Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 5, 2017

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $190.9500 (0.94%) ($187.6450 - $191.0850) on Fri. May. 5, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $190.9500(0.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(50%)    IWO(50%)    SKYY(48%)    ARKK(46%)    IWC(46%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    TLT(-4%)    XHB(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $189.46(0.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $190.38(0.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $187.88(1.63%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   5.1%
Market Cap   $1.77b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 1.72% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.22%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.34%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 1.76%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.76%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 3.18%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -5%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170605

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_5_2017	192.83	187.88	190.38	189.46	188.98	189.34	190.95(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	69	10	67	75	0.05	43%	-0.06	29.1	0.93%	0	0.9	68	INF
2	May_4_2017	192.94	187.51	190.07	189.31	189.22	187.98	189.17(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-14	-50	-35	51	0.09	41%	-0.05	21.3	0.93%	0	0.5	71	INF
3	May_3_2017	193.04	187.26	189.99	189.97	189.03	188.61	187.84(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-106	-30	-152	31	0.12	46%	-0.09	21.5	0.93%	0	0.2	61	INF
4	May_2_2017	193.22	187.18	189.87	191.01	190.31	190.45	188.01(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	55	-10	32	124	0.08	42%	-0.07	28.8	0.97%	0	0.2	56	INF
5	May_1_2017	193.36	187.15	189.68	191.54	190.75	189.45	191.35(0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-60	-35	108	0.09	41%	-0.05	34.5	1%	0	1.3	65	INF

6	Apr_28_2017	193.46	186.94	188.99	191.4	190.77	190.17	190.17(-1.21%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-55	-30	-101	83	0.17	41%	-0.06	37.1	1.03%	0	1	67	INF
7	Apr_27_2017	193.57	186.82	188.19	190.89	191.27	192.05	192.49(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	89	30	71	141	0.07	43%	-0.04	37	1.02%	0	1.8	71	INF
8	Apr_26_2017	193.64	186.54	187.32	190.01	190.29	191.37	193.01(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	105	40	95	136	0.07	43%	-0.03	33.1	1.03%	0	2.3	69	INF
9	Apr_25_2017	193.69	186.24	186.53	188.6	188.99	190.5	190.68(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	114	60	112	119	0.03	40%	-0.03	22.5	1.02%	0	1.9	58	INF
10	Apr_24_2017	193.75	186.02	185.91	187.54	187.72	189.21	190.67(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	129	60	137	104	0.05	40%	-0.01	0	1.02%	0	2.1	55	INF

11	Apr_21_2017	193.76	185.77	185.09	186.26	186.39	187.49	187.59(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	95	40	108	55	0.1	36%	-0.02	-32	1.03%	0	1	47	INF
12	Apr_20_2017	193.8	185.69	184.66	185.06	185.21	186.23	188.11(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	65	40	83	11	0.06	36%	-0.03	-62.4	1.03%	0	1.3	47	INF
13	Apr_19_2017	193.86	185.62	184.23	184.22	184.24	185.29	185.94(0.29%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	42	40	63	-22	0.03	33%	-0.05	-84.7	1.04%	0	0.2	43	INF
14	Apr_18_2017	193.96	185.7	184.21	184.17	183.92	184.19	185.41(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	26	10	46	-35	0.04	33%	-0.05	-85.1	1.05%	0	-0.2	42	INF
15	Apr_17_2017	194.06	186.02	184.37	184.04	183.99	183.2	184.23(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-35	-30	-25	-64	0.08	33%	-0.07	-63	1.06%	0	-0.8	42	INF

16	Apr_13_2017	194.2	186.38	184.7	183.76	184.22	183.66	181.61(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-65	-10	-60	-81	0.03	28%	-0.09	-50.3	1.05%	0	-1.7	36	INF
17	Apr_12_2017	194.38	186.86	185.37	184.13	184.32	184.78	183.92(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	20	-1	-46	0.03	30%	-0.08	-44.2	1.06%	0	-1.1	41	INF
18	Apr_11_2017	194.53	187.17	185.75	184.17	184.37	184.77	185.67(0.48%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	22	20	38	-28	0.03	30%	-0.06	-44.4	1.06%	0	-0.6	44	INF
19	Apr_10_2017	194.65	187.32	185.94	184.29	184.49	183.86	184.79(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-30	-20	-22	-52	0.04	30%	-0.06	-41.7	1.06%	0	-1	36	INF
20	Apr_7_2017	194.77	187.53	186.16	184.82	184.89	183.97	182.8(-0.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-100	-30	-103	-91	0.06	26%	-0.08	-35.9	1.05%	0	-2	16	INF

21	Apr_6_2017	194.92	187.77	186.54	185.82	186.25	185.11	183.49(-0.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-66	-40	-63	-74	0.09	26%	-0.07	-33	1.06%	0	-2	20	INF
22	Apr_5_2017	195.06	188	186.87	186.78	186.96	185.82	184.11(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-94	-40	-97	-86	0.06	26%	-0.05	-30.1	1.06%	0	-2	26	INF
23	Apr_4_2017	195.15	188.27	187.19	187.52	187.53	187.38	186.25(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-52	-10	-48	-63	0.04	28%	-0.03	-34.1	1.05%	0	-1.2	36	INF
24	Apr_3_2017	195.21	188.35	187.37	187.81	187.92	188.1	187.43(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	16	10	31	-29	0.08	28%	-0.05	-42	1.05%	0	-0.6	47	INF
25	Mar_31_2017	195.31	188.39	187.82	187.72	187.54	187.69	187.8(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	8	0	19	-27	0.05	28%		-60.7	1.05%	0	-0.4	47	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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