Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $198.4500 (-0.06%) ($195.8300 - $199.4500) on Wed. Dec. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.78% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $198.4500(-0.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(50%)    IWO(50%)    SKYY(48%)    ARKK(46%)    IWC(46%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -0.89% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    TLT(-4%)    XHB(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.89% (StdDev 1.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $195.26(1.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $195.67(1.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $195.53(1.49%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   21.1%
Market Cap   $1.839b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 1.23% (three month std-dev: 1.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 1.18%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.63%(40%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 1.49%(70%) Average negative next three day return: -0.5%(30%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 2.59%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.35%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170107

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_7_2016	177.36	195.53	195.67	195.26	195.04	197.43	198.45(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	60	80	75	14	0.06	78%	0.07	43.9	1.78%	0	1.2	55	0
2	Dec_6_2016	177.24	195.12	195.62	194.38	193.89	195.63	198.57(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	81	60	100	23	0.1	78%	0.06	23.3	1.78%	0	1.3	63	0
3	Dec_5_2016	177.13	194.8	195.4	193.71	193.16	192.65	195.76(1.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	12	-30	19	-8	0.08	78%	0.05	12.3	1.78%	0	0.4	61	0
4	Dec_2_2016	177.04	194.54	195.48	193.57	192.9	192.16	191.94(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-66	-40	-72	-46	0.06	76%	0.06	7.9	1.78%	0	-1	40	0
5	Dec_1_2016	176.94	194.43	196.06	194.75	194.21	193.68	191.6(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-24	-30	-28	-11	0.12	76%	0.06	42.7	1.79%	0	-1	49	0

6	Nov_30_2016	176.84	194.47	196.6	196.07	195.51	193.65	194.03(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-38	-80	-51	0	0.12	76%	0.07	87.9	1.76%	0	-0.2	57	0
7	Nov_29_2016	176.71	194.52	196.57	196.98	196.42	194.73	195.23(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-72	-70	-95	-3	0.06	76%	0.08	134.2	1.76%	0	0.2	63	0
8	Nov_28_2016	176.57	194.49	196.32	197.32	197.5	197.37	195.03(-1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-12	-0	-25	29	0.09	76%	0.1	173.2	1.77%	0	0.2	57	0
9	Nov_25_2016	176.4	194.33	196.5	197.65	197.63	198.1	197.85(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	20	19	61	0.04	76%	0.16	211.8	1.75%	0	1.2	66	0
10	Nov_23_2016	176.12	193.2	196.05	197.57	197.32	197.62	198.21(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	10	20	69	0.05	76%	0.14	95.5	1.75%	0	0.7	69	0

11	Nov_22_2016	175.87	191.96	195.43	197.23	197.06	197.15	198.57(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	0	22	68	0.07	76%	0.13	83.7	1.75%	0	0.8	61	0
12	Nov_21_2016	175.64	190.71	194.59	196.13	196.35	197.02	196.93(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	30	24	51	0.07	76%	0.14	75.3	1.75%	0	0.7	52	0
13	Nov_18_2016	175.39	189.61	194.11	195.17	195.34	196.97	196.68(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	60	46	47	0.1	76%	0.13	66.7	1.75%	0	0.8	52	0
14	Nov_17_2016	175.17	188.27	193.47	195.18	194.8	195.69	197.47(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	65	30	68	55	0.06	76%	0.13	61	1.75%	0	0.9	59	0
15	Nov_16_2016	174.94	186.86	192.61	194.32	194.42	193.72	196.48(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	15	-20	4	46	0.09	76%	0.17	55.8	1.75%	0	0.9	76	0

16	Nov_15_2016	174.65	185.57	192.11	193.4	194.16	193.92	193.1(0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	1	0	-19	62	0.08	75%	0.15	52	1.75%	0	0.7	76	0
17	Nov_14_2016	174.39	184.57	192.26	192.78	193.47	195.13	192.11(-2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	57	70	37	118	0.17	75%	0.11	50	1.75%	0	0.7	74	0
18	Nov_11_2016	174.2	183.57	192.5	192.82	192.54	194.4	196.75(1.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	115	60	93	181	0.17	82%	0.08	49.1	1.72%	0	1.2	77	0
19	Nov_10_2016	174.06	182.32	191.94	191.5	191.99	191.82	193.16(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	92	0	57	198	0.34	80%	0.08	47	1.71%	0	1.1	79	0
20	Nov_9_2016	173.92	181.26	190.14	191.5	190.93	190.69	191.88(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-0	-47	162	0.26	80%	0.06	46	1.71%	0	1.1	78	0

21	Nov_8_2016	173.82	180.3	188.29	190.66	191.16	192.16	190(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	61	40	15	197	0.28	80%	0.03	48.6	1.71%	0	1	74	0
22	Nov_7_2016	173.76	179.43	186.65	191.67	191.62	191.17	192.31(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	66	-20	16	215	0.32	80%	0.07	54.6	1.71%	0	1.3	72	0
23	Nov_4_2016	173.63	178.49	184.87	192.17	192.21	190.17	190.16(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-10	-70	-78	194	0.16	80%	0.03	65	1.71%	0	1.3	72	0
24	Nov_3_2016	173.58	177.59	182.8	192.43	193.42	192.07	188.96(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-30	-48	209	0.1	80%	0.03	72.4	1.72%	0	1.3	70	0
25	Nov_2_2016	173.53	176.74	180.8	189.34	193.63	194.25	191.87(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	134	90	101	232	0.18	72%		69.4	1.71%	0	1.8	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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