Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MSTR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Dec. 30, 2021

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $561.4200 (0.76%) ($561.4200 - $561.4200) on Thu. Dec. 30, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.71% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $561.4200(0.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(64%)    IWF(64%)    QQQ(64%)    IVW(63%)    IWO(63%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -1.855% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-35%)    UUP(-17%)    VXX(-11%)    IGOV(-4%)    TBT(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.855% (StdDev 3.71%)
Hourly BBV -0.1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $589.93
5 Day Moving Average   $577.98(-2.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $571.2(-1.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $589.93(-4.83%)
To recent high   -34.7%
To recent low   2.8%
Market Cap   $5.203b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 5.49% (three month std-dev: 3.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 2.91%(64%) Average negative next day return: -2.32%(36%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 8.16%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -2%(43%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 5.72%(79%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.71%(21%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220130

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_30_2021	677.43	589.93	571.2	577.98	572.8	559.29	561.42(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-94	-190	-107	-55	0.3	47%	-0.28	-82.5	3.71%	-0.1	-0.9	45	1.4
2	Dec_29_2021	679.36	596.62	574.83	579.6	582.19	561.48	557.16(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-308	-240	-357	-162	0.24	47%	-0.3	-66.1	3.72%	-1.1	-1	36	1.4
3	Dec_28_2021	681.38	604.52	577.17	581.59	584.81	586.31	565.79(-6.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-192	30	-217	-116	0.32	47%	-0.31	-52.5	3.72%	-1.2	-0.8	39	1.4
4	Dec_27_2021	683.5	610.91	578.06	577.62	584.46	602.9	606.82(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	324	260	393	115	0.3	50%	-0.25	-53.7	3.65%	1	-0.1	52	1.3
5	Dec_23_2021	685.23	613.48	576.77	570.55	570.14	583.31	598.73(5.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	241	160	302	59	0.44	50%	-0.1	-61.7	3.62%	2.7	-0.3	44	1.4

6	Dec_22_2021	685.94	617.91	575.7	564.2	563.27	566.01	569.51(0.43%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.1	83	30	125	-45	0.25	48%	-0.09	-66.9	3.59%	0.6	-0.9	33	1.3
7	Dec_21_2021	686.53	624.13	581.85	570.17	562.65	556.98	567.08(3.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-131	-110	-124	-151	0.27	48%	-0.1	-67.7	3.61%	0.5	-1	30	0.9
8	Dec_20_2021	687.25	630.23	587.77	572.51	571.39	560.53	545.94(-4.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-182	-140	-178	-193	0.33	46%	-0.11	-75.5	3.58%	-1.1	-1.6	24	0.5
9	Dec_17_2021	688.04	638.94	593.26	577.92	579.08	568.32	571.5(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-207	-120	-203	-219	0.45	48%	-0.08	-81.7	3.58%	0.2	-1.3	32	0.8
10	Dec_16_2021	688.58	646.7	599.11	583.54	579.45	582.26	566.96(-5.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-190	10	-182	-212	0.4	48%	-0.12	-85.7	3.59%	-0.6	-1.5	39	0.8

11	Dec_15_2021	689.42	655.94	610.21	588.57	588.06	589.83	599.38(3.56%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	132	20	195	-59	0.51	51%	-0.04	-87.5	3.53%	2.6	-1	38	1
12	Dec_14_2021	689.73	663.44	619.87	595.91	586.25	576.64	578.75(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-257	-160	-265	-233	0.31	49%	-0.16	-89.9	3.52%	-0.2	-1.5	34	0.8
13	Dec_13_2021	690.86	674.09	633.86	605.93	600.2	586.3	573(-4.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-250	-190	-263	-212	0.35	49%	0.05	-86.8	3.53%	-1.3	-1.7	35	0.8
14	Dec_10_2021	690.51	685.89	646.56	610.6	614.76	595.86	599.59(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-236	-190	-247	-204	0.3	51%	0.07	-82.7	3.51%	-0.6	-1.4	34	0.9
15	Dec_9_2021	690.06	696.59	653.34	616.85	612.52	614.11	592.12(-6.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-340	-0	-367	-258	0.35	51%	0.05	-77.1	3.54%	-2	-1.6	32	0.3

16	Dec_8_2021	689.72	707.78	663.85	634.84	621.29	633.67	636.09(1.15%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0	160	80	219	-16	0.21	56%	0.2	-71.2	3.43%	0.6	-1.1	33	0.6
17	Dec_7_2021	688.37	718.61	669.89	648.33	632.78	610.94	628.85(5.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-147	-310	-143	-157	0.39	50%	0.2	-58	3.43%	0.6	-1.3	32	-0.1
18	Dec_6_2021	687.03	729.89	676.2	667.24	650.63	608.92	596.37(-5.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-832	-520	-950	-476	0.63	47%	0.11	-42.6	3.52%	-1	-1.9	21	-1.4
19	Dec_3_2021	686.3	740.37	689.04	687.67	683.99	654.63	630.84(-7.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-617	-320	-699	-369	0.81	50%	0.14	-33.9	3.49%	-1.6	-1.7	22	-2.2
20	Dec_2_2021	685.36	749.16	699.03	694.03	701.82	692.35	682.06(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-265	-60	-281	-216	0.45	56%	0.18	-28.3	3.37%	-1.2	-1.1	25	-1.7

21	Dec_1_2021	684.12	755.7	705.81	696.29	698.13	713.35	703.51(-2.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	16	160	53	-94	0.76	56%	0.18	-21.2	3.35%	0.3	-0.9	27	-2.6
22	Nov_30_2021	682.88	760.43	710.27	694.78	695.81	711.29	723.43(3.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	389	160	499	58	0.58	56%	0.2	-17.8	3.31%	1.7	-0.6	25	-2
23	Nov_29_2021	681.5	761.35	716.44	687.79	688.78	682.91	698.51(5.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	-60	37	-151	0.56	53%	0.11	-22.2	3.28%	0.7	-1.1	18	-0.3
24	Nov_26_2021	680.78	762.84	727.01	691.89	688.63	680.34	662.65(-4.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-342	-100	-354	-304	0.37	49%	0.13	-21	3.22%	0	-1.8	28	-3.8
25	Nov_24_2021	679.89	766.51	742.35	704.83	701.55	694.65	693.37(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-137	-80	-119	-192	0.39	53%		-17.6	3.21%	0	-1.4	31	0.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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