Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $169.4800 (-3.58%) ($169.1700 - $175.8000) on Wed. Mar. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.39% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $169.4800(-3.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWO(50%)    SKYY(48%)    ARKK(46%)    IWC(46%)    IWM(46%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -1.195% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    TLT(-5%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.195% (StdDev 2.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $172.98(-2.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $170.52(-0.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $168.52(0.57%)
To recent high   -3.6%
To recent low   13.5%
Market Cap   $1.571b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 3.12% (three month std-dev: 2.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160423

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_23_2016	163.28	168.52	170.52	172.98	173.79	174.03	169.48(-3.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	20	-6	31	0.1	51%	0.1	93.3	2.39%	0	0.2	48	0
2	Mar_22_2016	163.11	167.93	170.43	172.56	172.65	175.11	175.77(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	71	100	74	61	0.12	57%	0.22	78.7	2.35%	0	1.3	63	0
3	Mar_21_2016	162.75	166.81	169.58	170.57	170.26	173.55	175.55(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	89	130	102	49	0.09	57%	0.23	68	2.38%	0	1.4	53	0
4	Mar_18_2016	162.37	165.77	168.83	169.07	168.31	170.2	175.12(3.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	71	70	81	39	0.14	57%	0.24	62.3	2.42%	0	1.4	68	0
5	Mar_17_2016	161.98	164.68	168.14	168.16	167.51	166.98	168.98(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-30	10	17	0.16	51%	0.13	58.4	2.37%	0	0.6	66	0

6	Mar_16_2016	161.77	163.75	168.28	167.79	167.79	166.41	167.38(0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-28	-60	-41	11	0.11	51%	0.12	56.4	2.4%	0	0.5	66	0
7	Mar_15_2016	161.58	163.23	168.38	167.96	168.28	168.05	165.81(-1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-13	-0	-28	34	0.17	51%	0.09	58.5	2.44%	0	0.4	66	0
8	Mar_14_2016	161.44	162.59	169.03	168.33	168.56	169.17	168.04(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	34	30	18	82	0.06	51%	0.14	57.8	2.47%	0	0.7	74	0
9	Mar_11_2016	161.22	161.81	168.41	168.47	168.14	168.52	170.59(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	10	21	95	0.07	51%	0.21	54.8	2.5%	0	1.2	73	0
10	Mar_10_2016	160.88	160.76	167.28	168.15	167.44	167.95	167.12(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	10	-5	91	0.09	51%	0.14	42.1	2.51%	0	0.8	72	0

11	Mar_9_2016	160.65	159.93	166.47	168.15	167.93	167.76	168.24(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	39	-20	13	118	0.12	51%	0.18	32	2.55%	0	1.1	77	0
12	Mar_8_2016	160.36	159.1	165.38	168.88	168.22	166.92	167.65(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-70	-33	101	0.11	51%	0.18	20.9	2.6%	0	1.1	62	0
13	Mar_7_2016	160.07	158.44	163.96	169.83	168.7	168.11	168.75(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-40	-24	114	0.17	51%	0.23	14	2.65%	0	1.4	68	0
14	Mar_4_2016	159.7	157.77	162.57	168.26	169.1	169.51	168.98(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	63	30	40	131	0.09	51%	0.25	0	2.71%	0	1.6	68	0
15	Mar_3_2016	159.3	157.59	161.01	166.18	166.68	169.3	170.78(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	70	120	51	125	0.15	51%	0.33	0	2.76%	0	1.9	72	0

16	Mar_2_2016	158.78	157.47	158.85	163.65	164.03	168.7	168.24(-2.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	129	210	127	136	0.11	51%	0.28	0	2.81%	0	1.5	70	0
17	Mar_1_2016	158.33	157.52	157.59	161.32	160.82	164.05	172.39(7.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	135	130	137	129	0.26	51%	0.44	0	2.83%	0	2	71	0
18	Feb_29_2016	157.63	157.4	155.45	157.36	157.41	159.37	160.89(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	69	90	67	76	0.12	36%	0.11	0	2.36%	0	0.5	57	0
19	Feb_26_2016	157.45	157.4	154.52	156.1	155.63	157.59	158.58(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	80	60	24	0.12	36%	0.04	0	2.39%	0	20.9	52	0
20	Feb_25_2016	157.39	157.4	153.61	155.03	154.89	155.44	158.15(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	54	20	63	25	0.13	36%	0.03	0	2.45%	0	20.3	38	0

21	Feb_24_2016	157.35	157.4	152.79	155.03	153.5	153.67	156.58(2.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-9	10	-10	-4	0.21	36%	-0.03	0	2.5%	0	19.5	33	0
22	Feb_23_2016	157.39	157.4	152.29	153.27	153.23	154.33	152.59(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	50	15	6	0.24	27%	-0.2	0	2.43%	0	18.5	27	0
23	Feb_22_2016	157.71	157.4	152.5	153.23	153.68	153.32	154.6(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10	35	14	0.12	27%	-0.15	0	2.51%	0	18.3	27	0
24	Feb_19_2016	157.94	157.4	152.62	152.69	152.95	152.13	153.25(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-30	-31	-12	0.23	27%	-0.23	0	2.56%	0	17.6	50	0
25	Feb_18_2016	158.3	157.4	153.92	151.95	152.77	154.04	149.32(-4.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	70	19	8	0.18	16%		0	2.45%	0	16.8	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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