Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 5, 2021

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $428.6300 (0.8%) ($406.5101 - $438.4000) on Tue. Jan. 5, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.28% (three month average)
RSI   89
Latest Price   $428.6300(0.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR advances 3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR advances 17.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BLOK(67%)    IWO(58%)    IBUY(56%)    ONLN(55%)    QQQ(55%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -2.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    UUP(-17%)    VXX(-12%)    IGOV(-2%)    UNG(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.64% (StdDev 5.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $399.69(7.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $370.05(15.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $333.97(28.34%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   189.2%
Market Cap   $3.972b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 14.3% (three month std-dev: 5.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 19 Average positive next day return: 2.27%(37%) Average negative next day return: -5.49%(63%) Sample size 19 Average positive next three day return: 15.58%(32%) Average negative next three day return: -10.39%(68%) Sample size 19 Average positive next weekly return: 26.36%(42%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.36%(58%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_5_2021	210.23	333.97	370.05	399.69	405.31	423.82	428.63(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	272	360	262	300	1.1	77%	1.42	44.4	5.28%	0	2	89	-0.5
2	Jan_4_2021	207.29	328.4	357.23	387.96	389.92	406.58	425.22(9.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	291	310	288	301	1.47	77%	1.75	49.2	5.28%	0	2.3	85	-1.6
3	Dec_31_2020	203.73	323.12	344.21	367.44	375.88	386.81	388.55(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	232	270	227	245	0.74	76%	1.27	51.4	5.21%	0	1.9	80	1.2
4	Dec_30_2020	201.17	319.37	335.13	357.17	361.01	373.26	389.97(6.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	175	270	164	208	0.94	76%	1.31	59.9	5.21%	0	2.3	81	1.3
5	Dec_29_2020	198.56	315.63	324.5	345.47	348.66	364.95	366.07(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	214	350	216	208	0.74	74%	1.26	77.6	5.18%	0	2	76	0.2

6	Dec_28_2020	196.09	314.02	315.75	335.78	340.32	348.76	370(14.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	242	210	261	186	1.1	75%	1.67	97.6	5.18%	0	2.3	56	1.2
7	Dec_24_2020	192.86	308.98	306.95	322.02	325.38	332.38	322.61(-4.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	63	180	62	65	0.25	72%	1.05	100.4	4.87%	0	0.6	48	1.3
8	Dec_23_2020	190.86	306.49	303.67	317.06	317.16	331.88	337.18(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	166	330	191	91	0.59	70%	1.14	101.8	4.84%	0	1.3	50	0.5
9	Dec_22_2020	188.7	302.12	298.32	309.44	310.55	318.38	331.5(4.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	175	190	210	68	0.64	70%	1.13	92.5	4.88%	0	1.2	53	-0.7
10	Dec_21_2020	186.6	296.84	293.78	300.3	304.93	302.45	317.6(5.44%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	26	-10	45	-32	0.71	67%	1.06	72.6	4.86%	0	0.7	47	-1.6

11	Dec_18_2020	184.64	292.33	294.92	292.69	298.96	302.72	301.2(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-44	150	-31	-81	1.32	65%	0.99	63	4.89%	0	0.3	35	1.2
12	Dec_17_2020	182.83	288.46	297.21	289.63	296.92	307.4	297.8(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	120	320	158	6	1.25	62%	0.98	59.2	4.91%	0	0.3	62	1.6
13	Dec_16_2020	181.06	284.55	300.25	288.14	291.68	295.19	299.12(4.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	91	120	119	8	1.12	65%	1.02	56.7	4.99%	0	0.4	62	1.5
14	Dec_15_2020	179.23	280.3	302.3	285.56	286.99	286.45	285.79(2.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-19	0	-17	-26	0.54	68%	0.96	54.3	5.17%	0	0.1	66	0.8
15	Dec_14_2020	177.53	276.56	306.13	286.29	286.91	288.18	279.53(-2.23%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-20	40	-29	6	0.83	68%	0.93	54.3	5.27%	0	0.1	71	-0.6

16	Dec_11_2020	175.89	272.6	312.44	297.63	290.52	287.53	285.92(-1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-30	-140	-61	62	0.38	68%	0.96	59.9	5.25%	0	0.3	72	0.3
17	Dec_10_2020	174.21	267.99	311.72	306.04	302.46	285.65	290.33(1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-88	-420	-142	75	0.51	68%	0.99	63.4	5.24%	0	0.4	74	0.9
18	Dec_9_2020	172.51	263.32	310.4	314.3	312.43	293.52	286.21(-1.12%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-225	-440	-318	55	1.32	68%	0.98	69.6	5.24%	0	0.4	74	1
19	Dec_8_2020	170.84	258.56	307.41	321.32	323.6	319.26	289.45(-13.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-70	-70	-149	169	1.49	67%	1.01	74.3	5.24%	0	0.5	76	1.6
20	Dec_7_2020	169.13	253.5	301.59	328.23	328.12	331.34	336.22(2.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	106	70	40	305	0.35	73%	1.32	80.2	4.9%	0	1.4	89	1.1

21	Dec_4_2020	166.93	245.81	290.5	329.54	327.01	327.94	328(-1.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	128	-0	53	354	0.3	73%	1.29	87.6	4.93%	0	1.5	90	1.2
22	Dec_3_2020	164.81	238.32	279.62	318.19	325.78	324.89	331.6(3.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	169	50	101	373	0.25	71%	1.31	86.7	4.94%	0	1.7	92	0.9
23	Dec_2_2020	162.68	230.14	267.73	305.93	309.88	326.08	321.32(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	167	400	102	363	0.41	71%	1.29	85.6	4.97%	0	1.8	87	1
24	Dec_1_2020	160.61	222.41	256.3	291.11	295.43	326.67	324(-5.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	506	780	506	504	0.8	72%	1.32	81	4.97%	0	2.2	89	1
25	Nov_30_2020	158.51	214.21	243.93	270.46	271.71	293.67	342.77(26.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	487	580	497	458	1.57	75%		73.1	4.87%	0	3.1	95	1.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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