Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $170.1400 (-1.41%) ($169.5500 - $173.6350) on Wed. Oct. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.43% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $170.1400(-1.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(50%)    IWO(50%)    SKYY(48%)    ARKK(46%)    IWC(46%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -0.715% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    TLT(-4%)    XHB(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.715% (StdDev 1.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

Resistance Level   $170.9
5 Day Moving Average   $171.83(-0.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $172.53(-1.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $170.9(-0.44%)
To recent high   -10.7%
To recent low   3.8%
Market Cap   $1.577b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 1.53% (three month std-dev: 1.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.6%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.99%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -0.53%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.78%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_19_2016	174.51	170.9	172.53	171.83	172.27	172.14	170.14(-1.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-9	0	-24	35	0.1	34%	-0.09	51.6	1.43%	0	-0.3	62	0
2	Oct_18_2016	174.67	170.8	172.66	172.43	172.47	172.57	172.58(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	0	3	58	0.13	34%	-0.02	54.3	1.42%	0	0.6	55	0
3	Oct_17_2016	174.7	170.51	172.48	172.53	172.58	172.39	171.85(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10	-12	58	0.13	34%	-0.11	46.3	1.42%	0	0.4	56	0
4	Oct_14_2016	174.89	170.15	171.77	173.1	172.95	172.38	172.2(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-10	-30	-27	43	0.05	40%	-0.09	38	1.47%	0	0.6	52	0
5	Oct_13_2016	175.05	169.8	171.33	173.25	173.58	172.77	172.37(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-13	-30	-29	37	0.11	40%	-0.09	31.6	1.47%	0	0.8	51	0

6	Oct_12_2016	175.2	169.55	170.71	173.33	173.72	173.52	173.16(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-7	-0	-20	32	0.08	40%	-0.1	25.5	1.47%	0	1.2	55	0
7	Oct_11_2016	175.37	169.3	170.39	172.9	173.44	174.38	173.06(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	50	36	56	0.1	40%	-0.06	18.1	1.47%	0	1.3	59	0
8	Oct_10_2016	175.48	169.12	169.96	172.39	172.63	173.92	174.69(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	99	60	104	82	0.12	40%	-0.02	12.5	1.47%	0	1.9	63	0
9	Oct_7_2016	175.52	168.95	169.51	170.22	170.76	172.5	172.98(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	79	80	85	60	0.12	45%	-0.03	-4.3	1.5%	0	1.5	65	0
10	Oct_6_2016	175.58	168.81	169.33	169.11	168.87	171.34	172.77(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	106	100	117	73	0.16	45%	-0.05	-10.6	1.5%	0	1.5	63	0

11	Oct_5_2016	175.66	168.81	169.03	167.71	167.44	169.01	171.01(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	88	60	99	54	0.14	45%	-0.05	-15.4	1.5%	0	0.9	55	0
12	Oct_4_2016	175.74	168.76	168.68	167.55	166.88	166.41	170.5(4.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	10	-30	8	14	0.17	45%	-0.07	-9.6	1.5%	0	0.7	53	0
13	Oct_3_2016	175.86	168.75	168.29	167.27	167.47	165.88	163.84(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-75	-60	-88	-35	0.09	37%	-0.11	-4.4	1.42%	0	-1.8	39	0
14	Sep_30_2016	176.05	169.07	168.42	168.67	168.62	167.36	167.44(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-76	-50	-90	-34	0.12	40%	-0.1	15.4	1.41%	0	-0.7	40	0
15	Sep_29_2016	176.22	169.09	168.21	169.54	169.68	169.06	165.74(-2.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-43	-20	-51	-20	0.09	48%	-0.11	23.8	1.4%	0	-1.4	41	0

16	Sep_28_2016	176.42	169.17	168.43	170.45	170.36	169.88	170.25(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-20	-8	-2	0.12	53%	-0.12	35.7	1.44%	0	0.5	43	0
17	Sep_27_2016	176.63	169.01	168.22	169.93	170.26	170.3	169.06(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	10	-5	-15	0.13	47%	-0.11	27	1.44%	0	0	44	0
18	Sep_26_2016	176.82	168.87	168.28	169.43	169.76	170.85	170.87(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	39	50	52	0	0.13	47%	-0.07	18.4	1.5%	0	0.8	50	0
19	Sep_23_2016	176.94	168.7	168.36	168.1	168.71	170.23	171.78(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	64	70	84	3	0.12	42%	-0.05	5.5	1.64%	0	1.3	54	0
20	Sep_22_2016	177.02	168.51	168.19	166.71	167.28	168.66	170.3(1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	45	70	65	-15	0.16	42%	-0.06	-5.8	1.65%	0	0.8	57	0

21	Sep_21_2016	177.12	168.33	168.36	166.18	166.39	167.19	167.63(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	22	40	37	-23	0.13	42%	-0.07	-6.5	1.64%	0	-0.3	54	0
22	Sep_20_2016	177.25	168.38	168.74	166.33	166.44	165.9	166.55(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-20	-7	-30	0.13	46%	-0.1	0.7	1.65%	0	-0.8	51	0
23	Sep_19_2016	177.43	168.41	169.16	167.01	167.04	165.6	164.25(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-67	-60	-76	-40	0.11	46%	-0.09	9.4	1.67%	0	-1.8	49	0
24	Sep_16_2016	177.59	168.56	169.77	168.65	168.3	166.98	164.84(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-60	-60	-74	-16	0.18	43%	-0.1	34.4	1.71%	0	-1.7	46	0
25	Sep_15_2016	177.77	168.64	170.11	169.82	169.58	168.48	167.62(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-42	-50	-57	3	0.08	43%		49.6	1.7%	0	-0.5	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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