Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 5, 2016 - Tue. Jan. 14, 2020)

(Midatech Pharma plc)
MTP latest price $183.5000 (-4.68%) ($182.0000 - $191.0000) on Fri. May. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.32% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $183.5000(-4.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MTP declines -5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MTP declines -5.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MTP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDXJ(4%)    USO(4%)    TBT(3%)    XLE(3%)    XOP(3%)
Factors Impacting MTP price   MTP will decline at least -2.16% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-4%)    LQD(-4%)    EWP(-4%)    EWG(-4%)    XLK(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.16% (StdDev 4.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.2%

Resistance Level   $227.61
5 Day Moving Average   $206.6(-11.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $220.17(-16.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $227.61(-19.38%)
To recent high   -27%
To recent low   4.9%
Market Cap   $1.936b

$. MTP price fluctuates within 7.51% (three month std-dev: 4.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.48%(50%) Average negative next day return: -4.66%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -6.88%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.15%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160620

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_20_2016	222.89	227.61	220.17	206.6	203.32	189.19	183.5(-4.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-193	-530	-204	-160	0	45%	-0.25	-22.6	4.32%	0	-2.6	33	INF
2	May_19_2016	223.44	230.72	226.27	217.4	214.97	197.88	192.5(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-280	-590	-319	-164	0	46%	-0.2	5.3	4.31%	0	-2.8	35	INF
3	May_18_2016	223.88	232.51	230.95	226.12	225.58	217.44	197.5(-14.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-215	-260	-251	-108	0	46%	-0.16	32.1	4.3%	0	-3	34	INF
4	May_17_2016	224.25	233.55	233.81	234.52	234.78	232.07	230.5(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-80	-39	-6	0	52%	0.04	52	3.91%	0	-0.3	43	INF
5	May_16_2016	224.16	232.57	233.52	234.71	237.02	233.72	229(-3.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-70	-40	-20	0	52%	0.03	32.2	3.91%	0	-0.3	37	INF

6	May_13_2016	224.09	231.54	233.4	235.87	235.61	237.49	237.5(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-46	50	-50	-32	0	52%	0.09	20.2	3.89%	0	0.5	45	INF
7	May_12_2016	223.89	229.99	232.4	236.77	237.13	240.33	236.1(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	65	100	81	15	0	52%	0.08	12.4	3.92%	0	0.4	47	INF
8	May_11_2016	223.71	228.79	232.3	236.75	237.56	233.74	239.5(3.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	17	-100	23	-1	0	52%	0.11	6.7	3.91%	0	0.8	60	INF
9	May_10_2016	223.46	228.25	232.37	233.05	235.25	233.94	231.45(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-77	-10	-89	-42	0	51%	0.05	-4.6	3.89%	0	0.2	63	INF
10	May_9_2016	223.34	228.8	234.19	232.06	234.69	241.39	234.8(-2.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	87	230	98	55	0	51%	0.08	-3.6	3.9%	0	0.4	66	INF

11	May_6_2016	223.16	228.89	235.15	230.4	230.44	236.56	242(2.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	132	190	145	93	0	50%	0.14	-6.9	3.87%	0	0.9	72	INF
12	May_5_2016	222.85	228.3	235	230.4	226.81	228	236(6.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	59	30	55	70	0	50%	0.09	-8.6	3.89%	0	0.6	70	INF
13	May_4_2016	222.64	227.87	233.81	227.5	225.78	224.31	221(-2.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-25	-70	-46	40	0	47%	-0.01	0.2	3.82%	0	-0.5	59	INF
14	May_3_2016	222.67	228.88	233.29	231.7	228.29	225.63	226.5(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-53	-130	-81	32	0	47%	0.03	25.9	3.84%	0	-0.2	49	INF
15	May_2_2016	222.6	229.31	231.77	236.7	234.54	227.25	226.5(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-80	-240	-113	18	0	47%	0.03	48.4	3.87%	0	-0.2	42	INF

16	Apr_29_2016	222.53	229.86	229.94	240.5	241.92	230.96	227.5(-3.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-146	-300	-188	-18	0	47%	0.04	77.1	3.91%	0	-0.2	46	INF
17	Apr_28_2016	222.45	229.46	227.91	243.4	247.45	241.84	236(-2.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-108	-110	-142	-4	0	47%	0.11	91.8	3.91%	0	0.4	52	INF
18	Apr_27_2016	222.2	227.84	225.46	240.78	248.34	252.87	242(-3.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	64	220	65	59	0	47%	0.16	82.3	3.93%	0	0.8	56	INF
19	Apr_26_2016	221.84	225.38	223.99	234.78	241.21	253.06	251.5(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	195	430	229	94	0	47%	0.24	66.6	3.93%	0	1.5	52	INF
20	Apr_25_2016	221.3	222.76	222.75	226.08	229.18	243.81	245.5(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	230	490	278	86	0	47%	0.21	48	3.96%	0	1.2	53	INF

21	Apr_22_2016	220.84	219.46	221.62	217.98	219.02	229.36	242(8.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	209	340	262	51	0	47%	0.19	29.8	3.99%	0	1.2	51	INF
22	Apr_21_2016	220.43	216.21	220.27	210.48	211.17	214.55	222.91(5.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	75	120	111	-33	0	43%	0.02	9.8	3.85%	0	0.3	54	INF
23	Apr_20_2016	220.38	214.55	220.73	208.1	207.52	208.67	212(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	30	-2	-73	0	40%	-0.08	3.1	3.82%	0	-0.1	58	INF
24	Apr_19_2016	220.55	214.21	223.63	211.7	208.12	207.8	208(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-60	-47	-47	0	40%	-0.12	6	3.84%	0	-0.3	62	INF
25	Apr_18_2016	220.81	213.96	226.47	219.04	214.28	206.38	205(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-87	-320	-109	-22	0	40%		11.6	3.88%	0	-0.4	56	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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