Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 11, 2022

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $200.4900 (-9.57%) ($200.4900 - $200.4900) on Mon. Jul. 11, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.24% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $200.4900(-9.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR advances 3.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR advances 6.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(54%)    IWF(54%)    QQQ(54%)    IVW(53%)    IWO(53%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -4.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-13%)    VXX(-7%)    TBT(-6%)    UNG(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.62% (StdDev 9.24%)
Hourly BBV -1.1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $203.57(-1.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $191.9(4.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $184.08(8.91%)
To recent high   -57.3%
To recent low   31.4%
Market Cap   $1.858b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 10.52% (three month std-dev: 9.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220811

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_11_2022	326.17	184.08	191.9	203.57	207.53	211.1	200.49(-9.57%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-19	180	-35	28	0.67	41%	-0.62	-25.4	9.24%	-1.1	0.8	63	1.7
2	Jul_8_2022	328.2	184.66	192	196.88	204.36	220.74	221.7(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	137	680	148	102	1.11	43%	-0.58	-39.9	9.18%	1	1.9	71	1.2
3	Jul_7_2022	330.11	184.74	188.35	185.4	191.02	203.96	219.78(16.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	127	570	142	83	1.13	43%	-0.68	-57.4	9.18%	2	1.8	65	0.9
4	Jul_6_2022	332.36	185.23	183.32	177.45	177.06	187.99	188.15(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	58	430	63	42	0.61	38%	-0.78	-67.9	8.9%	1.4	0.1	64	1.9
5	Jul_5_2022	334.96	187.32	182.31	177.16	175.03	178.09	187.72(12.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	63	90	66	52	0.75	38%	-0.91	-56.3	8.93%	2.4	0	65	1.1

6	Jul_1_2022	338.02	189.13	180.33	178.98	174.63	166.13	167.05(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-51	-410	-65	-9	0.71	35%	-0.8	-47.1	8.7%	-0.7	-0.8	42	1.8
7	Jun_30_2022	340.74	192.84	180.08	186.35	181	171.97	164.3(-8.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-86	-440	-105	-28	0.77	35%	-0.84	-32.2	8.63%	-1.5	-1	39	1.5
8	Jun_29_2022	343.64	196.45	181.02	191.19	191	183.12	180.02(-3.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	-290	-46	-15	0.73	36%	-0.73	-21.6	8.58%	-1.2	-0.5	39	1.4
9	Jun_28_2022	346.17	200.43	178.93	189.5	193.15	190.02	186.73(-5.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-60	-37	-43	0.63	38%	-0.67	-13.4	8.59%	-1.7	-0.4	39	1.3
10	Jun_27_2022	348.49	202.05	175.66	187.79	189.49	198.87	196.78(-3.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	16	370	36	-45	0.77	38%	-0.57	-12.4	8.64%	0.5	-0.2	42	0.1

11	Jun_24_2022	350.5	202.96	175.9	181.82	185.57	196.27	203.92(8.19%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	97	470	137	-23	0.82	40%	-0.41	-16.5	8.64%	1.4	0	45	-0.4
12	Jun_23_2022	351.93	202.75	176.52	173.26	176.41	180.11	188.49(9.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	25	200	59	-77	0.63	40%	-0.47	-22.9	8.62%	1	-0.4	37	0.2
13	Jun_22_2022	353.59	203.11	180.24	169.74	169.53	174.88	171.59(-3.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	220	18	-102	0.71	37%	-0.58	-29.8	8.51%	-0.3	-0.9	34	-1.1
14	Jun_21_2022	355.66	204.94	186.57	166.77	169.35	172.71	178.16(6.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	35	190	76	-88	1.06	37%	-0.5	-32.7	8.54%	1	-0.8	31	-2.3
15	Jun_17_2022	357.43	206.3	191.95	161.65	164	164.19	166.95(3.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-37	50	-8	-125	0.96	37%	-0.43	-39	8.45%	0.1	-1.3	42	0.3

16	Jun_16_2022	358.98	208.68	198.04	169.21	160.32	165.99	161.12(-5.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-62	90	-41	-124	1.09	39%	-0.55	-29.6	8.44%	-0.4	-1.6	42	0.4
17	Jun_15_2022	360.96	210.81	206.39	180.53	171.24	163.81	170.87(9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-460	-3	-79	1.81	41%	-0.55	-17.2	8.5%	1.6	-1.4	49	0.3
18	Jun_14_2022	362.94	213.67	213.22	192.89	182.95	154.66	156.76(2.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-206	-1240	-228	-138	1.83	38%	-0.6	-6.2	8.47%	-0.7	-2.1	47	0.4
19	Jun_13_2022	365.14	216.29	224.22	209.42	201.92	178.66	152.55(-25.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-240	-910	-282	-115	3.59	38%	-0.65	9.1	8.47%	-1.5	-2.7	43	0.5
20	Jun_10_2022	367.52	219.33	231.82	226	222.3	211.24	204.77(-5.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-94	-400	-121	-14	0.74	41%	-0.7	14.9	7.93%	-1.2	-0.8	55	1.2

21	Jun_9_2022	370.1	217.97	233.4	230.64	229.78	225.19	217.71(-6.43%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-45	-150	-67	20	0.5	43%	-0.66	-11	7.91%	-1.9	-0	55	1
22	Jun_8_2022	372.57	215.77	232.07	235.97	232.34	233.36	232.66(-2.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-20	-18	52	0.29	43%	-0.64	-39.3	7.94%	-0.2	0.7	63	0.9
23	Jun_7_2022	374.97	215.34	228.43	236.94	235.26	234.38	239.41(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-50	11	57	0.66	43%	-0.37	-59	7.96%	0.7	1	55	1.2
24	Jun_6_2022	376.37	214.16	225.01	241.99	236.13	231.32	235.47(3.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-30	-220	-55	45	0.58	43%	-0.71	-80.8	7.98%	-0.1	0.9	60	1.1
25	Jun_3_2022	379.08	216.57	221.71	238.72	243.62	236.15	227.94(-6.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-150	-19	54	0.47	42%		-75.5	7.98%	-1.4	0.4	58	1.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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