Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Aug. 13, 2022

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $352.7200 (4.5%) ($352.7200 - $353.0300) on Sat. Aug. 13, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.08% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $352.7200(4.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR advances 12.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -4.04% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.04% (StdDev 8.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $335.25(5.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $318.69(10.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $294.33(19.84%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   131.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 12.34% (three month std-dev: 8.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 4.28%(20%) Average negative next day return: -5.24%(80%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 1.67%(30%) Average negative next three day return: -9.37%(70%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 3.34%(30%) Average negative next weekly return: -12.96%(70%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220913

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_12_2022	291.35	294.33	318.69	335.25	336.02	345.16	352.72(4.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	94	200	84	125	0.39	66%	-0.46	102.4	8.08%	1.6	1.6	71	-2.2
2	Aug_11_2022	292.7	287.45	311.94	328.54	330.34	335.76	337.53(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	90	130	80	119	0.58	59%	-0.4	93	8.07%	-0	1.3	64	-1.8
3	Aug_10_2022	293.88	280.91	305.67	322.91	324.87	326.88	336.16(5.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	49	60	36	86	0.53	59%	-0.43	82.4	8.75%	0.8	1.4	60	-1.6
4	Aug_9_2022	295.15	274.01	298.32	318.38	318.71	324.92	319.77(-3.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	41	140	30	74	0.29	54%	-0.41	78.5	8.74%	-0.6	1.1	58	-1.2
5	Aug_8_2022	296.36	267.81	290.39	310.16	315.21	322.85	330.07(3.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	99	220	104	83	0.6	54%	-0.43	72.1	9.34%	0.7	1.5	65	-1.8

6	Aug_5_2022	297.63	261.3	283.74	299.36	302.36	312.51	319.18(3.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	63	270	63	63	0.69	50%	-0.39	72.2	9.38%	0.4	1.5	72	-1.3
7	Aug_4_2022	298.81	256.27	279.41	292.82	292.48	307.57	309.38(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	99	360	103	85	0.86	51%	-0.41	79.2	9.54%	0.3	1.4	74	-1
8	Aug_3_2022	300.04	251.65	276.92	285.84	286.82	292.22	313.5(12.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	107	140	110	99	1.25	50%	-0.28	79.5	9.57%	1.3	1.6	76	-2.8
9	Aug_2_2022	300.89	245.34	273.76	275.61	279	277.38	278.67(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	15	-0	-2	64	0.55	48%	-0.31	73.6	9.47%	0.2	0.9	75	-1.4
10	Aug_1_2022	301.82	240.88	272.62	267.35	274.91	281.42	276.09(-3.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	49	250	36	87	0.49	48%	-0.39	65.9	9.48%	0.3	1	75	-2.7

11	Jul_29_2022	303	235.59	268.09	265.4	265.23	280.61	286.46(4.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	89	400	81	112	0.55	46%	-0.45	56.4	9.55%	1.3	1.3	74	-2.8
12	Jul_28_2022	304.37	229.54	261.12	264.13	260.14	268.41	274.48(4.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	96	180	90	115	0.55	46%	-0.55	51.7	9.64%	1.6	1.1	64	-1.3
13	Jul_27_2022	306.04	224.79	254.48	267.09	261.54	249.85	262.34(10.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-9	-380	-35	70	0.69	46%	-0.49	56.4	9.64%	0.9	1	62	-0.7
14	Jul_26_2022	307.55	220.97	248.33	272.11	268.28	251.86	237.36(-10.89%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-107	-470	-156	39	0.62	43%	-0.51	63.3	9.54%	-1.6	0.4	67	0.3
15	Jul_25_2022	309.12	218.95	244.54	278.07	280.8	273.23	266.36(-4.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-17	-160	-55	98	0.44	45%	-0.48	73.7	9.5%	-2	1.2	74	1.4

16	Jul_22_2022	310.61	215.61	238.08	270.13	281	284.7	280.1(-3.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	59	210	34	135	0.59	45%	-0.49	77	9.5%	-0.8	1.7	82	0.8
17	Jul_21_2022	312.14	210.77	231.84	256.84	267.5	288.37	289.29(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	143	670	133	173	0.77	45%	-0.56	74	9.51%	0.6	2.3	84	1.1
18	Jul_20_2022	313.89	204.62	224.28	239.83	248.63	277.31	287.45(7.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	233	920	244	201	1.55	45%	-0.58	69.4	9.53%	1.3	2.8	75	0.5
19	Jul_19_2022	315.72	198.8	213.91	221.58	227.83	246.64	267.16(17.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	197	660	210	158	1.11	45%	-0.58	70.1	9.49%	1.6	2.9	70	0.6
20	Jul_18_2022	317.55	193.55	205.57	206.76	210.54	219.95	226.64(6.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	90	370	92	83	1.01	41%	-0.58	56.7	9.23%	0.7	1.9	59	1.6

21	Jul_15_2022	319.39	190.24	199.73	201.53	202.28	209.01	213.68(4.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	51	240	52	47	0.46	41%	-0.59	34.2	9.19%	1.7	1.4	54	1.8
22	Jul_14_2022	321.28	188.06	194.96	203.14	198.95	201.14	204.24(4.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	20	13	28	0.68	41%	-0.51	19.7	9.24%	1.8	0.9	57	1.7
23	Jul_13_2022	322.94	185.75	192.56	206.24	203.32	195.54	196.2(1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-11	-310	-23	24	0.54	41%	-0.57	3	9.22%	0.1	0.6	61	1.4
24	Jul_12_2022	324.8	183.67	191.61	204.63	208.75	196.77	193.05(-3.71%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-53	-340	-72	4	0.56	41%	-0.42	-19.7	9.24%	-1.2	0.5	57	1.1
25	Jul_11_2022	326.17	184.08	191.9	203.57	207.53	211.1	200.49(-9.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-19	180	-35	28	0.67	41%		-25.4	9.24%	-1.1	0.8	63	1.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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