Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 26, 2015

Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(Microsoft)
MSFT latest price $39.5330 (5.54%) ($38.0057 - $39.6533) on Wed. Aug. 26, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.58% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $39.5330(5.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSFT declines -1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSFT declines -4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSFT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(87%)    XLK(82%)    SPY(79%)    VT(71%)    XLY(68%)
Factors Impacting MSFT price   MSFT will decline at least -0.79% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-12%)    IGOV(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    SHY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.79% (StdDev 1.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $32.59(-17.56%)
Resistance Level   $42.22
5 Day Moving Average   $39.54(-0.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.31(-4.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.22(-6.36%)
To recent high   -9.7%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $299.304b

Microsoft Corp. engages in the development and support of software, services, devices, and solutions. It operates through the following business segments: Productivity and Business Processes; Intelligent Cloud; and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment comprises products and services in the portfolio of productivity, communication, and information services of the company spanning a variety of devices and platform. The Intelligent Cloud segment refers to the public, private, and hybrid serve products and cloud services of the company which can power modern business. The More Personal Computing segment encompasses products and services geared towards the interests of end users, developers, and IT professionals across all devices. The firm also offers operating systems; cross-device productivity applications; server applications; business solution applications; desktop and server management tools; software development tools; video games; personal computers, tablets; gaming and entertainment consoles; other intelligent devices; and related accessories. The company was founded by Paul Gardner Allen and William Henry Gates III in 1975 and is headquartered in Redmond, WA.

$. MSFT price fluctuates within 4.17% (three month std-dev: 1.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150926

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_26_2015	42.09	42.22	41.31	39.54			39.53(5.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-61	-10000	-23	-173	63.41	43%	0.02	-41.7	1.58%	0	-1.5	36	0
2	Aug_25_2015	42.08	42.38	41.66	40.26			37.46(-2.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-75	-10000	-43	-171	70.62	36%	0	-31.1	1.41%	0	-3	19	0
3	Aug_24_2015	42.08	42.63	42.23	41.52			38.58(-3.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.4	-54	-10000	-34	-113	88.75	38%	-0.09	-20.5	1.38%	0	-3.2	22	0
4	Aug_21_2015	42.12	42.81	42.76	42.51			39.87(-5.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3	-30	-10000	-23	-52	70.05	42%	0.07	-5.4	1.33%	0	-3.4	33	0
5	Aug_20_2015	42.09	42.95	43.1	43.18			42.26(-2.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-6	-10000	-6	-7	36.24	50%	0.14	19	1.13%	0	-1.2	46	0

6	Aug_19_2015	42.03	42.96	43.17	43.32			43.14(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	2	-10000	1	3	31.49	54%	0.14	21.1	1.1%	0	0.3	51	0
7	Aug_18_2015	41.97	42.91	43.23	43.29			43.75(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-10000	9	17	23.57	57%	0.14	18.1	1.09%	0	1.4	62	0
8	Aug_17_2015	41.91	42.88	43.21	43.29			43.51(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	6	-10000	0	22	21.1	57%	0.14	20	1.09%	0	1	68	0
9	Aug_14_2015	41.85	42.86	43.16	43.07			43.22(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	2	39	21.47	61%	0.14	31.1	1.09%	0	0.6	66	0
10	Aug_13_2015	41.79	42.86	43.14	43.03			42.97(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	1	43	22.63	61%	0.12	44.4	1.13%	0	0.2	58	0

11	Aug_12_2015	41.74	42.84	43.16	43.01			42.98(0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-10000	-6	48	30.2	61%	0.1	56.4	1.13%	0	0.2	56	0
12	Aug_11_2015	41.7	42.79	43.12	43.16			42.68(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	11	-10000	-8	67	29.24	61%	0.1	72.4	1.13%	0	-0.2	59	0
13	Aug_10_2015	41.66	42.76	43.04	43.37			43.52(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	4	69	23.08	65%	0.1	88.2	1.1%	0	1.2	49	0
14	Aug_7_2015	41.62	42.68	42.87	43.27			42.98(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	11	-10000	0	45	19.16	67%	0.12	84.3	1.13%	0	0.4	49	0
15	Aug_6_2015	41.57	42.59	42.8	43.26			42.87(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-10000	-2	37	27.37	60%	0.1	77.8	1.13%	0	0.4	50	0

16	Aug_5_2015	41.53	42.5	42.75	43.31			43.75(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	9	39	26.96	65%	0.12	73.2	1.16%	0	1.4	56	0
17	Aug_4_2015	41.48	42.35	42.56	43.08			43.72(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	16	24	33.4	65%	0.14	65.9	1.17%	0	1.6	62	0
18	Aug_3_2015	41.42	42.2	42.56	42.67			43.04(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	11	11	24.13	63%	0.15	54.4	1.16%	0	1	60	0
19	Jul_31_2015	41.36	42.09	42.51	42.4			42.94(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	6	-10000	6	5	31.2	63%	0.12	42.2	1.17%	0	1	60	0
20	Jul_30_2015	41.31	41.98	42.5	42.26			43.11(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	9	-10000	6	16	39.78	63%	0.12	31.4	1.17%	0	1.3	67	0

21	Jul_29_2015	41.26	41.87	42.46	42.12			42.57(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	6	28	40.95	61%	0.1	21.5	1.16%	0	0.8	65	0
22	Jul_28_2015	41.22	41.77	42.42	41.98			41.69(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-10000	-15	28	34.33	61%	0.07	8.5	1.12%	0	-0.1	63	0
23	Jul_27_2015	41.19	41.74	42.46	42.34			41.7(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	-10000	-12	66	39.7	61%	0.07	11.1	1.17%	0	-0	62	0
24	Jul_24_2015	41.16	41.73	42.49	42.63			42.24(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	22	-10000	-5	104	32.33	75%	0.07	16.1	1.16%	0	0.6	66	0
25	Jul_23_2015	41.13	41.71	42.39	42.75			42.4(1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-10000	-3	78	33.93	75%		15.3	1.75%	0	0.8	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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