Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 22, 2023

Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Apr. 26, 2024)

(Microsoft)
MSFT latest price $320.8500 (0.77%) ($320.8500 - $320.8500) on Mon. May. 22, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.63% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $320.8500(0.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSFT advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSFT advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSFT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(78%)    QQQ(76%)    IWF(73%)    VUG(73%)    IVW(72%)
Factors Impacting MSFT price   MSFT will decline at least -0.815% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-38%)    VIXM(-34%)    UUP(-14%)    XOP(-9%)    XLE(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.815% (StdDev 1.63%)
Hourly BBV 1.3 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $316.77(1.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $313.37(2.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $308.19(4.11%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   30.3%
Market Cap   $2429.155b

Microsoft Corp. engages in the development and support of software, services, devices, and solutions. It operates through the following business segments: Productivity and Business Processes; Intelligent Cloud; and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment comprises products and services in the portfolio of productivity, communication, and information services of the company spanning a variety of devices and platform. The Intelligent Cloud segment refers to the public, private, and hybrid serve products and cloud services of the company which can power modern business. The More Personal Computing segment encompasses products and services geared towards the interests of end users, developers, and IT professionals across all devices. The firm also offers operating systems; cross-device productivity applications; server applications; business solution applications; desktop and server management tools; software development tools; video games; personal computers, tablets; gaming and entertainment consoles; other intelligent devices; and related accessories. The company was founded by Paul Gardner Allen and William Henry Gates III in 1975 and is headquartered in Redmond, WA.

$. MSFT price fluctuates within 3.46% (three month std-dev: 1.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.3%(62%) Average negative next day return: -1.03%(38%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 2.18%(66%) Average negative next three day return: -1.66%(34%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 2.72%(68%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.78%(32%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20230622

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_22_2023	270.76	308.19	313.37	316.77	318.04	319.63	320.85(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	87	50	85	94	18.54	77%	0.31	72.8	1.63%	1.3	1.2	71	1.2
2	May_19_2023	269.91	306.29	312.09	314.4	315.79	318.52	318.41(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	108	70	113	93	19.06	73%	0.29	62.2	1.65%	1.1	1.1	70	1.6
3	May_18_2023	269.12	304.68	311.28	312.49	313.44	316.46	318.49(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	140	80	153	102	20.23	73%	0.32	56.1	1.66%	1.9	1.2	68	2.1
4	May_17_2023	268.25	303.05	309.92	310.85	311	313.06	314.25(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	92	50	99	71	16.45	73%	0.3	51.8	1.67%	1.2	1	66	1.6
5	May_16_2023	267.45	301.77	308.94	310.45	310	310.42	311.83(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	49	10	46	57	21.2	69%	0.17	53.5	1.69%	1.3	0.9	75	1.1

6	May_15_2023	266.99	300.6	308.34	309.47	310.1	308.94	309(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	9	-20	-9	61	13.01	69%	0.28	53.9	1.72%	0.4	0.8	85	1.7
7	May_12_2023	266.25	299.59	308.03	309.38	309.55	309.58	308.88(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-19	0	-49	71	16.41	71%	0.27	53.6	1.73%	-0.9	0.8	75	1.2
8	May_11_2023	265.52	298.45	307.79	309.81	309.47	311.26	310.28(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	72	40	50	137	24.82	71%	0.26	53.6	1.75%	0.7	1.1	71	1.2
9	May_10_2023	264.83	297.38	307.26	308.8	309.66	309.52	312.25(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	108	10	88	168	23.83	71%	0.28	53.5	1.76%	2.4	1.3	72	1.1
10	May_9_2023	264.1	295.91	305.64	307.24	307.9	307.67	306.93(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-9	0	-50	115	17.41	71%	0.27	49.9	1.75%	-1.4	1	66	0.7

11	May_8_2023	263.4	294.71	302.77	307.02	307.31	309.8	308.55(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	83	60	61	148	18.24	71%	0.26	49.3	1.75%	0.4	1.3	68	1.2
12	May_5_2023	262.73	293.66	300.2	306.47	306.64	308.13	311.05(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	128	40	117	159	21.13	74%	0.24	49.6	1.81%	2.2	1.7	70	1.1
13	May_4_2023	262.09	292.57	297.64	305.53	305.32	304.82	305.21(0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	15	-10	-14	103	18.16	73%	0.19	55.2	1.81%	0.3	1.3	69	-0.1
14	May_3_2023	261.58	291.51	295.71	305.51	305.61	305.14	304.44(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10	-15	101	18.32	73%	0.19	60	1.83%	-1.2	1.4	64	1
15	May_2_2023	261.09	290.58	294.07	303.71	305.78	305.82	305.85(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	74	20	57	126	21.82	75%	0.22	64.5	1.84%	-0.5	1.8	69	1.1

16	May_1_2023	260.52	289.56	292.23	297.63	303.18	306.08	305.78(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	143	120	148	129	17.42	76%	0.24	55.5	1.88%	0.3	2	70	1.8
17	Apr_28_2023	259.9	288.6	290.36	292.79	295.59	305.74	306.39(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	228	270	256	143	28.6	73%	0.24	50	1.91%	1	2.6	62	1.9
18	Apr_27_2023	259.28	287.4	288.17	288.61	289.38	300.28	305.1(3.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.9	406	270	475	200	39.22	73%	0.24	46	1.93%	1.1	3.1	59	1.3
19	Apr_26_2023	258.65	286.1	286.37	284.74	284.48	285.44	295.45(7.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	191	20	227	82	56.79	73%	0.2	46.2	1.89%	1.2	2.3	59	0.8
20	Apr_25_2023	258.13	285.07	285.08	283.34	282.06	278.49	275.44(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-189	-100	-215	-110	39.43	69%	0.1	36.7	1.71%	-1.7	-2.3	39	0.5

21	Apr_24_2023	257.86	285.22	285.96	285.94	285.31	283.53	281.56(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-87	-50	-99	-51	22.96	72%	0.11	61	1.68%	-1.2	-0.9	44	1.4
22	Apr_21_2023	257.58	285.16	286.7	287.33	287.04	285.63	285.5(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-50	-40	-58	-24	17.35	72%	0.12	70	1.66%	-0.8	0.1	46	1.5
23	Apr_20_2023	257.27	284.82	287.24	287.43	287.79	287.09	285.75(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-10	-45	-10	17.99	74%	0.13	69.4	1.67%	-2	0.2	54	1.3
24	Apr_19_2023	256.94	284.2	287.17	288.14	287.85	288.45	288.43(-0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	10	-1	17	14.56	74%	0.2	70.8	1.7%	0.8	0.8	61	1.6
25	Apr_18_2023	256.43	283.49	287	287.12	288.08	288.49	288.48(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	60	20	63	49	15.74	74%		72.2	1.72%	0.7	0.9	68	1.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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