Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 5, 2016 - Tue. Jan. 14, 2020)

(Midatech Pharma plc)
MTP latest price $222.9100 (5.15%) ($216.0000 - $224.5000) on Thu. Apr. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.85% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $222.9100(5.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MTP advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MTP declines -4.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MTP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDXJ(4%)    USO(4%)    TBT(3%)    XLE(3%)    XOP(3%)
Factors Impacting MTP price   MTP will decline at least -1.925% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-4%)    LQD(-4%)    EWP(-4%)    EWG(-4%)    XLK(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.925% (StdDev 3.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $210.48(5.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $220.27(1.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $216.21(3.1%)
To recent high   -8.9%
To recent low   27.4%
Market Cap   $2.352b

$. MTP price fluctuates within 9.35% (three month std-dev: 3.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2016	220.43	216.21	220.27	210.48	211.17	214.55	222.91(5.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	75	120	111	-33	0	43%	0.02	9.8	3.85%	0	0.3	54	0
2	Apr_20_2016	220.38	214.55	220.73	208.1	207.52	208.67	212(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	30	-2	-73	0	40%	-0.08	3.1	3.82%	0	-0.1	58	0
3	Apr_19_2016	220.55	214.21	223.63	211.7	208.12	207.8	208(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-60	-47	-47	0	40%	-0.12	6	3.84%	0	-0.3	62	0
4	Apr_18_2016	220.81	213.96	226.47	219.04	214.28	206.38	205(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-87	-320	-109	-22	0	40%	-0.15	11.6	3.88%	0	-0.4	56	0
5	Apr_15_2016	221.14	214.03	229.93	225.74	223.02	208.44	204.5(-3.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-190	-490	-249	-12	0	40%	-0.16	16.3	3.92%	0	-0.4	64	0

6	Apr_14_2016	221.49	214.23	231.72	231.23	231.02	222.19	211(-8.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-160	-270	-230	50	0	40%	-0.1	19.4	3.94%	0	-0.2	68	0
7	Apr_13_2016	221.72	213.9	231.32	234.73	234.6	237.6	230(-6.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	90	-34	165	0	43%	0.09	19.2	3.79%	0	0.8	67	0
8	Apr_12_2016	221.53	212.95	227.78	237.11	234.51	239.85	244.7(2.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	152	130	123	240	0	46%	0.24	20.2	3.72%	0	1.5	63	0
9	Apr_11_2016	221.01	211.51	223.31	235.27	233.52	231.61	238.5(2.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	85	-80	45	206	0	46%	0.19	17.5	3.74%	0	1.4	63	0
10	Apr_8_2016	220.6	210.62	217.46	235.17	232.02	229.17	231.93(1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-34	-130	-91	138	0	46%	0.12	17.6	3.76%	0	1.1	60	0

11	Apr_7_2016	220.33	210.18	211.99	232.38	233.79	235.43	228.5(-5.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	36	70	1	142	0	46%	0.09	12.8	3.8%	0	1	58	0
12	Apr_6_2016	220.13	209.86	207.9	226.98	236.19	234.86	241.9(2.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	147	80	141	166	0	50%	0.25	4.5	3.75%	0	1.7	63	0
13	Apr_5_2016	219.59	208.8	203.71	216.7	226.18	232.15	235.5(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	26	320	14	63	0	50%	0.19	-11.8	3.77%	0	1.5	57	0
14	Apr_4_2016	219.18	208.12	199.88	209.5	217.72	237.52	238(9.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	285	750	332	144	0	50%	0.23	-24	3.81%	0	1.8	54	0
15	Apr_1_2016	218.68	207.33	196.01	197.4	208.48	220.22	218(8.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	381	560	466	126	0	43%	-0.01	-45	3.56%	0	0.7	46	0

16	Mar_31_2016	218.7	207.8	194.53	188.8	193.39	197.91	201.5(5.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	34	240	76	-92	0	35%	-0.22	-56.2	3.32%	0	-0.4	38	0
17	Mar_30_2016	219.18	209.02	194.52	186	187.94	196.75	190.5(-4.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	72	360	132	-107	0	29%	-0.37	-60.9	3.2%	0	-1.1	33	0
18	Mar_29_2016	220	210.9	196.64	188.7	186.01	188.88	199.5(12.39%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	80	70	141	-104	0	31%	-0.27	-59.1	3.17%	0	-0.7	36	0
19	Mar_28_2016	220.6	212.31	198.48	189	187.23	179.13	177.5(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-214	-330	-184	-303	0	10%	-0.59	-60	2.28%	0	-2	16	0
20	Mar_24_2016	221.91	214.95	203.29	194.4	192.69	183.13	175(-6.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-367	-370	-373	-347	0	10%	-0.66	-60.1	2.28%	0	-2.6	13	0

21	Mar_23_2016	223.38	217.77	208.66	200.8	198.57	195.32	187.5(-8.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-231	-150	-219	-265	0	12%	-0.51	-62.6	2.07%	0	-2.5	14	0
22	Mar_22_2016	224.53	220.12	212.61	203.9	201.09	202.25	204(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-69	-0	-21	-213	0	15%	-0.31	-67.2	1.6%	0	-1.5	27	0
23	Mar_21_2016	225.22	221.51	214.79	205.7	202.36	201.81	201(-1.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-65	-70	-19	-203	0	15%	-0.37	-65.9	1.58%	0	-2.1	22	0
24	Mar_18_2016	226.05	223.16	217.45	209.6	205.22	199.94	204.5(-1.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-233	-240	-226	-253	0	17%	-0.34	-60.8	1.59%	0	-2.1	23	0
25	Mar_17_2016	226.82	224.58	219.82	213.8	210.94	202.91	207(1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-354	-310	-380	-277	0	17%		-53.7	1.62%	0	-2.2	26	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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