Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 19, 2017

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $189.8100 (0.56%) ($186.3900 - $190.0900) on Wed. Jul. 19, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.06% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $189.8100(0.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(50%)    IWO(50%)    SKYY(48%)    ARKK(46%)    IWC(46%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -0.53% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    TLT(-4%)    XHB(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.53% (StdDev 1.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $186.98(1.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $185.94(2.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $186.17(1.96%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $1.759b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 1.24% (three month std-dev: 1.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 0.41%(42%) Average negative next day return: -1.11%(58%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 0.88%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.96%(67%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 1.56%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.6%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170819

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_19_2017	186.43	186.17	185.94	186.98	186.73	188.14	189.81(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	76	50	93	26	0.06	53%	-0.01	43.5	1.06%	0	1.6	50	0
2	Jul_18_2017	186.45	185.84	185.38	186.55	186.52	186.38	188.75(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	49	-10	64	5	0.08	53%	-0.03	41.7	1.05%	0	1.3	56	0
3	Jul_17_2017	186.51	185.52	185.1	185.67	186.34	185.33	185.82(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-54	-30	-54	-53	0.05	53%	-0.04	33.9	1.04%	0	0.1	53	0
4	Jul_14_2017	186.59	185.37	185.61	185.26	186.11	186.67	184.73(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	30	-28	-32	0.03	53%	-0.05	31	1.05%	0	-0.3	51	0
5	Jul_13_2017	186.68	185.29	186.03	185.31	185.94	187.34	185.79(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	96	60	115	38	0.03	51%	-0.05	27.9	1.06%	0	0.2	53	0

6	Jul_12_2017	186.77	185.18	186.31	184.68	185.1	185.55	187.68(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	66	20	79	25	0.04	51%	-0.04	22.1	1.06%	0	1	57	0
7	Jul_11_2017	186.85	184.9	186.05	184.05	184.22	184.54	184.34(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	10	-17	-19	0.08	48%	-0.02	13.7	1.04%	0	-0.2	55	0
8	Jul_10_2017	186.88	184.77	186.13	184.49	184.44	184.66	183.77(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	10	-14	-4	0.05	50%	-0.05	13	1.05%	0	-0.4	56	0
9	Jul_7_2017	186.97	184.64	186.13	186.07	185.6	183.91	184.99(1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-49	-70	-68	9	0.05	50%	-0.04	16.4	1.05%	0	0.1	58	0
10	Jul_6_2017	187.05	184.62	186.29	186.89	187.17	184.22	182.62(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-156	-110	-200	-23	0.06	48%	-0.06	23.4	1.04%	0	-0.7	52	0

11	Jul_5_2017	187.17	184.64	186.53	188.13	188.56	187.28	184.52(-1.08%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-110	-40	-154	22	0.07	47%	-0.07	36.3	1.03%	0	-0	55	0
12	Jul_3_2017	187.3	184.56	186.45	188.25	189.1	190.11	186.54(-2.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	63	50	47	110	0.05	48%	-0.02	38.9	1.03%	0	0.7	65	0
13	Jun_30_2017	187.33	184.43	186.07	187.91	188.08	189.83	191.67(1.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	149	70	147	156	0.18	52%	0.01	39.6	0.96%	0	2.6	90	0
14	Jun_29_2017	187.31	184.2	185.13	186.57	186.76	188.09	189.1(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	131	50	130	132	0.17	50%	0.01	45.5	0.95%	0	2.2	88	0
15	Jun_28_2017	187.29	184	184.47	185.67	185.91	186.32	188.83(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	84	20	81	91	0.12	50%	0	48.6	0.95%	0	2.4	61	0

16	Jun_27_2017	187.29	183.66	183.89	184.79	185.14	185.43	185.11(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	20	10	51	0.11	46%	-0.03	45.1	0.92%	0	0.9	59	0
17	Jun_26_2017	187.34	183.54	183.59	184.4	184.87	185.5	184.84(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	66	30	66	64	0.15	46%	-0.06	31.5	0.92%	0	0.8	57	0
18	Jun_23_2017	187.45	183.35	183.23	183.91	184.12	184.85	184.95(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	58	30	62	44	0.26	46%	-0.03	15.5	0.92%	0	0.9	51	0
19	Jun_22_2017	187.51	183.17	182.82	183.44	183.41	184.24	184.6(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	52	30	65	12	0.09	46%	-0.07	1	0.92%	0	0.8	37	0
20	Jun_21_2017	187.64	183.04	182.78	183.08	182.97	183.38	184.47(0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	45	10	60	-1	0.08	43%	-0.09	-9.4	0.92%	0	0.8	45	0

21	Jun_20_2017	187.81	182.92	182.56	182.87	182.56	182.57	183.14(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-0	-0	-29	0.04	43%	-0.09	-27.4	0.96%	0	0.1	52	0
22	Jun_19_2017	187.97	183.01	182.52	182.67	182.66	182.56	182.39(-0.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-1	-0	9	-30	0.04	43%	-0.1	-34.7	0.96%	0	-0.3	50	0
23	Jun_16_2017	188.15	183.08	182.68	182.43	182.46	182.55	182.6(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	0	11	-24	0.08	43%	-0.1	-41.4	0.96%	0	-0.3	55	0
24	Jun_15_2017	188.34	183.15	183.2	182.06	181.89	182.76	182.82(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	10	30	16	-9	0.07	43%	-0.11	-54.5	0.96%	0	-0.2	54	0
25	Jun_14_2017	188.55	183.2	183.49	182.42	181.9	182.37	183.4(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	60	10	69	31	0.07	43%		-57.6	0.97%	0	0.1	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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