Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 10, 2020

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $290.3300 (1.44%) ($282.3800 - $291.7700) on Thu. Dec. 10, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.24% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $290.3300(1.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR declines -2.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR advances 11.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BLOK(66%)    IWO(57%)    IBUY(56%)    DRIV(54%)    IPO(54%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -2.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    UUP(-17%)    VXX(-12%)    IGOV(-2%)    UNG(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.62% (StdDev 5.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $306.04(-5.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $311.72(-6.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $267.99(8.34%)
To recent high   -15.3%
To recent low   107.8%
Market Cap   $2.69b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 19.64% (three month std-dev: 5.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -33.18%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -45.14%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -44.21%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210110

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_10_2020	174.21	267.99	311.72	306.04	302.46	285.65	290.33(1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-88	-420	-142	75	0.51	68%	0.99	63.4	5.24%	0	0.4	74	0.9
2	Dec_9_2020	172.51	263.32	310.4	314.3	312.43	293.52	286.21(-1.12%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-225	-440	-318	55	1.32	68%	0.98	69.6	5.24%	0	0.4	74	1
3	Dec_8_2020	170.84	258.56	307.41	321.32	323.6	319.26	289.45(-13.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-70	-70	-149	169	1.49	67%	1.01	74.3	5.24%	0	0.5	76	1.6
4	Dec_7_2020	169.13	253.5	301.59	328.23	328.12	331.34	336.22(2.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	106	70	40	305	0.35	73%	1.32	80.2	4.9%	0	1.4	89	1.1
5	Dec_4_2020	166.93	245.81	290.5	329.54	327.01	327.94	328(-1.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	128	-0	53	354	0.3	73%	1.29	87.6	4.93%	0	1.5	90	1.2

6	Dec_3_2020	164.81	238.32	279.62	318.19	325.78	324.89	331.6(3.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	169	50	101	373	0.25	71%	1.31	86.7	4.94%	0	1.7	92	0.9
7	Dec_2_2020	162.68	230.14	267.73	305.93	309.88	326.08	321.32(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	167	400	102	363	0.41	71%	1.29	85.6	4.97%	0	1.8	87	1
8	Dec_1_2020	160.61	222.41	256.3	291.11	295.43	326.67	324(-5.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	506	780	506	504	0.8	72%	1.32	81	4.97%	0	2.2	89	1
9	Nov_30_2020	158.51	214.21	243.93	270.46	271.71	293.67	342.77(26.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	487	580	497	458	1.57	75%	1.45	73.1	4.87%	0	3.1	95	1.1
10	Nov_27_2020	156.24	204.9	228.15	246.33	246.68	264.2	271.26(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	323	500	307	370	0.56	69%	1.24	71.2	3.73%	0	2.2	91	1.1

11	Nov_25_2020	154.32	199.26	219.57	235.5	235.62	249.75	270.28(9.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	398	420	406	375	0.89	69%	0.99	62	3.7%	0	2.6	92	1.3
12	Nov_24_2020	152.8	193.62	211.38	224.03	223.33	229.16	247.23(11.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	193	170	171	258	1.12	67%	0.84	56.6	3.56%	0	2.4	91	1.1
13	Nov_23_2020	151.52	189.8	205.07	216.23	218.28	221.48	220.76(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	139	130	109	227	0.2	62%	0.46	56.9	3.29%	0	1.6	89	1.1
14	Nov_20_2020	150.82	187.4	201.48	212.86	214.06	217.49	222.11(2.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	137	130	105	232	0.21	62%	0.71	59.4	3.28%	0	2	91	1.2
15	Nov_19_2020	149.76	185.31	197.73	206.89	208.56	215.07	217.11(1.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	165	240	141	236	0.14	62%	0.67	61.9	3.28%	0	2	90	1.3

16	Nov_18_2020	148.76	183.43	194.09	200.86	202.56	210.62	212.96(2.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	212	300	200	249	0.38	62%	0.65	63.8	3.28%	0	2.2	91	1.3
17	Nov_17_2020	147.8	181.67	190.02	196.7	196.35	202.05	208.2(2.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	180	200	164	227	0.2	62%	0.61	68.8	3.28%	0	2.2	90	1.6
18	Nov_16_2020	146.9	179.62	186.34	192.29	192.55	194.51	203.93(6.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	118	80	99	175	0.2	62%	0.61	66.4	3.29%	0	2.2	68	1.6
19	Nov_13_2020	146.01	177.56	182.58	188.5	189.4	190.66	192.27(2.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	60	18	115	0.16	63%	0.52	62.7	3.32%	0	1.5	64	1.5
20	Nov_12_2020	145.26	176.16	180.08	187.17	187.95	190.6	186.94(-2.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	71	110	58	110	0.18	63%	0.51	61.9	3.31%	0	1.2	51	1.1

21	Nov_11_2020	144.52	175.1	177.67	186.12	186.02	188.15	192.16(3.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	83	80	79	95	0.13	66%	0.52	61	3.28%	0	1.8	55	1.8
22	Nov_10_2020	143.77	173.66	174.63	182.2	183.57	185.3	186.14(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	54	90	57	44	0.17	66%	0.48	59.8	3.43%	0	1.5	53	1.7
23	Nov_9_2020	143.09	172.62	173.42	179.36	180.5	183.89	185.01(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	65	150	73	41	0.31	66%	0.48	62.5	3.43%	0	1.5	63	1.4
24	Nov_6_2020	142.41	171.65	172.25	175.67	177.01	181.84	185.62(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	101	210	118	48	0.16	66%	0.47	63.7	3.43%	0	1.8	66	1.7
25	Nov_5_2020	141.75	170.56	171.83	171.96	172.89	177.11	181.68(5.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	103	190	122	46	0.17	66%		66.5	3.43%	0	1.6	64	1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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