Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 28, 2023

Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Apr. 26, 2024)

(Microsoft)
MSFT latest price $382.4700 (1.02%) ($378.1200 - $382.4700) on Tue. Nov. 28, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.33% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $382.4700(1.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSFT advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSFT advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSFT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(80%)    QQQ(79%)    SPY(71%)    XLK(61%)    SMH(57%)
Factors Impacting MSFT price   MSFT will decline at least -0.665% in a week (0% probabilities).
XHB(-70%)    PAVE(-63%)    XRT(-56%)    ACES(-52%)    XLRE(-50%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.665% (StdDev 1.33%)
Hourly BBV 1.1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $377.9(1.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $375.46(1.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $366.48(4.36%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   22.8%
Market Cap   $2895.68b

Microsoft Corp. engages in the development and support of software, services, devices, and solutions. It operates through the following business segments: Productivity and Business Processes; Intelligent Cloud; and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment comprises products and services in the portfolio of productivity, communication, and information services of the company spanning a variety of devices and platform. The Intelligent Cloud segment refers to the public, private, and hybrid serve products and cloud services of the company which can power modern business. The More Personal Computing segment encompasses products and services geared towards the interests of end users, developers, and IT professionals across all devices. The firm also offers operating systems; cross-device productivity applications; server applications; business solution applications; desktop and server management tools; software development tools; video games; personal computers, tablets; gaming and entertainment consoles; other intelligent devices; and related accessories. The company was founded by Paul Gardner Allen and William Henry Gates III in 1975 and is headquartered in Redmond, WA.

$. MSFT price fluctuates within 3.24% (three month std-dev: 1.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.53%(46%) Average negative next day return: -1%(54%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 2.24%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -2.69%(48%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 3.11%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.12%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20231228

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_28_2023	336.85	366.48	375.46	377.9	378.87	380	382.47(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	126	30	123	134	20.43	57%	0.15	94.8	1.33%	1.1	1.3	70	1.5
2	Nov_27_2023	336.33	364.28	373.86	376.89	376.96	378	378.63(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	20	24	101	15.82	57%	0.13	90	1.32%	0.8	1.1	70	1.3
3	Nov_24_2023	335.91	361.91	372.94	375.11	376.66	377.73	377.37(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	121	30	113	145	9.34	55%	0.1	78.6	1.32%	0	1.1	72	1.4
4	Nov_22_2023	335.57	359.55	371.34	374.83	374.75	375.93	378.1(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	54	20	30	124	19.77	55%	0.13	71.5	1.35%	0.8	1.2	75	1.2
5	Nov_21_2023	335.14	357.65	369.81	373.11	374.24	375.59	372.93(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	116	30	101	162	22.42	55%	0.11	70.6	1.35%	-0.4	1	74	1.3

6	Nov_20_2023	334.78	355.57	368.57	372.59	373.17	373.57	377.43(2.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	102	10	77	177	43.93	55%	0.11	68.4	1.35%	1.6	1.3	83	1.4
7	Nov_17_2023	334.42	353.18	366.49	370.39	371.21	372.89	369.71(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	60	40	24	169	30.44	53%	0.11	64.1	1.33%	-0.5	1	81	1.5
8	Nov_16_2023	334.06	351.06	364.92	370.37	370.39	372.77	376(1.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	194	50	171	262	21.35	55%	0.12	64.8	1.32%	1.7	1.5	91	1.5
9	Nov_15_2023	333.65	348.82	362.18	367.33	368.8	369.53	369.46(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	148	30	114	248	20.4	53%	0.11	63	1.31%	0.5	1.3	90	1.6
10	Nov_14_2023	333.29	346.82	359.95	365.99	366.61	368.01	370.34(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	90	30	45	224	27.64	53%	0.13	62.4	1.31%	1.4	1.6	72	1.5

11	Nov_13_2023	332.87	344.8	356.83	363.93	364.91	368.08	366.43(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	185	70	156	270	16.44	53%	0.09	63.7	1.3%	0.5	1.5	75	1.4
12	Nov_10_2023	332.56	343.05	354.01	361.96	363.31	365.21	369.61(2.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	246	50	228	300	19.79	53%	0.09	64.2	1.3%	2	2	78	1.4
13	Nov_9_2023	332.26	340.89	350.03	358.66	359.82	361.74	360.79(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	108	50	69	225	23.77	49%	0.08	64.3	1.27%	-1.1	1.7	77	0.9
14	Nov_8_2023	331.99	339.35	346.87	356.19	357.92	361.42	362.8(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	247	80	238	273	19.28	49%	0.08	68.7	1.27%	0.8	2.1	71	1.6
15	Nov_7_2023	331.74	337.73	344.48	352.95	354.34	357.89	360.03(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	240	80	233	262	18.47	49%	0.09	74.7	1.28%	1.2	2.3	71	1.7

16	Nov_6_2023	331.45	336.08	341.48	348.62	350.97	354.43	356.56(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	256	90	261	242	23.81	49%	0.04	81.5	1.28%	1	2.4	69	1.9
17	Nov_3_2023	331.31	334.65	338.71	344.82	346.63	350.78	353.11(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	231	100	240	203	18.55	49%	0.02	88.4	1.28%	1.7	2.6	65	1.9
18	Nov_2_2023	331.26	333.32	336	340.08	342.75	347.52	348.45(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	297	120	329	202	19.08	44%	0.05	85.6	1.27%	1	2.3	66	1.9
19	Nov_1_2023	331.08	331.86	334.26	336.1	337.99	342.49	346.58(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	249	110	281	152	22.18	44%	0.04	79.4	1.31%	1.8	2.5	61	1.6
20	Oct_31_2023	330.95	330.49	332.5	334.85	333.48	337.98	338.39(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	153	80	171	97	14.71	40%	0.02	77.7	1.28%	1.1	1.3	55	1.3

21	Oct_30_2023	330.88	329.27	331.73	333.3	333.97	333.49	337.56(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	200	-0	229	111	18.64	40%	0.03	73.2	1.28%	1.5	1.4	58	-0.1
22	Oct_27_2023	330.77	328.42	331.16	331.71	332.05	328.98	329.42(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-178	-60	-212	-74	24.58	38%	0.01	68.8	1.28%	-1.1	0.2	51	-1.7
23	Oct_26_2023	330.73	327.88	331.1	331.15	332.09	334.45	328.53(-3.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-14	60	-18	-0	30.06	34%	0.02	60.9	1.31%	-0.9	0.1	52	-1.1
24	Oct_25_2023	330.67	327.2	331.42	331.9	331.62	335.12	340.37(2.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	230	70	262	133	46.51	40%	0.02	55.3	1.32%	1.3	1.8	72	-0.8
25	Oct_24_2023	330.61	325.82	330.51	329.86	329.51	329.73	330.63(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	61	0	63	55	28.9	35%		43.8	1.29%	1.3	0.7	67	0.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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