Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 30, 2016

Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 5, 2016 - Tue. Jan. 14, 2020)

(Midatech Pharma plc)
MTP latest price $190.5000 (-4.51%) ($188.5000 - $210.5000) on Wed. Mar. 30, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.2% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $190.5000(-4.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MTP declines -1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MTP declines -8.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MTP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDXJ(4%)    USO(4%)    TBT(3%)    XLE(3%)    XOP(3%)
Factors Impacting MTP price   MTP will decline at least -1.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-4%)    LQD(-4%)    EWG(-4%)    XLK(-3%)    VWO(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.6% (StdDev 3.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.8%

Resistance Level   $209.02
5 Day Moving Average   $186(2.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $194.52(-2.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $209.02(-8.86%)
To recent high   -19.3%
To recent low   8.9%
Market Cap   $2.01b

$. MTP price fluctuates within 8.28% (three month std-dev: 3.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 5.77%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.01%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 12.32%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.85%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 15.85%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.21%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160430

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_30_2016	219.18	209.02	194.52	186	187.94	196.75	190.5(-4.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	72	360	132	-107	0	29%	-0.37	-60.9	3.2%	0	-1.1	33	0
2	Mar_29_2016	220	210.9	196.64	188.7	186.01	188.88	199.5(12.39%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	80	70	141	-104	0	31%	-0.27	-59.1	3.17%	0	-0.7	36	0
3	Mar_28_2016	220.6	212.31	198.48	189	187.23	179.13	177.5(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-214	-330	-184	-303	0	10%	-0.59	-60	2.28%	0	-2	16	0
4	Mar_24_2016	221.91	214.95	203.29	194.4	192.69	183.13	175(-6.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-367	-370	-373	-347	0	10%	-0.66	-60.1	2.28%	0	-2.6	13	0
5	Mar_23_2016	223.38	217.77	208.66	200.8	198.57	195.32	187.5(-8.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-231	-150	-219	-265	0	12%	-0.51	-62.6	2.07%	0	-2.5	14	0

6	Mar_22_2016	224.53	220.12	212.61	203.9	201.09	202.25	204(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-69	-0	-21	-213	0	15%	-0.31	-67.2	1.6%	0	-1.5	27	0
7	Mar_21_2016	225.22	221.51	214.79	205.7	202.36	201.81	201(-1.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-65	-70	-19	-203	0	15%	-0.37	-65.9	1.58%	0	-2.1	22	0
8	Mar_18_2016	226.05	223.16	217.45	209.6	205.22	199.94	204.5(-1.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-233	-240	-226	-253	0	17%	-0.34	-60.8	1.59%	0	-2.1	23	0
9	Mar_17_2016	226.82	224.58	219.82	213.8	210.94	202.91	207(1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-354	-310	-380	-277	0	17%	-0.33	-53.7	1.62%	0	-2.2	26	0
10	Mar_16_2016	227.56	225.78	222.27	217.9	217.54	210.51	203(-4.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.2	-361	-230	-399	-248	0	9%	-0.41	-50.5	1.57%	0	-3.4	18	0

11	Mar_15_2016	228.5	227.38	224.87	222.5	222.93	218.98	213(-3.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.1	-255	-120	-282	-175	0	11%	-0.27	-48.2	1.37%	0	-3.2	20	0
12	Mar_14_2016	229.12	228.28	226.45	225.1	225.75	224.56	220.5(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-132	-30	-142	-102	0	14%	-0.16	-58.5	1.25%	0	-2.6	30	0
13	Mar_11_2016	229.48	228.72	227.26	226.39	227.41	226.88	225.5(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-0	-13	-46	0	17%	-0.07	0	1.21%	0	-1.4	34	0
14	Mar_10_2016	229.65	228.9	227.48	226.79	227.71	226.94	227.5(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-29	-10	-21	-53	0	17%	-0.04	0	1.22%	0	-0.6	40	0
15	Mar_9_2016	229.75	229.27	227.53	227.49	226.71	227.94	226(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-43	30	-39	-55	0	17%	-0.08	0	1.24%	0	-1.5	43	0

16	Mar_8_2016	229.93	229.53	228.14	227.69	227.36	228.49	226(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	100	30	129	13	0	17%	-0.09	0	1.27%	0	-1.4	36	0
17	Mar_7_2016	230.13	230.02	228.64	228.02	226.86	225.47	226.95(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-60	-25	-42	0	17%	-0.07	0	1.3%	0	-1.3	47	0
18	Mar_4_2016	230.29	230.02	229.18	228.02	226.61	226.24	227.5(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-87	-30	-102	-41	0	17%	-0.07	0	1.34%	0	86.8	50	0
19	Mar_3_2016	230.45	230.02	229.57	228.23	227.83	228.25	231(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	50	10	59	24	0	20%	0.01	0	1.33%	0	88.5	55	0
20	Mar_2_2016	230.42	230.02	229.41	227.63	227.49	226.98	227(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-20	-35	-14	0	0%	-0.09	0	1.29%	0	84.7	35	0

21	Mar_1_2016	230.63	230.02	230.01	228.71	227.95	227.42	227.66(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-53	-30	-62	-25	0	0%	-0.09	0	1.33%	0	86.9	46	0
22	Feb_29_2016	230.83	230.02	230.22	229.38	229.55	228	228(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-50	-37	-15	0	0%	-0.09	0	1.38%	0	88	39	0
23	Feb_26_2016	231.03	230.02	230.32	230.28	230.17	228.48	227.5(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-100	-50	-117	-47	0	0%	-0.12	0	1.42%	0	88.9	50	0
24	Feb_24_2016	231.3	230.02	230.47	231.08	231.13	231.1	228(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-26	-0	-31	-12	0	0%	-0.12	0	1.48%	0	92.7	50	0
25	Feb_23_2016	231.57	230.02	231.2	231.38	231.34	231.85	232.39(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	10	40	16	0	0%		0	1.46%	0	98.5	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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