Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 24, 2020

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $247.2300 (11.99%) ($222.4100 - $248.8350) on Tue. Nov. 24, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.56% (three month average)
RSI   91
Latest Price   $247.2300(11.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR advances 3.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR advances 11.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BLOK(66%)    IWO(56%)    IBUY(55%)    DRIV(53%)    IPO(53%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -1.78% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    UUP(-17%)    VXX(-12%)    EDOC(-5%)    UNG(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.78% (StdDev 3.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 9.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $224.03(10.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $211.38(16.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $193.62(27.69%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   78.1%
Market Cap   $2.291b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 11.62% (three month std-dev: 3.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 30 Average positive next day return: 4.46%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.82%(50%) Sample size 30 Average positive next three day return: 4.26%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -4.64%(57%) Sample size 30 Average positive next weekly return: 6.95%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.15%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20201224

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_24_2020	152.8	193.62	211.38	224.03	223.33	229.16	247.23(11.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	193	170	171	258	1.12	67%	0.84	56.6	3.56%	0	2.4	91	1.1
2	Nov_23_2020	151.52	189.8	205.07	216.23	218.28	221.48	220.76(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	139	130	109	227	0.2	62%	0.46	56.9	3.29%	0	1.6	89	1.1
3	Nov_20_2020	150.82	187.4	201.48	212.86	214.06	217.49	222.11(2.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	137	130	105	232	0.21	62%	0.71	59.4	3.28%	0	2	91	1.2
4	Nov_19_2020	149.76	185.31	197.73	206.89	208.56	215.07	217.11(1.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	165	240	141	236	0.14	62%	0.67	61.9	3.28%	0	2	90	1.3
5	Nov_18_2020	148.76	183.43	194.09	200.86	202.56	210.62	212.96(2.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	212	300	200	249	0.38	62%	0.65	63.8	3.28%	0	2.2	91	1.3

6	Nov_17_2020	147.8	181.67	190.02	196.7	196.35	202.05	208.2(2.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	180	200	164	227	0.2	62%	0.61	68.8	3.28%	0	2.2	90	1.6
7	Nov_16_2020	146.9	179.62	186.34	192.29	192.55	194.51	203.93(6.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	118	80	99	175	0.2	62%	0.61	66.4	3.29%	0	2.2	68	1.6
8	Nov_13_2020	146.01	177.56	182.58	188.5	189.4	190.66	192.27(2.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	60	18	115	0.16	63%	0.52	62.7	3.32%	0	1.5	64	1.5
9	Nov_12_2020	145.26	176.16	180.08	187.17	187.95	190.6	186.94(-2.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	71	110	58	110	0.18	63%	0.51	61.9	3.31%	0	1.2	51	1.1
10	Nov_11_2020	144.52	175.1	177.67	186.12	186.02	188.15	192.16(3.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	83	80	79	95	0.13	66%	0.52	61	3.28%	0	1.8	55	1.8

11	Nov_10_2020	143.77	173.66	174.63	182.2	183.57	185.3	186.14(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	54	90	57	44	0.17	66%	0.48	59.8	3.43%	0	1.5	53	1.7
12	Nov_9_2020	143.09	172.62	173.42	179.36	180.5	183.89	185.01(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	65	150	73	41	0.31	66%	0.48	62.5	3.43%	0	1.5	63	1.4
13	Nov_6_2020	142.41	171.65	172.25	175.67	177.01	181.84	185.62(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	101	210	118	48	0.16	66%	0.47	63.7	3.43%	0	1.8	66	1.7
14	Nov_5_2020	141.75	170.56	171.83	171.96	172.89	177.11	181.68(5.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	103	190	122	46	0.17	66%	0.43	66.5	3.43%	0	1.6	64	1
15	Nov_4_2020	141.14	169.64	171.74	168.02	168.78	172.17	172.53(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	68	150	83	24	0.11	64%	0.36	57.7	3.38%	0	0.4	58	0.8

16	Nov_3_2020	140.63	168.74	172.5	165.94	166.14	168.66	171.95(3.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	110	44	12	0.09	64%	0.36	46.3	3.38%	0	0.4	59	-0.6
17	Nov_2_2020	140.13	167.72	172.26	166.67	166.4	165.38	166.57(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	0	-50	0	1	0.13	64%	0.35	44.8	3.37%	0	-0.1	53	-1.4
18	Oct_30_2020	139.64	166.91	172.17	168.35	168.64	163.62	167.07(3.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-85	-200	-103	-32	0.24	64%	0.36	44.5	3.37%	0	0	53	-1.7
19	Oct_29_2020	139.14	165.98	172.07	171.8	172.59	167.42	161.96(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-123	-200	-153	-31	0.18	66%	0.27	52.2	3.35%	0	-0.4	51	-1.4
20	Oct_28_2020	138.76	165.44	172.66	176.02	177.63	173.67	162.15(-7.65%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-70	-130	-99	18	0.39	66%	0.27	63.4	3.38%	0	-0.3	52	-2.6

21	Oct_27_2020	138.39	164.95	173.07	179.8	180.54	177.77	175.58(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-29	-100	-63	73	0.17	71%	0.36	72.9	3.22%	0	0.9	76	-0.5
22	Oct_26_2020	137.89	163.67	172.16	178.49	181.38	181.59	175(-5.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	35	60	9	113	0.17	71%	0.36	68.5	3.22%	0	1	78	-0.4
23	Oct_23_2020	137.39	162.48	171.31	176.32	178.32	183.31	184.3(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	107	230	91	156	0.12	73%	0.44	62.7	3.17%	0	1.9	91	1.1
24	Oct_22_2020	136.79	160.52	169.26	172.4	173.76	181.17	183.05(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	181	320	178	189	0.18	73%	0.4	51.2	3.17%	0	2.1	91	1.2
25	Oct_21_2020	136.25	158.61	167.23	168.99	169.39	173.33	181.05(7.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	163	170	158	178	0.27	73%		39	3.17%	0	2.3	85	0.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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