Trading Signals: MS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 20, 2020

Trading Signals: MS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Morgan Stanley)
MS latest price $53.7500 (-4.55%) ($53.5900 - $55.5050) on Thu. Feb. 20, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.54% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $53.7500(-4.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MS declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MS advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(85%)    IVE(84%)    DIA(82%)    XLF(82%)    IWN(80%)
Factors Impacting MS price   MS will decline at least -0.77% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-52%)    VXX(-22%)    TLT(-22%)    SHY(-10%)    UUP(-9%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.77% (StdDev 1.54%)
Hourly BBV -1.7 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

Inflection Point   Yes
Resistance Level   $54.7
5 Day Moving Average   $55.47(-3.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.47(-3.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.7(-1.74%)
To recent high   -6.5%
To recent low   11.7%
Market Cap   $84.716b

Morgan Stanley provides investment banking products and services to its clients and customers including corporations, governments, financial institutions, and individuals. It operates through the following business segments: Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Investment Management. The Institutional Services segment provides financial advisory, capital-raising services, and related financing services on behalf of institutional investors. The Wealth Management segment offers brokerage and investment advisory services covering various types of investments, including equities, options, futures, foreign currencies, precious metals, fixed-income securities, mutual funds, structured products, alternative investments, unit investment trusts, managed futures, separately managed accounts, and mutual fund asset allocation programs. The Investment Management segment provides equity, fixed income, alternative investments, real estate, and merchant banking strategies. The company was founded by Harold Stanley and Henry S. Morgan on September 16, 1935 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. MS price fluctuates within 2.14% (three month std-dev: 1.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.87%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.96%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.11%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.19%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200320

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_20_2020	49.86	54.7	55.47	55.47	55.4	55.22	53.75(-4.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-16	-30	-38	49	58.63	60%	0.28	-1.9	1.54%	-1.7	-0.8	52	0.4
2	Feb_19_2020	49.72	54.81	55.62	55.96	55.8	55.79	56.31(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-10	10	106	6.07	67%	0.32	20.9	1.42%	1.3	1.3	68	1
3	Feb_18_2020	49.56	54.77	55.4	55.85	55.83	55.57	55.52(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	-30	-11	96	6.87	65%	0.41	31.4	1.41%	-0.7	0.7	61	0.8
4	Feb_14_2020	49.36	54.85	55.13	55.82	55.98	55.82	55.84(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	23	-10	-2	98	4.58	65%	0.28	46.4	1.4%	-0.9	0.8	69	0.9
5	Feb_13_2020	49.22	54.87	54.79	55.65	55.8	56.1	55.93(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	50	8	80	5.71	65%	0.26	57.7	1.4%	-0.6	0.8	56	0.6

6	Feb_12_2020	49.09	54.72	54.57	55.47	55.57	56.14	56.18(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	80	37	73	7.12	65%	0.29	57	1.41%	0.7	1.1	51	1
7	Feb_11_2020	48.95	54.56	54.31	55.23	55.2	55.5	55.78(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	40	33	46	7.12	65%	0.27	58.5	1.41%	1.1	0.9	47	0.1
8	Feb_10_2020	48.82	54.41	54.12	54.88	54.92	55	55.35(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	10	22	13	5.12	65%	0.25	57.2	1.41%	2.4	0.7	45	0.2
9	Feb_7_2020	48.7	54.26	53.89	54.33	54.71	54.91	55.03(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	10	50	27	-40	7.58	65%	0.23	47.6	1.41%	1	0.5	36	-0.1
10	Feb_6_2020	48.59	54.12	53.82	53.78	54.22	54.84	55.01(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	100	30	-77	6.94	65%	0.23	35.7	1.41%	1.2	0.6	43	0.2

11	Feb_5_2020	48.48	53.96	53.84	53.54	53.65	54.52	54.99(1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	21	120	49	-64	8.23	65%	0.23	31.5	1.41%	1.1	0.6	58	0.1
12	Feb_4_2020	48.37	53.76	53.89	53.54	53.22	53.6	54.02(2.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	50	30	-64	9.31	67%	0.21	25.8	1.4%	1.1	0.2	56	-0.7
13	Feb_3_2020	48.27	53.63	54.06	53.28	53.18	52.79	52.6(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-60	-11	-60	8.38	64%	0.15	24.3	1.41%	-0.2	-0.6	52	-1.4
14	Jan_31_2020	48.2	53.57	54.54	53.38	53.47	52.84	52.26(-2.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-80	-40	-30	11.24	67%	0.19	25.5	1.45%	-1.4	-0.7	54	-2.4
15	Jan_30_2020	48.11	53.58	54.97	53.84	53.62	53.56	53.82(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-23	-20	-37	21	8.77	72%	0.21	35.9	1.4%	-0.2	0.1	61	-0.4

16	Jan_29_2020	48.01	53.45	54.92	54.18	54.01	54.1	53.68(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	0	-3	61	9.03	72%	0.21	41.6	1.41%	0	0.1	63	-0.7
17	Jan_28_2020	47.91	53.33	54.87	54.61	54.35	53.67	54.02(1.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-0	-100	-29	86	8.99	72%	0.23	47.5	1.41%	0.3	0.3	67	-0.7
18	Jan_27_2020	47.8	53.19	54.78	54.99	54.83	53.92	53.11(-2.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-32	-120	-76	101	10.61	70%	0.25	52.5	1.4%	-1.2	-0	64	-1.9
19	Jan_24_2020	47.68	53.1	54.73	55.87	55.47	55.02	54.55(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-80	-50	169	9.75	76%	0.25	65	1.36%	-1.3	0.7	70	0
20	Jan_23_2020	47.56	52.91	54.51	56.25	56.07	55.74	55.53(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	54	-50	-1	217	10.06	80%	0.32	69.7	1.33%	-0.6	1.2	69	1.2

21	Jan_22_2020	47.41	52.66	54.13	55.73	56.42	55.92	55.86(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	66	-20	18	209	10.28	80%	0.32	64.7	1.33%	-0	1.5	74	1.1
22	Jan_21_2020	47.26	52.39	53.64	55.13	55.53	56.42	55.92(-2.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	130	14	183	20.83	82%	0.32	60.5	1.33%	0.2	1.8	75	1.4
23	Jan_17_2020	47.11	52.13	53.15	54.51	54.79	56.96	57.51(1.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	158	290	141	210	15.17	89%	0.36	57.3	1.3%	0.4	2.9	84	1.9
24	Jan_16_2020	46.94	51.76	52.48	53.45	53.73	54.71	56.44(6.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.2	132	140	124	154	34.56	88%	0.34	61.1	1.3%	1.3	3.5	82	2.2
25	Jan_15_2020	46.78	51.46	52	52.57	52.62	52.82	52.94(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	30	18	100	11.32	85%		81.8	1.03%	0.1	1.9	73	2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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