Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 13, 2015

Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. May. 22, 2024)

(Microsoft)
MSFT latest price $48.9095 (-0.9%) ($48.6225 - $49.3260) on Fri. Nov. 13, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.15% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $48.9095(-0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSFT declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSFT declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSFT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(87%)    IWF(86%)    IVW(85%)    XLK(82%)    VUG(80%)
Factors Impacting MSFT price   MSFT will decline at least -1.075% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.075% (StdDev 2.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.52(-1.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.83(-1.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.69(0.45%)
To recent high   -3.8%
To recent low   30.6%
Market Cap   $370.294b

Microsoft Corp. engages in the development and support of software, services, devices, and solutions. It operates through the following business segments: Productivity and Business Processes; Intelligent Cloud; and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment comprises products and services in the portfolio of productivity, communication, and information services of the company spanning a variety of devices and platform. The Intelligent Cloud segment refers to the public, private, and hybrid serve products and cloud services of the company which can power modern business. The More Personal Computing segment encompasses products and services geared towards the interests of end users, developers, and IT professionals across all devices. The firm also offers operating systems; cross-device productivity applications; server applications; business solution applications; desktop and server management tools; software development tools; video games; personal computers, tablets; gaming and entertainment consoles; other intelligent devices; and related accessories. The company was founded by Paul Gardner Allen and William Henry Gates III in 1975 and is headquartered in Redmond, WA.

$. MSFT price fluctuates within 5.03% (three month std-dev: 2.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151213

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_13_2015	43.07	48.69	49.83	49.52			48.91(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-10000	-7	-7	36.85	62%	0.16	59.8	2.15%	0	0.1	41	0
2	Nov_12_2015	43	48.47	49.84	49.9			49.35(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10000	-4	5	35.36	62%	0.16	60.8	2.15%	0	0.3	55	0
3	Nov_11_2015	42.93	48.2	49.85	50.1			49.66(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10000	-3	37	36.52	60%	0.19	59.1	2.14%	0	0.5	76	0
4	Nov_10_2015	42.85	47.89	49.88	50.24			49.53(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-10000	-2	76	55.28	61%	0.16	58.4	2.16%	0	0.6	78	0
5	Nov_9_2015	42.78	47.6	49.88	50.36			50.13(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	-10000	3	113	32.51	61%	0.19	59	2.16%	0	0.8	77	0

6	Nov_6_2015	42.7	47.27	49.91	50.18			50.83(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	43	-10000	8	146	32.85	59%	0.19	58.1	2.15%	0	1.2	81	0
7	Nov_5_2015	42.62	46.91	49.72	49.76			50.33(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	-10000	4	160	31.47	59%	0.19	58.2	2.17%	0	1.1	80	0
8	Nov_4_2015	42.54	46.58	49.17	49.57			50.35(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	42	-10000	1	164	37.09	60%	0.19	62.1	2.16%	0	1.3	81	0
9	Nov_3_2015	42.46	46.22	48.54	49.5			50.12(1.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	44	-10000	2	170	36.6	60%	0.19	67.6	2.17%	0	1.4	82	0
10	Nov_2_2015	42.38	45.87	47.98	49.41			49.28(1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	41	-10000	-4	176	30.28	60%	0.19	75.7	2.16%	0	1.2	79	0

11	Oct_30_2015	42.3	45.56	47.48	49.6			48.72(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	48	-10000	-1	194	46.62	61%	0.14	85.1	2.16%	0	1.2	77	0
12	Oct_29_2015	42.24	45.23	47.02	49.64			49.39(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	68	-10000	19	213	30.2	62%	0.14	88.9	2.16%	0	1.5	80	0
13	Oct_28_2015	42.18	44.82	46.43	48.65			49.96(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	64	-10000	24	182	47	62%	0.19	82.2	2.16%	0	1.9	81	0
14	Oct_27_2015	42.1	44.36	45.74	47.4			49.7(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	52	-10000	22	140	51	61%	0.19	73.6	2.16%	0	2.1	82	0
15	Oct_26_2015	42.02	43.87	45.09	46.3			50.21(2.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	45	-10000	25	105	64.63	61%	0.19	65.8	2.16%	0	2.7	85	0

16	Oct_23_2015	41.94	43.34	44.37	45.08			48.94(10.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.1	32	-10000	21	64	135.23	59%	0.14	61.5	2.15%	0	3	84	0
17	Oct_22_2015	41.88	42.91	43.78	44.08			44.46(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	5	38	56.64	50%	0.05	62.9	1.76%	0	1.1	75	0
18	Oct_21_2015	41.86	42.72	43.72	43.89			43.69(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	2	47	25.26	48%	0	57.9	1.81%	0	0.7	78	0
19	Oct_20_2015	41.86	42.57	43.69	43.8			44.22(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	18	-10000	4	61	30.8	48%	0.02	54.2	1.81%	0	1.1	86	0
20	Oct_19_2015	41.85	42.39	43.59	43.64			44.08(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	22	-10000	3	77	29.39	48%	0.02	52.1	1.81%	0	1.2	88	0

21	Oct_16_2015	41.84	42.23	43.5	43.52			43.98(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	26	-10000	2	96	26.45	50%	0	53.7	1.81%	0	1.2	88	0
22	Oct_15_2015	41.84	42.04	43.32	43.45			43.51(0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	25	-10000	-2	104	27.19	50%	0	54.9	1.82%	0	1.1	76	0
23	Oct_14_2015	41.84	41.91	43.12	43.53			43.21(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	28	-10000	-1	116	24.7	50%	0	61.5	1.82%	0	1	75	0
24	Oct_13_2015	41.84	41.8	42.91	43.55			43.4(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10000	1	124	19.99	51%	0.05	67.6	1.82%	0	1.2	78	0
25	Oct_12_2015	41.82	41.66	42.61	43.52			43.5(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	32	-10000	2	123	19.77	51%		68	1.83%	0	1.4	79	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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