Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $196.9300 (0.13%) ($195.6500 - $198.4600) on Mon. Nov. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.75% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $196.9300(0.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(50%)    IWO(50%)    SKYY(48%)    ARKK(46%)    IWC(46%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -0.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    TLT(-4%)    XHB(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.875% (StdDev 1.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $196.13(0.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $194.59(1.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $190.71(3.26%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   20.2%
Market Cap   $1.825b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 4.42% (three month std-dev: 1.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_21_2016	175.64	190.71	194.59	196.13	196.35	197.02	196.93(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	30	24	51	0.07	76%	0.14	75.3	1.75%	0	0.7	52	INF
2	Nov_18_2016	175.39	189.61	194.11	195.17	195.34	196.97	196.68(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	60	46	47	0.1	76%	0.13	66.7	1.75%	0	0.8	52	INF
3	Nov_17_2016	175.17	188.27	193.47	195.18	194.8	195.69	197.47(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	65	30	68	55	0.06	76%	0.13	61	1.75%	0	0.9	59	INF
4	Nov_16_2016	174.94	186.86	192.61	194.32	194.42	193.72	196.48(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	15	-20	4	46	0.09	76%	0.17	55.8	1.75%	0	0.9	76	INF
5	Nov_15_2016	174.65	185.57	192.11	193.4	194.16	193.92	193.1(0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	1	0	-19	62	0.08	75%	0.15	52	1.75%	0	0.7	76	INF

6	Nov_14_2016	174.39	184.57	192.26	192.78	193.47	195.13	192.11(-2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	57	70	37	118	0.17	75%	0.11	50	1.75%	0	0.7	74	INF
7	Nov_11_2016	174.2	183.57	192.5	192.82	192.54	194.4	196.75(1.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	115	60	93	181	0.17	82%	0.08	49.1	1.72%	0	1.2	77	INF
8	Nov_10_2016	174.06	182.32	191.94	191.5	191.99	191.82	193.16(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	92	0	57	198	0.34	80%	0.08	47	1.71%	0	1.1	79	INF
9	Nov_9_2016	173.92	181.26	190.14	191.5	190.93	190.69	191.88(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-0	-47	162	0.26	80%	0.06	46	1.71%	0	1.1	78	INF
10	Nov_8_2016	173.82	180.3	188.29	190.66	191.16	192.16	190(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	61	40	15	197	0.28	80%	0.03	48.6	1.71%	0	1	74	INF

11	Nov_7_2016	173.76	179.43	186.65	191.67	191.62	191.17	192.31(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	66	-20	16	215	0.32	80%	0.07	54.6	1.71%	0	1.3	72	INF
12	Nov_4_2016	173.63	178.49	184.87	192.17	192.21	190.17	190.16(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-10	-70	-78	194	0.16	80%	0.03	65	1.71%	0	1.3	72	INF
13	Nov_3_2016	173.58	177.59	182.8	192.43	193.42	192.07	188.96(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-30	-48	209	0.1	80%	0.03	72.4	1.72%	0	1.3	70	INF
14	Nov_2_2016	173.53	176.74	180.8	189.34	193.63	194.25	191.87(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	134	90	101	232	0.18	72%	0.03	69.4	1.71%	0	1.8	74	INF
15	Nov_1_2016	173.47	175.63	178.59	185.33	188.45	194.78	195.04(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	188	290	179	214	0.19	72%	0.05	61.5	1.73%	0	2.5	77	INF

16	Oct_31_2016	173.38	174.32	176.19	180.78	182.75	193.01	194.81(1.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.1	390	430	431	265	0.22	72%	0.04	52.8	1.74%	0	3	77	INF
17	Oct_28_2016	173.31	172.7	173.7	176.63	177.47	182.11	191.47(10.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3	320	200	365	185	0.46	57%	-0.01	42.5	1.87%	0	3.8	71	INF
18	Oct_27_2016	173.32	171.42	171.57	172.05	172.53	172.5	173.53(1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	15	10	21	-4	0.25	36%	-0.11	23.1	1.37%	0	0.8	51	INF
19	Oct_26_2016	173.51	171.05	171.42	171.04	171.44	172.82	171.8(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	18	60	29	-16	0.16	36%	-0.13	5.1	1.37%	0	0.3	47	INF
20	Oct_25_2016	173.73	170.97	171.54	170.7	170.65	172.57	172.29(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	79	80	101	12	0.11	36%	-0.13	6.3	1.37%	0	0.5	54	INF

21	Oct_24_2016	173.96	170.81	171.59	170.76	170.2	170.05	174.04(3.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	34	-20	46	-4	0.13	36%	-0.08	11.4	1.38%	0	1.2	60	INF
22	Oct_21_2016	174.1	170.63	171.6	170.32	170.44	168.74	168.61(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-77	-70	-89	-40	0.07	27%	-0.13	18.3	1.35%	0	-0.8	67	INF
23	Oct_20_2016	174.33	170.79	172.06	171.04	171.46	170.36	168.44(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-70	-40	-87	-17	0.09	34%	-0.1	39.3	1.41%	0	-0.9	55	INF
24	Oct_19_2016	174.51	170.9	172.53	171.83	172.27	172.14	170.14(-1.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-9	0	-24	35	0.1	34%	-0.09	51.6	1.43%	0	-0.3	62	INF
25	Oct_18_2016	174.67	170.8	172.66	172.43	172.47	172.57	172.58(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	0	3	58	0.13	34%		54.3	1.42%	0	0.6	55	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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