Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 22, 2022

Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. May. 1, 2024)

(Microsoft)
MSFT latest price $274.0100 (-2.41%) ($273.4400 - $274.0100) on Fri. Apr. 22, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.02% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $274.0100(-2.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSFT declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSFT declines -4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSFT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(84%)    IWF(83%)    IVW(81%)    SPY(77%)    FIVG(69%)
Factors Impacting MSFT price   MSFT will decline at least -1.01% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    UUP(-22%)    TBT(-8%)    VXX(-5%)    TLT(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.01% (StdDev 2.02%)
Hourly BBV -1.7 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $295.47
5 Day Moving Average   $281.38(-2.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $283.61(-3.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $295.47(-7.26%)
To recent high   -13.1%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $2074.53b

Microsoft Corp. engages in the development and support of software, services, devices, and solutions. It operates through the following business segments: Productivity and Business Processes; Intelligent Cloud; and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment comprises products and services in the portfolio of productivity, communication, and information services of the company spanning a variety of devices and platform. The Intelligent Cloud segment refers to the public, private, and hybrid serve products and cloud services of the company which can power modern business. The More Personal Computing segment encompasses products and services geared towards the interests of end users, developers, and IT professionals across all devices. The firm also offers operating systems; cross-device productivity applications; server applications; business solution applications; desktop and server management tools; software development tools; video games; personal computers, tablets; gaming and entertainment consoles; other intelligent devices; and related accessories. The company was founded by Paul Gardner Allen and William Henry Gates III in 1975 and is headquartered in Redmond, WA.

$. MSFT price fluctuates within 4.6% (three month std-dev: 2.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 2.26%(48%) Average negative next day return: -2.51%(52%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 4.44%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -7.96%(44%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 6.05%(48%) Average negative next weekly return: -9%(52%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220522

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_22_2022	305.94	295.47	283.61	281.38	281.18	277.23	274.01(-2.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-188	-100	-184	-198	29	43%	-0.19	-39.1	2.02%	-1.7	-1.6	26	1.1
2	Apr_21_2022	306.51	297.04	286.26	282.51	282.77	283.54	280.77(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-66	20	-40	-143	24.43	44%	-0.17	-36.9	2.02%	-1.9	-1.3	30	1.3
3	Apr_20_2022	307.02	298.07	288.08	283.84	282.52	285.12	286.48(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	31	50	76	-103	18.82	44%	-0.15	-33.9	2.02%	1.1	-1	29	0.7
4	Apr_19_2022	307.47	298.99	290.34	283.03	282.76	282.01	285.55(1.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	13	-20	57	-120	22.25	44%	-0.17	-30.7	2.02%	1.8	-1.1	28	0.8
5	Apr_18_2022	308	299.74	293.11	282.97	282.42	279.93	280.1(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-138	-70	-120	-190	17.56	42%	-0.17	-23.5	2%	-1.2	-1.7	30	1

6	Apr_14_2022	308.52	300.87	296.05	286.33	283.65	283.51	279.68(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-126	-30	-113	-165	27.69	44%	-0.19	-8.6	2.02%	-1.8	-2.1	36	1.5
7	Apr_13_2022	309.1	301.77	299.01	290.6	287.94	284.9	287.42(1.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-50	-100	-31	-108	18.12	43%	-0.16	8.2	2.01%	1.1	-1.6	40	1.5
8	Apr_12_2022	309.61	302.21	301.65	293.03	291.33	283.79	282.39(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-235	-200	-256	-173	27.45	43%	-0.19	18.4	2.06%	-1.3	-2.1	40	1
9	Apr_11_2022	310.2	302.64	305.05	298.76	295.63	290.98	285.26(-3.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-267	-140	-304	-154	33.96	43%	-0.19	39.1	2.06%	-1.5	-1.8	39	0.1
10	Apr_8_2022	310.8	302.43	307.68	304.71	302.03	298.88	296.91(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-93	-100	-112	-37	23.66	45%	-0.15	53.2	1.99%	-1.5	-0.5	51	0.7

11	Apr_7_2022	311.26	301.73	308.51	307.19	306.58	300.29	301(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-128	-150	-158	-38	25.73	45%	-0.13	54.4	2%	-0.3	-0.1	53	1.3
12	Apr_6_2022	311.65	301.03	308.92	308.67	308.67	305.17	299.57(-3.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-189	-80	-235	-52	33.54	45%	-0.13	53.1	2%	-1.3	-0.1	57	1.1
13	Apr_5_2022	312.06	300.53	309.13	311.5	310.86	312.88	311.08(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	20	40	4	68	22.97	45%	-0.08	50.9	1.94%	-0.1	0.9	69	0.5
14	Apr_4_2022	312.32	298.82	308.44	312.34	311.6	312.16	314.98(1.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	94	10	85	120	18.78	44%	-0.07	44.7	2%	1.3	1.3	77	-0.1
15	Apr_1_2022	312.54	297.02	306.84	311.25	311.71	308.84	309.34(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-18	-60	-52	84	20.5	44%	-0.08	36.9	1.98%	-1.3	1	80	-0.5

16	Mar_31_2022	312.78	295.92	305.97	310.06	311.76	311.03	308.36(-1.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-27	0	-67	92	33.34	44%	-0.08	32	1.99%	-1.2	1.1	74	-0.9
17	Mar_30_2022	313.02	295.22	304.66	309.14	310.52	314.58	313.72(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	117	100	100	166	20.24	44%	-0.07	31.7	1.98%	0.7	1.6	72	-0.7
18	Mar_29_2022	313.25	294.41	302.65	306.31	308.03	312.48	315.32(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	216	120	219	205	24.99	44%	-0.07	35.4	1.99%	1.6	2	70	-0.9
19	Mar_28_2022	313.47	293.28	299.81	304.04	304.06	306.46	309.52(2.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	117	60	102	161	20.78	44%	-0.09	36.3	1.97%	1.7	1.7	74	-1.5
20	Mar_25_2022	313.74	292.61	296.6	301.91	302.67	303.57	303.4(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	85	30	68	136	18.81	44%	-0.11	37.9	1.96%	0.6	1.2	68	-0.9

21	Mar_24_2022	314.08	292.2	294.33	301.31	301.54	301.66	303.73(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	10	16	107	17.43	44%	-0.1	41	1.97%	0.8	1.3	59	-0.7
22	Mar_23_2022	314.4	291.64	292.46	299.46	300.74	301.77	299.57(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	47	40	31	93	20.34	44%	-0.11	32.7	1.98%	0	0.9	51	-0.8
23	Mar_22_2022	314.75	290.7	291.26	298.28	299.49	301.43	303.97(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	97	60	95	102	21.2	46%	-0.08	19.1	1.97%	1.5	1.6	50	-1
24	Mar_21_2022	315.01	289.82	288.42	294.89	296.92	299.71	298.88(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	103	90	114	71	21.86	47%	-0.1	4	1.98%	0.6	1.1	51	-1.2
25	Mar_18_2022	315.34	289.26	286.38	290.37	294	297.56	300.38(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	159	120	193	58	28.98	47%		-16.1	1.99%	1.9	1.4	49	0.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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