Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 3, 2016

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $188.9600 (-1.52%) ($188.4400 - $193.2100) on Thu. Nov. 3, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.72% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $188.9600(-1.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR advances 6.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(50%)    IWO(50%)    SKYY(48%)    ARKK(46%)    IWC(46%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -0.86% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    TLT(-4%)    XHB(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.86% (StdDev 1.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $192.43(-1.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $182.8(3.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $177.59(6.4%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   15.3%
Market Cap   $1.751b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 4.97% (three month std-dev: 1.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.84%(43%) Average negative next day return: -1.61%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 2.3%(14%) Average negative next three day return: -2.45%(86%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 1.01%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.11%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161203

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_3_2016	173.58	177.59	182.8	192.43	193.42	192.07	188.96(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-30	-48	209	0.1	80%	0.03	72.4	1.72%	0	1.3	70	0
2	Nov_2_2016	173.53	176.74	180.8	189.34	193.63	194.25	191.87(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	134	90	101	232	0.18	72%	0.03	69.4	1.71%	0	1.8	74	0
3	Nov_1_2016	173.47	175.63	178.59	185.33	188.45	194.78	195.04(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	188	290	179	214	0.19	72%	0.05	61.5	1.73%	0	2.5	77	0
4	Oct_31_2016	173.38	174.32	176.19	180.78	182.75	193.01	194.81(1.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.1	390	430	431	265	0.22	72%	0.04	52.8	1.74%	0	3	77	0
5	Oct_28_2016	173.31	172.7	173.7	176.63	177.47	182.11	191.47(10.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3	320	200	365	185	0.46	57%	-0.01	42.5	1.87%	0	3.8	71	0

6	Oct_27_2016	173.32	171.42	171.57	172.05	172.53	172.5	173.53(1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	15	10	21	-4	0.25	36%	-0.11	23.1	1.37%	0	0.8	51	0
7	Oct_26_2016	173.51	171.05	171.42	171.04	171.44	172.82	171.8(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	18	60	29	-16	0.16	36%	-0.13	5.1	1.37%	0	0.3	47	0
8	Oct_25_2016	173.73	170.97	171.54	170.7	170.65	172.57	172.29(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	79	80	101	12	0.11	36%	-0.13	6.3	1.37%	0	0.5	54	0
9	Oct_24_2016	173.96	170.81	171.59	170.76	170.2	170.05	174.04(3.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	34	-20	46	-4	0.13	36%	-0.08	11.4	1.38%	0	1.2	60	0
10	Oct_21_2016	174.1	170.63	171.6	170.32	170.44	168.74	168.61(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-77	-70	-89	-40	0.07	27%	-0.13	18.3	1.35%	0	-0.8	67	0

11	Oct_20_2016	174.33	170.79	172.06	171.04	171.46	170.36	168.44(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-70	-40	-87	-17	0.09	34%	-0.1	39.3	1.41%	0	-0.9	55	0
12	Oct_19_2016	174.51	170.9	172.53	171.83	172.27	172.14	170.14(-1.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-9	0	-24	35	0.1	34%	-0.09	51.6	1.43%	0	-0.3	62	0
13	Oct_18_2016	174.67	170.8	172.66	172.43	172.47	172.57	172.58(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	0	3	58	0.13	34%	-0.02	54.3	1.42%	0	0.6	55	0
14	Oct_17_2016	174.7	170.51	172.48	172.53	172.58	172.39	171.85(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10	-12	58	0.13	34%	-0.11	46.3	1.42%	0	0.4	56	0
15	Oct_14_2016	174.89	170.15	171.77	173.1	172.95	172.38	172.2(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-10	-30	-27	43	0.05	40%	-0.09	38	1.47%	0	0.6	52	0

16	Oct_13_2016	175.05	169.8	171.33	173.25	173.58	172.77	172.37(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-13	-30	-29	37	0.11	40%	-0.09	31.6	1.47%	0	0.8	51	0
17	Oct_12_2016	175.2	169.55	170.71	173.33	173.72	173.52	173.16(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-7	-0	-20	32	0.08	40%	-0.1	25.5	1.47%	0	1.2	55	0
18	Oct_11_2016	175.37	169.3	170.39	172.9	173.44	174.38	173.06(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	50	36	56	0.1	40%	-0.06	18.1	1.47%	0	1.3	59	0
19	Oct_10_2016	175.48	169.12	169.96	172.39	172.63	173.92	174.69(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	99	60	104	82	0.12	40%	-0.02	12.5	1.47%	0	1.9	63	0
20	Oct_7_2016	175.52	168.95	169.51	170.22	170.76	172.5	172.98(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	79	80	85	60	0.12	45%	-0.03	-4.3	1.5%	0	1.5	65	0

21	Oct_6_2016	175.58	168.81	169.33	169.11	168.87	171.34	172.77(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	106	100	117	73	0.16	45%	-0.05	-10.6	1.5%	0	1.5	63	0
22	Oct_5_2016	175.66	168.81	169.03	167.71	167.44	169.01	171.01(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	88	60	99	54	0.14	45%	-0.05	-15.4	1.5%	0	0.9	55	0
23	Oct_4_2016	175.74	168.76	168.68	167.55	166.88	166.41	170.5(4.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	10	-30	8	14	0.17	45%	-0.07	-9.6	1.5%	0	0.7	53	0
24	Oct_3_2016	175.86	168.75	168.29	167.27	167.47	165.88	163.84(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-75	-60	-88	-35	0.09	37%	-0.11	-4.4	1.42%	0	-1.8	39	0
25	Sep_30_2016	176.05	169.07	168.42	168.67	168.62	167.36	167.44(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-76	-50	-90	-34	0.12	40%		15.4	1.41%	0	-0.7	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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