Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MSTR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 12, 2020

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $149.8400 (-1.49%) ($149.4500 - $153.5400) on Wed. Feb. 12, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $149.8400(-1.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BLOK(64%)    IBUY(53%)    IPO(52%)    IWO(52%)    ONLN(51%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    VXX(-15%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-3%)    IGOV(-0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $151.66(-1.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $151.7(-1.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $149(0.56%)
To recent high   -5.2%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $1.389b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 2.36% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.77%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.75%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.51%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200312

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_12_2020	148.4	149	151.7	151.66	151.97	151.7	149.84(-1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	-10	-34	77	0.05	46%	0.01	56.4	1.25%	0	0.2	60	1
2	Feb_11_2020	148.39	148.76	151.99	152.26	152.32	152.19	152.1(0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	28	-0	-4	122	0.05	48%	0.01	61.3	1.25%	0	0.9	64	0.1
3	Feb_10_2020	148.37	148.38	151.26	152.2	152.41	152.24	151.45(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	32	-0	2	121	0.03	48%	0.01	61.9	1.25%	0	0.8	63	0.2
4	Feb_7_2020	148.35	147.94	150.45	151.81	152.17	152.44	152.66(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	25	20	-2	104	0.07	48%	0.02	56.1	1.24%	0	1.3	63	-0.1
5	Feb_6_2020	148.32	147.48	149.54	151.68	152.07	152.58	152.24(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	30	26	104	0.06	48%	0.03	55.6	1.25%	0	1.3	63	0.2

6	Feb_5_2020	148.28	147.04	148.89	151.77	152.08	151.91	152.84(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-0	8	100	0.1	48%	0.03	60.1	1.24%	0	1.6	65	0.1
7	Feb_4_2020	148.24	146.57	148.18	151.72	152.37	151.56	151.81(1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-11	-20	-43	84	0.09	48%	0.03	66.8	1.25%	0	1.6	67	-0.7
8	Feb_3_2020	148.2	146.18	147.56	150.16	153.71	152.25	149.48(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	45	0	29	91	0.1	45%	0.03	57.2	1.23%	0	1	64	-1.4
9	Jan_31_2020	148.16	145.87	147.27	148.77	151.58	153.19	152.03(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	20	130	3	70	0.1	48%	0.03	43.4	1.21%	0	2	75	-2.4
10	Jan_30_2020	148.12	145.46	146.69	147	148.96	155.18	152.7(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	255	330	286	161	0.1	55%	0.03	31.4	1.21%	0	2.6	72	-0.4

11	Jan_29_2020	148.07	144.93	145.97	145.61	146.73	149.97	152.6(5.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.1	299	180	344	164	0.25	55%	0.05	17.6	1.34%	0	3.5	71	-0.7
12	Jan_28_2020	147.99	144.37	145.12	144.27	144.03	142.74	144(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-50	-70	-61	-17	0.06	45%	0	-8.4	1.11%	0	-0.3	52	-0.7
13	Jan_27_2020	147.99	144.41	145.2	144.66	144.84	143.49	142.53(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-97	-60	-119	-31	0.05	45%	0.02	-3.9	1.11%	0	-1.3	44	-1.9
14	Jan_24_2020	147.96	144.54	145.25	145.5	145.83	145.31	143.16(-1.77%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.7	-47	-20	-64	5	0.04	45%	0.01	9.2	1.11%	0	-1	51	0
15	Jan_23_2020	147.94	144.61	145.32	146.21	146.4	146.19	145.74(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-10	-16	38	0.05	48%	0.06	14.7	1.1%	0	0.8	58	1.2

16	Jan_22_2020	147.85	144.53	145.13	146.32	146.66	146.35	145.92(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-10	-4	50	0.05	48%	0.01	9.4	1.1%	0	1	67	1.1
17	Jan_21_2020	147.83	144.49	144.93	146.09	146.48	146.61	145.95(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	10	-3	53	0.05	48%	0.02	5.4	1.1%	0	1.1	69	1.4
18	Jan_17_2020	147.8	144.47	144.75	145.82	146.12	146.97	146.74(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	64	50	61	72	0.03	48%	0.03	-3.4	1.1%	0	1.8	56	1.9
19	Jan_16_2020	147.75	144.4	144.42	144.95	145.31	146.36	146.72(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	75	60	81	57	0.04	48%	0.05	-41.7	1.1%	0	1.9	54	2.2
20	Jan_15_2020	147.67	144.41	144.15	144.3	144.44	145.27	146.27(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	57	40	64	37	0.05	48%	0.05	-82.1	1.1%	0	1.6	56	2

21	Jan_14_2020	147.59	144.4	143.77	143.79	144.01	144.27	144.77(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	20	40	11	0.05	48%	0.03	-105.7	1.09%	0	0.3	51	2.3
22	Jan_13_2020	147.54	144.42	143.5	143.61	143.76	143.6	144.59(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-13	-0	-9	-23	0.05	48%	0.05	-123.7	1.09%	0	0.1	46	2.5
23	Jan_10_2020	147.47	144.52	143.49	143.54	143.86	143.75	142.39(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-19	0	-15	-32	0.04	45%	0.01	-136.6	1.08%	0	-1.6	34	1.4
24	Jan_9_2020	147.46	144.9	143.76	143.78	144	143.92	143.5(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	0	-1	-25	0.06	45%	0.02	-135.1	1.07%	0	-1	38	1.4
25	Jan_8_2020	147.43	145.33	143.85	143.94	143.89	143.96	143.71(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	0	-2	-33	0.04	41%		-92.1	1.07%	0	-0.9	33	0.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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