Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 26, 2016

Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Thu. Jun. 20, 2024)

(Microsoft)
MSFT latest price $49.0418 (-0.44%) ($48.5408 - $49.1262) on Thu. May. 26, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.53% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $49.0418(-0.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSFT advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSFT advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSFT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(87%)    IVW(86%)    IWF(86%)    XLK(82%)    SPY(80%)
Factors Impacting MSFT price   MSFT will decline at least -0.765% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    TLT(-11%)    UUP(-9%)    IPO(-7%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.765% (StdDev 1.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.44(1.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.23(1.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.8(2.6%)
To recent high   -7.5%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $371.295b

Microsoft Corp. engages in the development and support of software, services, devices, and solutions. It operates through the following business segments: Productivity and Business Processes; Intelligent Cloud; and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment comprises products and services in the portfolio of productivity, communication, and information services of the company spanning a variety of devices and platform. The Intelligent Cloud segment refers to the public, private, and hybrid serve products and cloud services of the company which can power modern business. The More Personal Computing segment encompasses products and services geared towards the interests of end users, developers, and IT professionals across all devices. The firm also offers operating systems; cross-device productivity applications; server applications; business solution applications; desktop and server management tools; software development tools; video games; personal computers, tablets; gaming and entertainment consoles; other intelligent devices; and related accessories. The company was founded by Paul Gardner Allen and William Henry Gates III in 1975 and is headquartered in Redmond, WA.

$. MSFT price fluctuates within 1.57% (three month std-dev: 1.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160626

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_26_2016	49.1	47.8	48.23	48.44			49.04(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	8	35	24.34	47%	-0.04	16.6	1.53%	0	1.7	62	0
2	May_25_2016	49.12	47.68	48.15	48.14			49.26(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	13	-10000	7	32	24.2	47%	-0.04	-29.7	1.54%	0	2.3	66	0
3	May_24_2016	49.14	47.6	48	47.89			48.76(3.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	11	-10000	5	29	34.76	47%	-0.04	-76.6	1.55%	0	1.9	64	0
4	May_23_2016	49.16	47.57	47.91	47.69			47.28(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-10000	-7	24	26.12	37%	-0.04	-118.5	1.5%	0	-0.5	57	0
5	May_20_2016	49.18	47.64	47.89	47.96			47.84(0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10000	-1	36	23.91	37%	-0.08	-130.1	1.53%	0	0.3	53	0

6	May_19_2016	49.22	47.67	47.84	47.98			47.56(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-10000	-4	40	23.84	37%	-0.1	-84.4	1.54%	0	-0.1	57	0
7	May_18_2016	49.27	47.89	47.79	48.14			48.02(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	-10000	1	51	24.91	37%	-0.1	-64.3	1.54%	0	0.1	61	0
8	May_17_2016	49.32	48.07	47.67	48.12			47.74(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10000	-1	42	27.8	42%	-0.1	-53.3	1.54%	0	-0.2	49	0
9	May_16_2016	49.37	48.31	47.58	48.15			48.64(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	9	37	20.03	48%	0	-43.7	1.55%	0	0.2	51	0
10	May_13_2016	49.37	48.5	47.45	47.82			47.94(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	3	10	22.59	48%	-0.08	-41.4	1.56%	0	-0.3	40	0

11	May_12_2016	49.41	48.7	47.34	47.69			48.34(0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	-10000	8	-8	24.1	48%	-0.08	-39.6	1.57%	0	-0.2	46	0
12	May_11_2016	49.45	48.87	47.18	47.39			47.91(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	-10000	6	-61	24.04	48%	-0.08	-40.6	1.58%	0	-0.4	25	0
13	May_10_2016	49.49	49.06	47.15	47.17			47.88(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	-10000	6	-102	22.89	48%	-0.06	-42.5	1.58%	0	-0.5	26	0
14	May_9_2016	49.52	49.23	47.17	46.94			46.99(-0.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-40	-10000	-3	-151	17.95	45%	-0.08	-45.5	1.56%	0	-0.9	18	0
15	May_6_2016	49.56	49.43	47.35	47.04			47.29(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-42	-10000	3	-175	24.79	45%	-0.1	-47.6	1.56%	0	-0.9	18	0

16	May_5_2016	49.61	49.63	47.47	46.94			46.87(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-52	-10000	0	-206	25.39	40%	-0.1	-51.8	1.57%	0	-1.2	22	0
17	May_4_2016	49.66	49.85	47.98	46.93			46.81(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-54	-10000	-5	-201	24.26	40%	-0.1	-55.4	1.63%	0	-1.4	24	0
18	May_3_2016	49.71	50.1	48.49	47.13			46.72(-1.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-55	-10000	-8	-195	26.46	40%	-0.1	-56.4	1.63%	0	-1.6	24	0
19	May_2_2016	49.76	50.34	49.09	47.45			47.5(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-49	-10000	-7	-174	33.11	39%	-0.06	-56.6	1.63%	0	-1.4	32	0
20	Apr_29_2016	49.79	50.58	49.62	47.73			46.81(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-45	-10000	-9	-152	48.41	47%	-0.1	-51.8	1.65%	0	-2	30	0

21	Apr_28_2016	49.84	50.86	50.18	48.09			46.83(-2.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-51	-10000	-25	-128	43.13	49%	-0.1	-49.7	1.81%	0	-2.3	30	0
22	Apr_27_2016	49.89	51.13	50.71	49.19			47.81(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-35	-10000	-19	-84	43.37	49%	-0.08	-35.1	1.81%	0	-2.3	33	0
23	Apr_26_2016	49.93	51.34	51.15	50.06			48.28(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-28	-10000	-20	-53	33.53	49%	-0.08	-19.2	1.82%	0	-2.4	32	0
24	Apr_25_2016	49.97	51.51	51.49	50.99			48.91(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-18	-10000	-17	-19	33.23	49%	-0.06	4.8	1.81%	0	-2.4	39	0
25	Apr_22_2016	50	51.6	51.73	51.81			48.6(-7.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-3.4	-10	-10000	-15	5	126.83	53%		30.2	1.82%	0	-3.2	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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