Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 29, 2015

Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(Microsoft)
MSFT latest price $49.3908 (-1.15%) ($49.2612 - $49.8258) on Thu. Oct. 29, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.16% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $49.3908(-1.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSFT advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSFT advances 7.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSFT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(87%)    IWF(85%)    XLK(82%)    SPY(79%)    VUG(79%)
Factors Impacting MSFT price   MSFT will decline at least -1.08% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.08% (StdDev 2.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.64(-0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.02(5.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.23(9.2%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   31.9%
Market Cap   $373.938b

Microsoft Corp. engages in the development and support of software, services, devices, and solutions. It operates through the following business segments: Productivity and Business Processes; Intelligent Cloud; and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment comprises products and services in the portfolio of productivity, communication, and information services of the company spanning a variety of devices and platform. The Intelligent Cloud segment refers to the public, private, and hybrid serve products and cloud services of the company which can power modern business. The More Personal Computing segment encompasses products and services geared towards the interests of end users, developers, and IT professionals across all devices. The firm also offers operating systems; cross-device productivity applications; server applications; business solution applications; desktop and server management tools; software development tools; video games; personal computers, tablets; gaming and entertainment consoles; other intelligent devices; and related accessories. The company was founded by Paul Gardner Allen and William Henry Gates III in 1975 and is headquartered in Redmond, WA.

$. MSFT price fluctuates within 6.06% (three month std-dev: 2.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151129

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_29_2015	42.24	45.23	47.02	49.64			49.39(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	68	-10000	19	213	30.2	62%	0.14	88.9	2.16%	0	1.5	80	0
2	Oct_28_2015	42.18	44.82	46.43	48.65			49.96(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	64	-10000	24	182	47	62%	0.19	82.2	2.16%	0	1.9	81	0
3	Oct_27_2015	42.1	44.36	45.74	47.4			49.7(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	52	-10000	22	140	51	61%	0.19	73.6	2.16%	0	2.1	82	0
4	Oct_26_2015	42.02	43.87	45.09	46.3			50.21(2.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	45	-10000	25	105	64.63	61%	0.19	65.8	2.16%	0	2.7	85	0
5	Oct_23_2015	41.94	43.34	44.37	45.08			48.94(10.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.1	32	-10000	21	64	135.23	59%	0.14	61.5	2.15%	0	3	84	0

6	Oct_22_2015	41.88	42.91	43.78	44.08			44.46(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	5	38	56.64	50%	0.05	62.9	1.76%	0	1.1	75	0
7	Oct_21_2015	41.86	42.72	43.72	43.89			43.69(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	2	47	25.26	48%	0	57.9	1.81%	0	0.7	78	0
8	Oct_20_2015	41.86	42.57	43.69	43.8			44.22(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	18	-10000	4	61	30.8	48%	0.02	54.2	1.81%	0	1.1	86	0
9	Oct_19_2015	41.85	42.39	43.59	43.64			44.08(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	22	-10000	3	77	29.39	48%	0.02	52.1	1.81%	0	1.2	88	0
10	Oct_16_2015	41.84	42.23	43.5	43.52			43.98(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	26	-10000	2	96	26.45	50%	0	53.7	1.81%	0	1.2	88	0

11	Oct_15_2015	41.84	42.04	43.32	43.45			43.51(0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	25	-10000	-2	104	27.19	50%	0	54.9	1.82%	0	1.1	76	0
12	Oct_14_2015	41.84	41.91	43.12	43.53			43.21(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	28	-10000	-1	116	24.7	50%	0	61.5	1.82%	0	1	75	0
13	Oct_13_2015	41.84	41.8	42.91	43.55			43.4(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10000	1	124	19.99	51%	0.05	67.6	1.82%	0	1.2	78	0
14	Oct_12_2015	41.82	41.66	42.61	43.52			43.5(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	32	-10000	2	123	19.77	51%	0	68	1.83%	0	1.4	79	0
15	Oct_9_2015	41.82	41.47	42.28	43.46			43.61(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	7	120	28.6	51%	0	71.9	1.83%	0	1.7	76	0

16	Oct_8_2015	41.82	41.3	41.99	43.17			43.92(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	40	-10000	14	116	33.77	51%	0.02	69.8	1.83%	0	2.2	83	0
17	Oct_7_2015	41.81	41.1	41.65	42.64			43.32(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	-10000	12	91	27.71	51%	-0.02	65.5	1.83%	0	2.1	69	0
18	Oct_6_2015	41.82	40.92	41.37	42.17			43.27(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	-10000	16	70	27.51	51%	0	67.1	1.83%	0	2.6	68	0
19	Oct_5_2015	41.82	40.77	41.09	41.56			43.16(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	24	-10000	17	44	34.37	51%	-0.02	60.3	1.83%	0	3.1	69	0
20	Oct_2_2015	41.83	40.58	40.83	40.94			42.18(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	11	-10000	8	20	41.84	50%	-0.07	40.7	1.82%	0	2.7	71	0

21	Oct_1_2015	41.86	40.48	40.62	40.64			41.29(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	4	-10000	4	5	28.66	48%	-0.05	31.5	1.8%	0	1.8	60	0
22	Sep_30_2015	41.88	40.41	40.58	40.51			40.97(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	3	-10000	2	5	34.96	48%	-0.05	31.7	1.8%	0	1.3	59	0
23	Sep_29_2015	41.9	40.41	40.57	40.44			40.21(0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-2	9	32.76	45%	-0.1	31.3	1.78%	0	-0.2	56	0
24	Sep_28_2015	41.94	40.31	40.63	40.53			40.07(-1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	0	-10000	-4	13	27.61	45%	-0.07	50.7	1.8%	0	-0.4	45	0
25	Sep_25_2015	41.97	40.34	40.62	40.68			40.67(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	8	-10000	2	26	29.38	45%		65.7	1.79%	0	0.6	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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