Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MSTR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $173.1600 (0.06%) ($171.8500 - $174.2600) on Wed. Oct. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.47% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $173.1600(0.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(50%)    IWO(50%)    SKYY(48%)    ARKK(46%)    IWC(46%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -0.735% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    TLT(-4%)    XHB(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.735% (StdDev 1.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $173.33(-0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $170.71(1.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $169.55(2.13%)
To recent high   -9.1%
To recent low   5.7%
Market Cap   $1.605b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 1.84% (three month std-dev: 1.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.38%(80%) Average negative next day return: -0.75%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 2.92%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -1.94%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 3.92%(20%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.88%(80%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_12_2016	175.2	169.55	170.71	173.33	173.72	173.52	173.16(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-7	-0	-20	32	0.08	40%	-0.1	25.5	1.47%	0	1.2	55	0
2	Oct_11_2016	175.37	169.3	170.39	172.9	173.44	174.38	173.06(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	50	36	56	0.1	40%	-0.06	18.1	1.47%	0	1.3	59	0
3	Oct_10_2016	175.48	169.12	169.96	172.39	172.63	173.92	174.69(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	99	60	104	82	0.12	40%	-0.02	12.5	1.47%	0	1.9	63	0
4	Oct_7_2016	175.52	168.95	169.51	170.22	170.76	172.5	172.98(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	79	80	85	60	0.12	45%	-0.03	-4.3	1.5%	0	1.5	65	0
5	Oct_6_2016	175.58	168.81	169.33	169.11	168.87	171.34	172.77(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	106	100	117	73	0.16	45%	-0.05	-10.6	1.5%	0	1.5	63	0

6	Oct_5_2016	175.66	168.81	169.03	167.71	167.44	169.01	171.01(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	88	60	99	54	0.14	45%	-0.05	-15.4	1.5%	0	0.9	55	0
7	Oct_4_2016	175.74	168.76	168.68	167.55	166.88	166.41	170.5(4.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	10	-30	8	14	0.17	45%	-0.07	-9.6	1.5%	0	0.7	53	0
8	Oct_3_2016	175.86	168.75	168.29	167.27	167.47	165.88	163.84(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-75	-60	-88	-35	0.09	37%	-0.11	-4.4	1.42%	0	-1.8	39	0
9	Sep_30_2016	176.05	169.07	168.42	168.67	168.62	167.36	167.44(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-76	-50	-90	-34	0.12	40%	-0.1	15.4	1.41%	0	-0.7	40	0
10	Sep_29_2016	176.22	169.09	168.21	169.54	169.68	169.06	165.74(-2.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-43	-20	-51	-20	0.09	48%	-0.11	23.8	1.4%	0	-1.4	41	0

11	Sep_28_2016	176.42	169.17	168.43	170.45	170.36	169.88	170.25(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-20	-8	-2	0.12	53%	-0.12	35.7	1.44%	0	0.5	43	0
12	Sep_27_2016	176.63	169.01	168.22	169.93	170.26	170.3	169.06(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	10	-5	-15	0.13	47%	-0.11	27	1.44%	0	0	44	0
13	Sep_26_2016	176.82	168.87	168.28	169.43	169.76	170.85	170.87(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	39	50	52	0	0.13	47%	-0.07	18.4	1.5%	0	0.8	50	0
14	Sep_23_2016	176.94	168.7	168.36	168.1	168.71	170.23	171.78(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	64	70	84	3	0.12	42%	-0.05	5.5	1.64%	0	1.3	54	0
15	Sep_22_2016	177.02	168.51	168.19	166.71	167.28	168.66	170.3(1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	45	70	65	-15	0.16	42%	-0.06	-5.8	1.65%	0	0.8	57	0

16	Sep_21_2016	177.12	168.33	168.36	166.18	166.39	167.19	167.63(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	22	40	37	-23	0.13	42%	-0.07	-6.5	1.64%	0	-0.3	54	0
17	Sep_20_2016	177.25	168.38	168.74	166.33	166.44	165.9	166.55(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-20	-7	-30	0.13	46%	-0.1	0.7	1.65%	0	-0.8	51	0
18	Sep_19_2016	177.43	168.41	169.16	167.01	167.04	165.6	164.25(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-67	-60	-76	-40	0.11	46%	-0.09	9.4	1.67%	0	-1.8	49	0
19	Sep_16_2016	177.59	168.56	169.77	168.65	168.3	166.98	164.84(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-60	-60	-74	-16	0.18	43%	-0.1	34.4	1.71%	0	-1.7	46	0
20	Sep_15_2016	177.77	168.64	170.11	169.82	169.58	168.48	167.62(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-42	-50	-57	3	0.08	43%	-0.13	49.6	1.7%	0	-0.5	49	0

21	Sep_14_2016	178	168.49	170.09	170.82	170.48	169.63	168.39(-0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-30	-40	-47	20	0.11	43%	-0.12	55.1	1.7%	0	-0	56	0
22	Sep_13_2016	178.21	168.35	169.99	171.49	171.12	170.68	169.93(-1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-9	-20	-23	35	0.25	43%	-0.09	62.2	1.7%	0	0.7	54	0
23	Sep_12_2016	178.37	168.19	169.64	171.63	171.32	171.32	172.45(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10	3	47	0.13	43%	-0.11	69.7	1.69%	0	1.8	65	0
24	Sep_9_2016	178.57	167.83	169.13	171.09	170.94	171.57	170.7(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	20	22	50	0.22	41%	-0.1	66.2	1.7%	0	1.3	63	0
25	Sep_8_2016	178.75	167.59	168.87	170.42	170.39	171.32	172.65(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	60	40	59	63	0.13	41%		64.1	1.7%	0	2.4	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.