50	-50	-32	0	52%	0.09	20.2	3.89%	0	0.5	45	INF
22	May_12_2016	223.89	229.99	232.4	236.77	237.13	240.33	236.1(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	65	100	81	15	0	52%	0.08	12.4	3.92%	0	0.4	47	INF
23	May_11_2016	223.71	228.79	232.3	236.75	237.56	233.74	239.5(3.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	17	-100	23	-1	0	52%	0.11	6.7	3.91%	0	0.8	60	INF
24	May_10_2016	223.46	228.25	232.37	233.05	235.25	233.94	231.45(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-77	-10	-89	-42	0	51%	0.05	-4.6	3.89%	0	0.2	63	INF
25	May_9_2016	223.34	228.8	234.19	232.06	234.69	241.39	234.8(-2.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	87	230	98	55	0	51%		-3.6	3.9%	0	0.4	66	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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