Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 18, 2018

Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(Microsoft)
MSFT latest price $88.1901 (-0.04%) ($87.7595 - $88.7481) on Thu. Jan. 18, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.24% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $88.1901(-0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSFT advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSFT advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSFT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(88%)    IVW(87%)    IWF(87%)    XLK(83%)    SPY(81%)
Factors Impacting MSFT price   MSFT will decline at least -0.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-11%)    TLT(-11%)    VXX(-4%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.62% (StdDev 1.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $87.36(0.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $86.76(1.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $85.39(3.28%)
To recent high   -0%
To recent low   16.7%
Market Cap   $667.687b

Microsoft Corp. engages in the development and support of software, services, devices, and solutions. It operates through the following business segments: Productivity and Business Processes; Intelligent Cloud; and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment comprises products and services in the portfolio of productivity, communication, and information services of the company spanning a variety of devices and platform. The Intelligent Cloud segment refers to the public, private, and hybrid serve products and cloud services of the company which can power modern business. The More Personal Computing segment encompasses products and services geared towards the interests of end users, developers, and IT professionals across all devices. The firm also offers operating systems; cross-device productivity applications; server applications; business solution applications; desktop and server management tools; software development tools; video games; personal computers, tablets; gaming and entertainment consoles; other intelligent devices; and related accessories. The company was founded by Paul Gardner Allen and William Henry Gates III in 1975 and is headquartered in Redmond, WA.

$. MSFT price fluctuates within 1.85% (three month std-dev: 1.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_18_2018	79.19	85.39	86.76	87.36			88.19(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	8	97	24.16	76%	0.2	57.3	1.24%	0	1.8	78	0
2	Jan_17_2018	79.03	85.2	86.4	86.92			88.23(2.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	28	-10000	7	89	25.62	76%	0.23	56.9	1.24%	0	2	79	0
3	Jan_16_2018	78.85	85.02	85.99	86.54			86.48(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	20	-10000	0	80	36.6	75%	0.31	66	1.22%	0	1.1	73	0
4	Jan_12_2018	78.61	84.84	85.73	86.53			87.7(1.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	25	-10000	5	86	24.27	79%	0.23	79.2	1.19%	0	2.3	86	0
5	Jan_11_2018	78.43	84.62	85.34	86.25			86.21(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	23	-10000	4	80	17.81	78%	0.2	92.3	1.18%	0	1.4	82	0

6	Jan_10_2018	78.27	84.49	85.11	86.06			85.96(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	6	76	18.65	78%	0.19	108.8	1.18%	0	1.4	73	0
7	Jan_9_2018	78.12	84.36	84.88	85.77			86.35(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	-10000	9	64	19.48	78%	0.21	125	1.17%	0	2	68	0
8	Jan_8_2018	77.96	84.16	84.6	85.33			86.41(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	19	-10000	11	44	22.11	78%	0.22	126.9	1.17%	0	2.5	60	0
9	Jan_5_2018	77.79	83.89	84.32	84.79			86.32(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	15	-10000	10	30	23.41	79%	0.21	109.9	1.17%	0	2.9	74	0
10	Jan_4_2018	77.63	83.62	84.04	84.31			85.26(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	6	13	21.91	78%	0.18	81.6	1.18%	0	1.7	62	0

11	Jan_3_2018	77.49	83.36	83.9	84.03			84.52(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	-10000	4	5	26.06	78%	0.18	54	1.18%	0	1.1	56	0
12	Jan_2_2018	77.35	83.12	83.88	83.85			84.13(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-10000	2	4	22.48	78%	0.26	30.8	1.18%	0	0.8	56	0
13	Dec_29_2017	77.15	83.03	83.96	83.76			83.73(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	4	-10000	0	15	18.72	79%	0.19	28.2	1.18%	0	0.5	62	0
14	Dec_28_2017	77	82.96	83.89	83.75			83.9(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10000	1	27	10.59	79%	0.18	31.5	1.18%	0	0.6	72	0
15	Dec_27_2017	76.86	82.85	83.86	83.72			83.89(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-10000	-0	40	14.68	79%	0.18	29.7	1.18%	0	0.7	69	0

16	Dec_26_2017	76.72	82.8	83.84	83.74			83.59(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-10000	-4	61	9.89	79%	0.25	37.8	1.19%	0	0.5	73	0
17	Dec_22_2017	76.53	82.72	83.83	83.93			83.7(0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-10000	-5	91	14.15	75%	0.18	47.2	1.2%	0	0.7	76	0
18	Dec_21_2017	76.39	82.61	83.72	84.19			83.69(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	29	-10000	3	105	17.99	72%	0.18	52.5	1.2%	0	0.7	55	0
19	Dec_20_2017	76.25	82.49	83.45	84.03			83.71(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-10000	1	92	23.67	72%	0.18	50.3	1.21%	0	0.8	55	0
20	Dec_19_2017	76.11	82.4	83.2	84			84.01(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	-10000	1	90	23.52	72%	0.17	51.1	1.21%	0	1.1	59	0

21	Dec_18_2017	75.98	82.24	82.81	83.95			84.55(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	4	74	22.28	72%	0.18	48.6	1.2%	0	1.6	54	0
22	Dec_15_2017	75.84	82.04	82.3	83.73			85.01(2.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	-10000	11	56	53.94	72%	0.2	43.1	1.2%	0	2.2	59	0
23	Dec_14_2017	75.69	81.84	82.01	83.2			82.89(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	-10000	9	44	19.31	69%	0.15	36.1	1.17%	0	0.9	56	0
24	Dec_13_2017	75.58	81.76	81.95	82.77			83.54(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	11	37	22.06	69%	0.16	22.5	1.16%	0	1.5	58	0
25	Dec_12_2017	75.46	81.66	81.73	82.27			83.77(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	18	-10000	17	20	23.92	69%		10.6	1.16%	0	2	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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