Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 27, 2017

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $194.4200 (0.05%) ($191.7100 - $195.7000) on Mon. Feb. 27, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $194.4200(0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(50%)    IWO(50%)    SKYY(48%)    ARKK(46%)    IWC(46%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    TLT(-4%)    XHB(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $194.49(-0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $193.69(0.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $193.26(0.6%)
To recent high   -5.2%
To recent low   3.7%
Market Cap   $1.802b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 1.76% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.7%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.42%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.21%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170327

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_27_2017	193.17	193.26	193.69	194.49	194.05	193.61	194.42(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	14	-20	-4	67	0.04	41%	0.12	-51.1	1.22%	0	0.3	61	INF
2	Feb_24_2017	192.94	193.48	193.22	194.18	194.2	193.69	194.33(0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-9	-20	-26	41	0.04	41%	0.11	-52.6	1.22%	0	0.2	46	INF
3	Feb_23_2017	192.72	193.78	192.8	193.85	194.02	194.49	193.3(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	20	1	44	0.08	41%	0.12	-48.1	1.23%	0	-0.1	53	INF
4	Feb_22_2017	192.49	194.24	192.27	194.02	193.58	194.7	194.6(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	61	30	64	52	0.06	41%	0.13	-41.6	1.23%	0	0.1	46	INF
5	Feb_21_2017	192.24	194.61	191.62	193.7	192.96	193.56	195.8(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	10	68	19	0.08	41%	0.31	-38.9	1.23%	0	0.2	40	INF

6	Feb_17_2017	191.65	195.01	191.03	192.81	192.3	192.47	192.87(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	10	-0	24	-33	0.04	36%	0.15	-38.8	1.21%	0	-0.4	39	INF
7	Feb_16_2017	191.37	195.43	191.22	192.1	191.76	192.36	192.68(-0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	9	20	29	-51	0.05	41%	0.12	-42.1	1.21%	0	-0.5	39	INF
8	Feb_15_2017	191.14	195.75	191.08	191.57	191.16	192.13	194.15(0.6%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	43	30	78	-62	0.04	41%	0.14	-45.8	1.22%	0	-0.3	38	INF
9	Feb_14_2017	190.88	196.14	191.22	190.24	190.09	191.15	192.99(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	30	40	73	-100	0.09	37%	0.12	-50.9	1.22%	0	-0.6	34	INF
10	Feb_13_2017	190.65	196.53	191.94	189.24	189.09	190.19	191.34(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	11	40	56	-123	0.05	37%	0.11	-53.4	1.25%	0	-0.9	32	INF

11	Feb_10_2017	190.45	197.15	192.69	189.03	188.76	189.02	189.35(-0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-26	10	16	-153	0.04	42%	0.1	-51.2	1.27%	0	-1.4	26	INF
12	Feb_9_2017	190.26	197.74	193.69	190.25	189.37	187.99	190.01(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-88	-60	-59	-174	0.05	42%	0.13	-47.8	1.27%	0	-1.4	35	INF
13	Feb_8_2017	190.02	198.32	194.79	190.55	190.89	188.5	187.49(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-156	-80	-141	-201	0.05	39%	0.11	-46.7	1.27%	0	-2.1	36	INF
14	Feb_7_2017	189.81	199.04	196.38	192.36	192.45	190.76	187.99(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-167	-60	-161	-185	0.05	39%	0.13	-40.1	1.28%	0	-2.4	33	INF
15	Feb_6_2017	189.56	199.64	197.92	195.02	194.22	193.28	190.3(-2.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-100	-50	-92	-122	0.06	39%	0.14	-28	1.27%	0	-2.5	38	INF

16	Feb_3_2017	189.3	200.14	199.43	196.85	196.08	194.14	195.48(2.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-79	-80	-75	-92	0.08	43%	0.15	-17.2	1.23%	0	-1.5	39	INF
17	Feb_2_2017	189.01	200.38	200.07	197.67	197.18	195.16	191.5(-2.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-160	-80	-174	-119	0.14	37%	0.12	-7.1	1.22%	0	-3.1	40	INF
18	Feb_1_2017	188.78	200.76	200.94	199.63	198.83	198.02	196.51(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-89	-40	-96	-68	0.17	42%	0.15	8.8	1.19%	0	-2.1	45	INF
19	Jan_31_2017	188.5	200.87	201.57	200.99	200.22	199.2	201.3(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-39	-50	-44	-25	0.11	53%	0.16	21.9	1.15%	0	0.2	52	INF
20	Jan_30_2017	188.2	200.69	201.55	201.32	201.05	199.64	199.46(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-87	-50	-103	-39	0.08	53%	0.15	28.3	1.17%	0	-0.6	54	INF

21	Jan_27_2017	187.91	200.66	201.98	202.45	202.01	201.24	199.58(-0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-38	-30	-50	0	0.07	70%	0.15	38.1	1.74%	0	-0.5	52	INF
22	Jan_26_2017	187.63	200.66	202.12	202.84	202.72	202.47	201.3(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	7	-10	1	26	0.05	70%	0.16	29.9	1.74%	0	0.3	54	INF
23	Jan_25_2017	187.33	200.58	202.11	202.38	202.31	202.77	203.3(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	10	7	30	0.08	70%	0.18	19.6	1.73%	0	1.2	62	INF
24	Jan_24_2017	186.99	200.46	201.85	202.22	201.65	202.97	202.96(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	40	36	44	0.1	73%	0.09	20.6	1.74%	0	1.2	61	INF
25	Jan_23_2017	186.82	200.12	201.44	201.82	201.56	201.84	205.1(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	51	10	52	49	0.07	73%		4.7	1.77%	0	2.3	67	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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