Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 27, 2017

Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Mon. Jun. 10, 2024)

(Microsoft)
MSFT latest price $62.9794 (2.35%) ($62.1273 - $63.1039) on Fri. Jan. 27, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.02% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $62.9794(2.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSFT advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSFT advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSFT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(88%)    IWF(87%)    IVW(86%)    XLK(82%)    SPY(80%)
Factors Impacting MSFT price   MSFT will decline at least -0.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-11%)    UUP(-9%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.51% (StdDev 1.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $61.32(2.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $60.66(3.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $60.31(4.43%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.9%
Market Cap   $476.817b

Microsoft Corp. engages in the development and support of software, services, devices, and solutions. It operates through the following business segments: Productivity and Business Processes; Intelligent Cloud; and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment comprises products and services in the portfolio of productivity, communication, and information services of the company spanning a variety of devices and platform. The Intelligent Cloud segment refers to the public, private, and hybrid serve products and cloud services of the company which can power modern business. The More Personal Computing segment encompasses products and services geared towards the interests of end users, developers, and IT professionals across all devices. The firm also offers operating systems; cross-device productivity applications; server applications; business solution applications; desktop and server management tools; software development tools; video games; personal computers, tablets; gaming and entertainment consoles; other intelligent devices; and related accessories. The company was founded by Paul Gardner Allen and William Henry Gates III in 1975 and is headquartered in Redmond, WA.

$. MSFT price fluctuates within 1.34% (three month std-dev: 1.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170227

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_27_2017	57.45	60.31	60.66	61.32			62.98(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	32	-10000	19	72	44.82	67%	0.16	27.6	1.02%	0	3.3	75	0
2	Jan_26_2017	57.36	60.16	60.33	60.73			61.53(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	20	-10000	12	43	43.55	64%	0.12	7.2	0.99%	0	2.7	71	0
3	Jan_25_2017	57.29	60.1	60.21	60.36			60.97(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	13	-10000	8	29	24.65	64%	0.1	-22.2	0.99%	0	2.3	67	0
4	Jan_24_2017	57.23	60.1	60.1	60.13			60.82(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	9	-10000	6	16	24.67	67%	0.07	-31.6	0.99%	0	2.2	61	0
5	Jan_23_2017	57.19	60.07	60.01	59.94			60.28(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	4	-10000	2	8	23.1	67%	0.11	-41.7	1.02%	0	0.7	61	0

6	Jan_20_2017	57.13	60.09	59.99	59.89			60.07(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	2	-10000	1	4	30.21	71%	0.09	-30.8	1.15%	0	-0.1	47	0
7	Jan_19_2017	57.08	60.12	59.95	59.87			59.65(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5	-10000	-5	-5	18.45	71%	0.09	-23.3	1.15%	0	-1.3	42	0
8	Jan_18_2017	57.03	60.12	59.96	60.04			59.84(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-1	-10000	-1	-2	19.67	71%	0.09	6.2	1.15%	0	-0.9	40	0
9	Jan_17_2017	56.98	60.18	59.97	60.06			59.87(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-2	-10000	-1	-6	20.66	71%	0.12	11.8	1.15%	0	-0.8	41	0
10	Jan_13_2017	56.91	60.18	59.94	60.08			60.03(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-10000	-1	-16	19.42	71%	0.09	26.7	1.14%	0	-0.4	39	0

11	Jan_12_2017	56.86	60.19	59.95	60.11			59.94(-0.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-3	-10000	2	-19	20.97	71%	0.09	41.3	1.15%	0	-0.6	38	0
12	Jan_11_2017	56.81	60.21	59.99	60.05			60.5(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-3	-10000	5	-25	21.52	68%	0.09	66.7	1.14%	0	0.6	43	0
13	Jan_10_2017	56.76	60.16	59.98	59.88			59.95(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-10	-10000	0	-38	18.59	68%	0.11	78.1	1.15%	0	-0.5	32	0
14	Jan_9_2017	56.7	60.13	60.04	59.87			59.97(-0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-10000	3	-31	20.38	68%	0.09	98.7	1.15%	0	-0.3	56	0
15	Jan_6_2017	56.65	60.06	60.12	59.77			60.16(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-9	-10000	-1	-31	19.92	68%	0.11	104.8	1.15%	0	0.2	54	0

16	Jan_5_2017	56.59	60	60.18	59.79			59.65(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-10	-10000	-4	-26	24.88	68%	0.09	92.4	1.15%	0	-0.6	47	0
17	Jan_4_2017	56.54	59.9	60.3	59.92			59.65(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-10000	-6	-16	21.34	68%	0.09	83.5	1.15%	0	-0.4	44	0
18	Jan_3_2017	56.49	59.82	60.42	60.11			59.92(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-3	5	20.69	68%	0.12	68.7	1.15%	0	0.1	56	0
19	Dec_30_2016	56.42	59.67	60.41	60.23			59.49(-1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-10000	-8	11	25.58	68%	0.07	50.2	1.15%	0	-0.2	55	0
20	Dec_29_2016	56.38	59.55	60.47	60.5			60.22(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10000	-4	39	10.25	68%	0.11	46.9	1.13%	0	0.5	72	0

21	Dec_28_2016	56.32	59.43	60.47	60.62			60.31(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10000	-3	56	14.65	68%	0.09	45.8	1.14%	0	0.6	67	0
22	Dec_27_2016	56.27	59.33	60.46	60.73			60.59(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-10000	-2	87	11.76	70%	0.12	49.2	1.14%	0	0.9	78	0
23	Dec_23_2016	56.2	59.21	60.36	60.79			60.55(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	-10000	5	108	12.4	70%	0.12	52.8	1.16%	0	1	74	0
24	Dec_22_2016	56.13	59.07	60.25	60.61			60.84(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	35	-10000	5	123	22.18	70%	0.12	49.6	1.16%	0	1.3	81	0
25	Dec_21_2016	56.06	58.92	60.01	60.43			60.83(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	37	-10000	5	131	17.1	71%		50.4	1.16%	0	1.4	81	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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