Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 13, 2016

Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 5, 2016 - Tue. Jan. 14, 2020)

(Midatech Pharma plc)
MTP latest price $237.5000 (0.59%) ($230.0000 - $239.7800) on Fri. May. 13, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.89% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $237.5000(0.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MTP declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MTP declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MTP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDXJ(4%)    USO(4%)    TBT(3%)    XLE(3%)    XOP(3%)
Factors Impacting MTP price   MTP will decline at least -1.945% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-4%)    LQD(-4%)    EWP(-4%)    EWG(-4%)    XLK(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.945% (StdDev 3.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $235.87(0.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $233.4(1.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $231.54(2.57%)
To recent high   -5.6%
To recent low   35.7%
Market Cap   $2.506b

$. MTP price fluctuates within 5.7% (three month std-dev: 3.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.11%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.38%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.69%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 3.31%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160613

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_13_2016	224.09	231.54	233.4	235.87	235.61	237.49	237.5(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-46	50	-50	-32	0	52%	0.09	20.2	3.89%	0	0.5	45	INF
2	May_12_2016	223.89	229.99	232.4	236.77	237.13	240.33	236.1(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	65	100	81	15	0	52%	0.08	12.4	3.92%	0	0.4	47	INF
3	May_11_2016	223.71	228.79	232.3	236.75	237.56	233.74	239.5(3.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	17	-100	23	-1	0	52%	0.11	6.7	3.91%	0	0.8	60	INF
4	May_10_2016	223.46	228.25	232.37	233.05	235.25	233.94	231.45(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-77	-10	-89	-42	0	51%	0.05	-4.6	3.89%	0	0.2	63	INF
5	May_9_2016	223.34	228.8	234.19	232.06	234.69	241.39	234.8(-2.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	87	230	98	55	0	51%	0.08	-3.6	3.9%	0	0.4	66	INF

6	May_6_2016	223.16	228.89	235.15	230.4	230.44	236.56	242(2.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	132	190	145	93	0	50%	0.14	-6.9	3.87%	0	0.9	72	INF
7	May_5_2016	222.85	228.3	235	230.4	226.81	228	236(6.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	59	30	55	70	0	50%	0.09	-8.6	3.89%	0	0.6	70	INF
8	May_4_2016	222.64	227.87	233.81	227.5	225.78	224.31	221(-2.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-25	-70	-46	40	0	47%	-0.01	0.2	3.82%	0	-0.5	59	INF
9	May_3_2016	222.67	228.88	233.29	231.7	228.29	225.63	226.5(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-53	-130	-81	32	0	47%	0.03	25.9	3.84%	0	-0.2	49	INF
10	May_2_2016	222.6	229.31	231.77	236.7	234.54	227.25	226.5(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-80	-240	-113	18	0	47%	0.03	48.4	3.87%	0	-0.2	42	INF

11	Apr_29_2016	222.53	229.86	229.94	240.5	241.92	230.96	227.5(-3.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-146	-300	-188	-18	0	47%	0.04	77.1	3.91%	0	-0.2	46	INF
12	Apr_28_2016	222.45	229.46	227.91	243.4	247.45	241.84	236(-2.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-108	-110	-142	-4	0	47%	0.11	91.8	3.91%	0	0.4	52	INF
13	Apr_27_2016	222.2	227.84	225.46	240.78	248.34	252.87	242(-3.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	64	220	65	59	0	47%	0.16	82.3	3.93%	0	0.8	56	INF
14	Apr_26_2016	221.84	225.38	223.99	234.78	241.21	253.06	251.5(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	195	430	229	94	0	47%	0.24	66.6	3.93%	0	1.5	52	INF
15	Apr_25_2016	221.3	222.76	222.75	226.08	229.18	243.81	245.5(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	230	490	278	86	0	47%	0.21	48	3.96%	0	1.2	53	INF

16	Apr_22_2016	220.84	219.46	221.62	217.98	219.02	229.36	242(8.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	209	340	262	51	0	47%	0.19	29.8	3.99%	0	1.2	51	INF
17	Apr_21_2016	220.43	216.21	220.27	210.48	211.17	214.55	222.91(5.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	75	120	111	-33	0	43%	0.02	9.8	3.85%	0	0.3	54	INF
18	Apr_20_2016	220.38	214.55	220.73	208.1	207.52	208.67	212(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	30	-2	-73	0	40%	-0.08	3.1	3.82%	0	-0.1	58	INF
19	Apr_19_2016	220.55	214.21	223.63	211.7	208.12	207.8	208(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-60	-47	-47	0	40%	-0.12	6	3.84%	0	-0.3	62	INF
20	Apr_18_2016	220.81	213.96	226.47	219.04	214.28	206.38	205(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-87	-320	-109	-22	0	40%	-0.15	11.6	3.88%	0	-0.4	56	INF

21	Apr_15_2016	221.14	214.03	229.93	225.74	223.02	208.44	204.5(-3.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-190	-490	-249	-12	0	40%	-0.16	16.3	3.92%	0	-0.4	64	INF
22	Apr_14_2016	221.49	214.23	231.72	231.23	231.02	222.19	211(-8.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-160	-270	-230	50	0	40%	-0.1	19.4	3.94%	0	-0.2	68	INF
23	Apr_13_2016	221.72	213.9	231.32	234.73	234.6	237.6	230(-6.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	90	-34	165	0	43%	0.09	19.2	3.79%	0	0.8	67	INF
24	Apr_12_2016	221.53	212.95	227.78	237.11	234.51	239.85	244.7(2.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	152	130	123	240	0	46%	0.24	20.2	3.72%	0	1.5	63	INF
25	Apr_11_2016	221.01	211.51	223.31	235.27	233.52	231.61	238.5(2.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	85	-80	45	206	0	46%		17.5	3.74%	0	1.4	63	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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