Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MSTR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Mar. 15, 2022

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $395.3800 (7.16%) ($395.3800 - $396.3700) on Tue. Mar. 15, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.43% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $395.3800(7.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(63%)    IWF(63%)    IWO(63%)    QQQ(63%)    IVW(62%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -2.715% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-34%)    UUP(-17%)    VXX(-9%)    TBT(-3%)    UNG(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.715% (StdDev 5.43%)
Hourly BBV 0.6 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $411.5
5 Day Moving Average   $402.19(-1.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $409.7(-3.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $411.5(-3.92%)
To recent high   -34.8%
To recent low   23.8%
Market Cap   $3.664b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 6.73% (three month std-dev: 5.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 3.43%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.74%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.18%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.32%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.24%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220415

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_15_2022	548.15	411.5	409.7	402.19	393.59	382.29	395.38(7.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-270	-37	-36	0.35	51%	-0.65	-20.1	5.43%	0.6	-0.6	59	-2.8
2	Mar_14_2022	551.76	412.25	416.27	404.91	403.72	379.99	368.96(-5.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-242	-420	-286	-111	0.46	49%	-0.65	-18.3	5.36%	-1.6	-1.6	52	-1.8
3	Mar_11_2022	555.36	414.64	424.24	409.03	412.73	404.88	391.09(-6.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-176	-110	-213	-63	0.35	50%	-0.64	-12.2	5.31%	-1.4	-0.9	52	0.6
4	Mar_10_2022	558.93	416.67	426.23	412.96	412.27	427.44	418.75(-4.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	72	250	76	59	0.26	52%	-0.62	7.4	5.29%	-0.5	0.1	54	0.9
5	Mar_9_2022	562.43	417.87	424.48	414.96	410.04	420.57	436.75(6.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	192	140	219	111	0.45	50%	-0.53	26.4	5.27%	0.9	0.7	50	-0.8

6	Mar_8_2022	565.44	417.12	417.7	419.36	410.03	397.1	409.01(5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-90	-290	-109	-31	0.44	48%	-0.6	41.6	5.26%	0.4	-0.3	46	-1.2
7	Mar_7_2022	568.85	417.36	415	430.46	423.46	399.5	389.53(-5.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-289	-440	-347	-116	0.47	49%	-0.65	63.3	5.21%	-2	-1.1	49	-1.6
8	Mar_4_2022	572.56	417.79	416.08	441.65	442.88	422.96	410.76(-4.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-232	-310	-284	-76	0.34	48%	-0.56	87.9	5.23%	-1.6	-0.3	52	-1.2
9	Mar_3_2022	575.81	414.78	415.63	440.47	451.8	447.42	428.75(-6.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-74	10	-96	-9	0.32	46%	-0.53	77.2	5.25%	-2	0.5	50	-0.8
10	Mar_2_2022	578.85	411.07	415.91	434.19	443.98	462.8	458.74(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	146	360	167	84	0.38	48%	-0.44	64.8	5.27%	0.5	1.4	51	-1

11	Mar_1_2022	581.42	406.68	413.03	415.35	428.74	456.18	464.52(4.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	386	540	456	174	0.64	48%	-0.47	51	5.28%	1.3	1.8	57	-1.8
12	Feb_28_2022	584.18	401.71	406.83	397.84	403.1	425.17	445.5(10.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	271	420	330	95	0.54	50%	-0.46	37	5.25%	1.3	1.4	57	-1
13	Feb_25_2022	586.88	396.46	402.92	397.84	386.78	401.3	404.84(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	169	250	213	36	0.39	46%	-0.5	20.1	5.1%	1.2	0.3	55	-0.7
14	Feb_24_2022	589.84	392.54	405.22	387.84	384.45	381.03	397.36(9.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	51	-90	68	-1	0.69	46%	-0.48	0.2	5.13%	2.2	0.1	65	-1.1
15	Feb_23_2022	592.68	390.56	409.82	395.44	386.21	372.27	364.52(-3.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-235	-320	-279	-103	0.34	43%	-0.5	-6.9	4.97%	-1.6	-0.7	58	-1.5

16	Feb_22_2022	595.64	390.85	416.27	410.04	403.98	387.88	376.99(-4.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-168	-320	-211	-37	0.45	43%	-0.41	-8.4	4.97%	-0.9	-0.4	54	-0.8
17	Feb_18_2022	598.12	390.8	420.33	416.3	417.46	400.16	395.51(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-180	-280	-233	-20	0.43	42%	-0.31	-19.4	4.92%	-1	0.1	59	-1.1
18	Feb_17_2022	599.97	390.27	420.58	419.5	422	420.09	404.8(-7.02%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-115	-10	-164	31	0.35	42%	-0.27	-27.6	4.93%	-2.1	0.4	66	-1
19	Feb_16_2022	601.61	392.45	415.25	424.67	423.67	434.76	435.37(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	131	180	119	166	0.31	42%	-0.23	-28.8	4.87%	1.3	1	75	0.3
20	Feb_15_2022	603.02	393.08	407.04	426.84	422.11	423.92	437.52(7.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	116	-0	99	166	0.31	42%	-0.26	-31.1	4.9%	0.9	1	65	-0.1

21	Feb_14_2022	604.62	393.94	400.49	424.28	425.16	412.59	408.31(-0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-51	-200	-98	92	0.32	40%	-0.32	-34.2	4.8%	-1.3	0.3	59	-1
22	Feb_11_2022	606.57	397.81	396.66	425.08	427.92	420.31	411.48(-4.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-118	-100	-179	65	0.46	40%	-0.33	-28.9	4.8%	-2.2	0.3	58	-1
23	Feb_10_2022	608.58	401.15	389.77	421.21	428.12	437.73	430.68(-3.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	114	210	99	157	0.62	39%	-0.29	-29.7	4.78%	-0.1	0.6	58	0.1
24	Feb_9_2022	610.32	404.6	378.8	403.46	418.88	435.53	446.2(5.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	312	390	355	182	0.36	39%	-0.23	-34.9	4.8%	2	0.7	47	0.6
25	Feb_8_2022	611.7	406.9	369.03	384.11	393.74	418.51	424.74(3.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	251	520	303	93	0.46	40%		-43.9	4.74%	0.9	0.3	44	0.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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