Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 5, 2016 - Tue. Jan. 14, 2020)

(Midatech Pharma plc)
MTP latest price $236.0000 (6.79%) ($225.5000 - $236.0000) on Thu. May. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.89% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $236.0000(6.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   MTP advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MTP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDXJ(4%)    USO(4%)    TBT(3%)    XLE(3%)    XOP(3%)
Factors Impacting MTP price   MTP will decline at least -1.945% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-4%)    LQD(-4%)    EWP(-4%)    EWG(-4%)    XLK(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.945% (StdDev 3.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $227.5(3.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $235(0.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $228.3(3.37%)
To recent high   -6.2%
To recent low   34.9%
Market Cap   $2.49b

$. MTP price fluctuates within 5.96% (three month std-dev: 3.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.18%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -6.28%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.43%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160605

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_5_2016	222.85	228.3	235		226.81	228	236(6.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	59	30	55	70	0	50%	0.09	-8.6	3.89%	0	0.6	70	0
2	May_4_2016	222.64	227.87	233.81	227.5	225.78	224.31	221(-2.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-25	-70	-46	40	0	47%	-0.01	0.2	3.82%	0	-0.5	59	0
3	May_3_2016	222.67	228.88	233.29	231.7	228.29	225.63	226.5(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-53	-130	-81	32	0	47%	0.03	25.9	3.84%	0	-0.2	49	0
4	May_2_2016	222.6	229.31	231.77	236.7	234.54	227.25	226.5(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-80	-240	-113	18	0	47%	0.03	48.4	3.87%	0	-0.2	42	0
5	Apr_29_2016	222.53	229.86	229.94	240.5	241.92	230.96	227.5(-3.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-146	-300	-188	-18	0	47%	0.04	77.1	3.91%	0	-0.2	46	0

6	Apr_28_2016	222.45	229.46	227.91	243.4	247.45	241.84	236(-2.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-108	-110	-142	-4	0	47%	0.11	91.8	3.91%	0	0.4	52	0
7	Apr_27_2016	222.2	227.84	225.46	240.78	248.34	252.87	242(-3.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	64	220	65	59	0	47%	0.16	82.3	3.93%	0	0.8	56	0
8	Apr_26_2016	221.84	225.38	223.99	234.78	241.21	253.06	251.5(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	195	430	229	94	0	47%	0.24	66.6	3.93%	0	1.5	52	0
9	Apr_25_2016	221.3	222.76	222.75	226.08	229.18	243.81	245.5(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	230	490	278	86	0	47%	0.21	48	3.96%	0	1.2	53	0
10	Apr_22_2016	220.84	219.46	221.62	217.98	219.02	229.36	242(8.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	209	340	262	51	0	47%	0.19	29.8	3.99%	0	1.2	51	0

11	Apr_21_2016	220.43	216.21	220.27	210.48	211.17	214.55	222.91(5.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	75	120	111	-33	0	43%	0.02	9.8	3.85%	0	0.3	54	0
12	Apr_20_2016	220.38	214.55	220.73	208.1	207.52	208.67	212(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	30	-2	-73	0	40%	-0.08	3.1	3.82%	0	-0.1	58	0
13	Apr_19_2016	220.55	214.21	223.63	211.7	208.12	207.8	208(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-60	-47	-47	0	40%	-0.12	6	3.84%	0	-0.3	62	0
14	Apr_18_2016	220.81	213.96	226.47	219.04	214.28	206.38	205(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-87	-320	-109	-22	0	40%	-0.15	11.6	3.88%	0	-0.4	56	0
15	Apr_15_2016	221.14	214.03	229.93	225.74	223.02	208.44	204.5(-3.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-190	-490	-249	-12	0	40%	-0.16	16.3	3.92%	0	-0.4	64	0

16	Apr_14_2016	221.49	214.23	231.72	231.23	231.02	222.19	211(-8.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-160	-270	-230	50	0	40%	-0.1	19.4	3.94%	0	-0.2	68	0
17	Apr_13_2016	221.72	213.9	231.32	234.73	234.6	237.6	230(-6.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	90	-34	165	0	43%	0.09	19.2	3.79%	0	0.8	67	0
18	Apr_12_2016	221.53	212.95	227.78	237.11	234.51	239.85	244.7(2.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	152	130	123	240	0	46%	0.24	20.2	3.72%	0	1.5	63	0
19	Apr_11_2016	221.01	211.51	223.31	235.27	233.52	231.61	238.5(2.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	85	-80	45	206	0	46%	0.19	17.5	3.74%	0	1.4	63	0
20	Apr_8_2016	220.6	210.62	217.46	235.17	232.02	229.17	231.93(1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-34	-130	-91	138	0	46%	0.12	17.6	3.76%	0	1.1	60	0

21	Apr_7_2016	220.33	210.18	211.99	232.38	233.79	235.43	228.5(-5.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	36	70	1	142	0	46%	0.09	12.8	3.8%	0	1	58	0
22	Apr_6_2016	220.13	209.86	207.9	226.98	236.19	234.86	241.9(2.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	147	80	141	166	0	50%	0.25	4.5	3.75%	0	1.7	63	0
23	Apr_5_2016	219.59	208.8	203.71	216.7	226.18	232.15	235.5(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	26	320	14	63	0	50%	0.19	-11.8	3.77%	0	1.5	57	0
24	Apr_4_2016	219.18	208.12	199.88	209.5	217.72	237.52	238(9.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	285	750	332	144	0	50%	0.23	-24	3.81%	0	1.8	54	0
25	Apr_1_2016	218.68	207.33	196.01	197.4	208.48	220.22	218(8.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	381	560	466	126	0	43%		-45	3.56%	0	0.7	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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