Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MSTR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Apr. 24, 2023

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $285.3600 (-1.5%) ($282.7200 - $285.3600) on Mon. Apr. 24, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.66% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $285.3600(-1.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR declines -1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ONLN(34%)    VUG(32%)    HYG(31%)    IVE(31%)    IWF(31%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -2.83% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-26%)    VIXM(-24%)    TBT(-17%)    UUP(-11%)    UNG(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.83% (StdDev 5.66%)
Hourly BBV -1.3 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $300.67
5 Day Moving Average   $302.69(-5.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $314.73(-9.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $300.67(-5.09%)
To recent high   -16.3%
To recent low   48.9%
Market Cap   $2.644b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 8.61% (three month std-dev: 5.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 6.12%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.77%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 5.77%(80%) Average negative next three day return: -3.85%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 7.99%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.46%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20230524

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_24_2023	241.01	300.67	314.73	302.69	295.74	287.21	285.36(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-91	-270	-107	-42	0.57	60%	0.34	38.7	5.66%	-1.3	-0.6	50	1.4
2	Apr_21_2023	240.2	299.55	317.85	308.25	307.02	291.8	289.72(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-125	-360	-152	-43	0.61	60%	0.4	40.5	5.63%	-1.4	-0.4	53	1.5
3	Apr_20_2023	239.25	298.43	318.6	317.08	312.85	304.26	293.88(-6.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-177	-230	-219	-49	0.77	62%	0.42	52.8	5.67%	-1.8	-0.2	58	1.3
4	Apr_19_2023	238.26	296.36	318.98	326.51	322.27	322.24	314.64(-4.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-10	-40	-30	49	0.58	64%	0.59	63	5.67%	-0.5	0.6	63	1.6
5	Apr_18_2023	236.86	294.29	317.76	328.42	328.87	321.43	329.84(5.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	22	-150	-0	86	0.94	62%	0.68	73.6	5.63%	0.5	1.2	77	1.6

6	Apr_17_2023	235.26	290.96	314.52	328.83	327.45	322.29	313.16(-6.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-98	-120	-148	51	0.72	64%	0.58	84.1	5.68%	-1.4	0.7	77	1.5
7	Apr_14_2023	233.9	288.82	312.66	328.7	332.17	336.31	333.87(-2.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	89	120	67	153	0.87	66%	0.46	100.3	5.7%	-0	1.5	74	1.5
8	Apr_13_2023	232.84	284.13	307.33	320.14	327.42	332.62	341.06(5.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	128	180	116	163	1.07	66%	0.75	98.5	5.74%	1.4	2	73	1.4
9	Apr_12_2023	231.1	278.34	301.46	310.35	314.92	328.04	324.17(-2.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	112	340	98	153	0.85	67%	0.72	90	5.72%	0.2	1.6	74	1.2
10	Apr_11_2023	229.44	273.47	294.03	305.54	306.91	322.23	331.91(6.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	216	360	226	187	1.36	67%	0.8	85.2	5.78%	1.3	2.1	64	1.3

11	Apr_10_2023	227.61	267.94	284.9	298.57	298.96	301.8	312.51(7.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	116	70	114	123	0.91	68%	0.9	80.3	5.75%	2.5	1.7	63	1.4
12	Apr_6_2023	225.57	262.02	279.25	294.55	295.09	291.59	291.04(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-16	-80	-38	49	0.4	68%	0.57	57.7	5.8%	-0	1	57	0.4
13	Apr_5_2023	224.3	258.09	276.4	292.36	295.43	296.12	292.14(-2.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	14	50	-4	68	0.76	68%	0.56	49.8	5.8%	-0.7	1.1	66	0.4
14	Apr_4_2023	223.06	255.01	271.96	290.81	292.42	298.58	300.1(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	75	160	66	103	0.59	70%	0.63	45.6	5.84%	1.4	1.6	71	0.3
15	Apr_3_2023	221.66	251.47	268.89	280.28	288.49	294.73	297.06(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	141	240	145	127	0.72	70%	0.58	31.8	6.05%	1.5	1.7	70	0.1

16	Mar_31_2023	220.38	248.28	265.35	268.9	276.14	286.26	292.4(4.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	106	340	107	103	0.94	70%	0.56	17.6	6.06%	1.7	1.8	70	0.1
17	Mar_30_2023	219.16	245.73	262.83	261.78	263.08	282.24	280.11(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	160	520	166	142	0.67	70%	0.52	8.5	6.1%	0.8	1.5	75	-0.1
18	Mar_29_2023	218.03	244.09	258.89	258.28	257.25	266.03	284.37(14.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	206	230	218	170	0.91	70%	0.35	1.1	6.09%	1.8	1.9	68	-0.2
19	Mar_28_2023	217.28	242.49	253.08	250.8	251.81	243.91	247.48(3.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-21	-210	-45	50	0.61	66%	-0.09	-11.1	5.84%	-0.1	0.2	56	-0.3
20	Mar_27_2023	217.48	243.18	251.36	255.94	251.57	248.47	240.13(-6.5%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-102	-140	-144	23	1.08	63%	-0.17	-5.5	5.91%	-1.3	-0.2	54	-0.5

21	Mar_24_2023	217.85	244	250.06	260.87	259.84	259.72	256.81(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	42	-20	23	98	0.61	65%	0.04	-6.7	5.98%	-0.7	0.6	56	-0.6
22	Mar_23_2023	217.76	243.84	244.03	263.74	262.89	254.67	262.62(6.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-23	-230	-49	57	1.05	65%	0.07	-9.2	6.01%	-1.3	0.9	55	-0.8
23	Mar_22_2023	217.61	243.86	238.91	259.34	265.04	259.96	246.94(-9.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-55	-70	-80	19	1.09	64%	-0.05	-21.2	5.98%	-2.4	0.1	50	-0.8
24	Mar_21_2023	217.71	244.73	237.36	255.17	263.51	271.12	273.2(3.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	78	300	82	64	0.82	67%	0.03	-26.7	5.84%	1.4	1.3	53	-0.8
25	Mar_20_2023	217.64	244.29	232.88	245.95	251.73	270.12	264.76(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	159	580	188	71	1.19	67%		-34.7	5.83%	0.4	1	50	-1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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