Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 15, 2014

Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. May. 22, 2024)

(Microsoft)
MSFT latest price $38.9616 (-1.17%) ($37.9520 - $39.1149) on Wed. Oct. 15, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $38.9616(-1.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSFT declines -1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSFT declines -2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSFT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(86%)    XLK(81%)    SPY(78%)    VT(70%)    XLY(67%)
Factors Impacting MSFT price   MSFT will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-13%)    IGOV(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    SHY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $35.44(-9.04%)
Resistance Level   $41.27
5 Day Moving Average   $39.75(-1.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.58(-3.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.27(-5.59%)
To recent high   -9%
To recent low   2.4%
Market Cap   $294.978b

Microsoft Corp. engages in the development and support of software, services, devices, and solutions. It operates through the following business segments: Productivity and Business Processes; Intelligent Cloud; and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment comprises products and services in the portfolio of productivity, communication, and information services of the company spanning a variety of devices and platform. The Intelligent Cloud segment refers to the public, private, and hybrid serve products and cloud services of the company which can power modern business. The More Personal Computing segment encompasses products and services geared towards the interests of end users, developers, and IT professionals across all devices. The firm also offers operating systems; cross-device productivity applications; server applications; business solution applications; desktop and server management tools; software development tools; video games; personal computers, tablets; gaming and entertainment consoles; other intelligent devices; and related accessories. The company was founded by Paul Gardner Allen and William Henry Gates III in 1975 and is headquartered in Redmond, WA.

$. MSFT price fluctuates within 2.57% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141115

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_15_2014	39.39	41.27	40.58	39.75			38.96(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-55	-10000	-27	-138	60.22	55%	0.08	-57.2	1.15%	0	-2.2	31	0
2	Oct_14_2014	39.36	41.42	40.83	40.39			39.42(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-36	-10000	-14	-103	38.12	56%	0	-48.4	1.14%	0	-2.2	28	0
3	Oct_13_2014	39.36	41.57	41.08	40.72			39.35(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-36	-10000	-19	-87	37.1	56%	0.08	-45.8	1.14%	0	-2.8	33	0
4	Oct_10_2014	39.33	41.7	41.34	41.16			39.69(-3.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-28	-10000	-16	-62	51.98	58%	0.1	-41.1	1.14%	0	-3.2	32	0
5	Oct_9_2014	39.29	41.83	41.57	41.53			41.33(-1.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-11	-10000	1	-46	34.43	64%	0.13	-28.6	1.02%	0	-1.1	37	0

6	Oct_8_2014	39.24	41.83	41.59	41.51			42.17(2.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-8	-10000	8	-56	33.03	68%	0.18	-14.6	0.98%	0	0.7	50	0
7	Oct_7_2014	39.17	41.88	41.6	41.35			41.04(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-10000	-8	-73	25.72	65%	0.15	-7.8	0.93%	0	-2	43	0
8	Oct_6_2014	39.11	41.94	41.7	41.5			41.55(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-19	-10000	-4	-63	20.6	68%	0.15	19.8	0.92%	0	-1	44	0
9	Oct_3_2014	39.05	41.94	41.78	41.57			41.55(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-3	-48	32.45	68%	0.15	35.5	0.93%	0	-1.1	50	0
10	Oct_2_2014	38.99	41.96	41.9	41.62			41.25(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-10000	-3	-34	25.12	68%	0.13	42.7	0.92%	0	-1.5	43	0

11	Oct_1_2014	38.94	41.94	41.99	41.68			41.38(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10000	-11	-37	38.09	68%	0.15	43.7	0.92%	0	-1.1	42	0
12	Sep_30_2014	38.88	41.91	42.06	41.89			41.79(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-10000	-2	-20	33.03	67%	0.15	50.7	0.91%	0	-0.2	46	0
13	Sep_29_2014	38.82	41.86	42.1	41.92			41.86(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-10000	-6	-19	26.09	67%	0.18	51.1	0.93%	0	0	48	0
14	Sep_26_2014	38.75	41.82	42.09	42.04			41.84(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-10000	-10	-14	27.08	68%	0.16	56.8	0.94%	0	0	51	0
15	Sep_25_2014	38.69	41.76	42.11	42.24			41.5(-2.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-1	-10000	-6	15	33.08	68%	0.18	57.6	0.94%	0	-0.4	54	0

16	Sep_24_2014	38.62	41.71	42.21	42.35			42.44(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	5	53	26.58	74%	0.21	58.2	0.9%	0	1	68	0
17	Sep_23_2014	38.54	41.62	42.18	42.25			41.97(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	-10000	-2	67	33.43	73%	0.18	51.4	0.89%	0	0.5	68	0
18	Sep_22_2014	38.47	41.56	42.2	42.29			42.42(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	-10000	8	100	38.69	75%	0.18	54.6	0.88%	0	1.1	71	0
19	Sep_19_2014	38.4	41.48	42.15	42.14			42.84(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	-10000	8	104	202.53	78%	0.21	54.1	0.87%	0	1.8	70	0
20	Sep_18_2014	38.32	41.37	42	41.99			42.08(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	24	-10000	-3	105	35.56	77%	0.16	60.4	0.85%	0	1	70	0

21	Sep_17_2014	38.26	41.29	41.89	42.05			41.94(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	27	-10000	-3	118	38.31	77%	0.16	70	0.85%	0	0.9	70	0
22	Sep_16_2014	38.2	41.23	41.76	42.05			42.15(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	-10000	0	128	27.91	77%	0.16	86.8	0.85%	0	1.3	70	0
23	Sep_15_2014	38.14	41.14	41.61	42.11			41.68(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	31	-10000	-2	131	37.67	76%	0.16	102.5	0.84%	0	0.8	64	0
24	Sep_12_2014	38.08	41.07	41.54	42.15			42.09(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	42	-10000	8	144	38.25	80%	0.18	111.9	0.85%	0	1.5	70	0
25	Sep_11_2014	38.01	40.95	41.38	42			42.37(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	-10000	17	132	29.22	80%		110.4	0.85%	0	2	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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