Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 1, 2022

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $490.7800 (1.06%) ($478.0600 - $490.7800) on Fri. Apr. 1, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.55% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $490.7800(1.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR advances 9.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(63%)    IBUY(62%)    IVW(62%)    IWO(62%)    QQQ(62%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -2.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    UUP(-16%)    VXX(-9%)    EDOC(-7%)    TBT(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.775% (StdDev 5.55%)
Hourly BBV -0.8 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $501.23(-2.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $482.28(1.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $449.21(9.25%)
To recent high   -12%
To recent low   53.6%
Market Cap   $4.548b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 9.36% (three month std-dev: 5.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 3.44%(50%) Average negative next day return: -3.38%(50%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 7.62%(70%) Average negative next three day return: -2.94%(30%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 9.96%(70%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.04%(30%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220501

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_1_2022	506.46	449.21	482.28	501.23	500.17	489.46	490.78(1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-47	-160	-85	69	0.23	59%	-0.66	41.2	5.55%	-0.8	1	77	-0.5
2	Mar_31_2022	509.82	445.14	478.72	497.82	505.27	496.15	485.62(-3.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-63	-80	-108	72	0.3	59%	-0.66	41	5.59%	-1.5	1	69	-0.9
3	Mar_30_2022	513.22	442.13	473.89	497.42	500.87	510.88	500.98(-3.8%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	30	160	-1	122	0.26	59%	-0.72	46	5.59%	-1	1.5	64	-0.7
4	Mar_29_2022	516.92	439.56	466.75	487.51	496.58	514.39	520.78(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	295	310	314	236	0.33	59%	-0.67	52.9	5.57%	1.3	2.1	62	-0.9
5	Mar_28_2022	520.39	436.13	454.23	475.22	479.24	490.86	507.99(7.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	184	200	189	169	0.38	57%	-0.57	62.5	5.56%	1.6	2.1	65	-1.5

6	Mar_25_2022	523.36	432.53	440.48	461	466.39	478.78	473.72(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	150	220	155	134	0.39	55%	-0.64	64.6	5.51%	0.3	1.4	65	-0.9
7	Mar_24_2022	526.72	428.98	432.26	456.97	457.19	467.63	483.65(7.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	162	160	172	132	0.42	55%	-0.64	62.9	5.55%	2.1	1.9	61	-0.7
8	Mar_23_2022	530.1	424.51	425.24	447.04	449.61	453.99	451.41(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	91	90	93	85	0.24	54%	-0.66	47	5.51%	-0	0.9	54	-0.8
9	Mar_22_2022	533.64	420.32	423.31	442.53	445.27	446.75	459.31(5.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	62	40	62	61	0.43	54%	-0.53	30.3	5.55%	1.6	1.3	49	-1
10	Mar_21_2022	536.48	416.2	417.97	429.74	438.37	445.24	436.93(-3.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	70	170	81	37	0.27	55%	-0.53	13.8	5.51%	-0.4	0.7	45	-1.2

11	Mar_18_2022	539.35	414.11	413.27	416.15	428.04	443.79	453.55(4.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	195	340	238	67	0.34	54%	-0.51	-1.9	5.5%	1.6	1.4	51	0.2
12	Mar_17_2022	542.09	411.49	408.51	403.66	406.9	431.5	434.02(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	189	450	236	49	0.28	54%	-0.53	-18.7	5.51%	1	0.8	56	-0.9
13	Mar_16_2022	545	411.3	407.47	400.6	396.15	412.3	428.84(8.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	231	250	285	70	0.47	52%	-0.57	-23.6	5.51%	1.6	0.6	57	-0.6
14	Mar_15_2022	548.15	411.5	409.7	402.19	393.59	382.29	395.38(7.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-270	-37	-36	0.35	51%	-0.65	-20.1	5.43%	0.6	-0.6	59	-2.8
15	Mar_14_2022	551.76	412.25	416.27	404.91	403.72	379.99	368.96(-5.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-242	-420	-286	-111	0.46	49%	-0.65	-18.3	5.36%	-1.6	-1.6	52	-1.8

16	Mar_11_2022	555.36	414.64	424.24	409.03	412.73	404.88	391.09(-6.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-176	-110	-213	-63	0.35	50%	-0.64	-12.2	5.31%	-1.4	-0.9	52	0.6
17	Mar_10_2022	558.93	416.67	426.23	412.96	412.27	427.44	418.75(-4.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	72	250	76	59	0.26	52%	-0.62	7.4	5.29%	-0.5	0.1	54	0.9
18	Mar_9_2022	562.43	417.87	424.48	414.96	410.04	420.57	436.75(6.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	192	140	219	111	0.45	50%	-0.53	26.4	5.27%	0.9	0.7	50	-0.8
19	Mar_8_2022	565.44	417.12	417.7	419.36	410.03	397.1	409.01(5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-90	-290	-109	-31	0.44	48%	-0.6	41.6	5.26%	0.4	-0.3	46	-1.2
20	Mar_7_2022	568.85	417.36	415	430.46	423.46	399.5	389.53(-5.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-289	-440	-347	-116	0.47	49%	-0.65	63.3	5.21%	-2	-1.1	49	-1.6

21	Mar_4_2022	572.56	417.79	416.08	441.65	442.88	422.96	410.76(-4.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-232	-310	-284	-76	0.34	48%	-0.56	87.9	5.23%	-1.6	-0.3	52	-1.2
22	Mar_3_2022	575.81	414.78	415.63	440.47	451.8	447.42	428.75(-6.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-74	10	-96	-9	0.32	46%	-0.53	77.2	5.25%	-2	0.5	50	-0.8
23	Mar_2_2022	578.85	411.07	415.91	434.19	443.98	462.8	458.74(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	146	360	167	84	0.38	48%	-0.44	64.8	5.27%	0.5	1.4	51	-1
24	Mar_1_2022	581.42	406.68	413.03	415.35	428.74	456.18	464.52(4.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	386	540	456	174	0.64	48%	-0.47	51	5.28%	1.3	1.8	57	-1.8
25	Feb_28_2022	584.18	401.71	406.83	397.84	403.1	425.17	445.5(10.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	271	420	330	95	0.54	50%		37	5.25%	1.3	1.4	57	-1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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