Trading Signals: MS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: MS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Morgan Stanley)
MS latest price $22.4159 (-1.11%) ($22.2475 - $22.9585) on Thu. Feb. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.5% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $22.4159(-1.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MS advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MS declines -3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(77%)    XHB(58%)    XLF(15%)    XBI(14%)    XLB(13%)
Factors Impacting MS price   MS will decline at least -1.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-17%)    XLU(-12%)    BND(-12%)    EMHY(-9%)    BNDX(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.25% (StdDev 2.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $12.92(-42.36%)
Resistance Level   $22.67
5 Day Moving Average   $21.83(2.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.92(2.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.67(-1.12%)
To recent high   -31.8%
To recent low   10.5%
Market Cap   $35.33b

Morgan Stanley provides investment banking products and services to its clients and customers including corporations, governments, financial institutions, and individuals. It operates through the following business segments: Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Investment Management. The Institutional Services segment provides financial advisory, capital-raising services, and related financing services on behalf of institutional investors. The Wealth Management segment offers brokerage and investment advisory services covering various types of investments, including equities, options, futures, foreign currencies, precious metals, fixed-income securities, mutual funds, structured products, alternative investments, unit investment trusts, managed futures, separately managed accounts, and mutual fund asset allocation programs. The Investment Management segment provides equity, fixed income, alternative investments, real estate, and merchant banking strategies. The company was founded by Harold Stanley and Henry S. Morgan on September 16, 1935 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. MS price fluctuates within 4.68% (three month std-dev: 2.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160318

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_18_2016	28.59	22.67	21.92	21.83			22.42(-1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-14	-10000	8	-79	17.52	32%	-0.24	-59.2	2.5%	0	-0.2	44	0
2	Feb_17_2016	28.66	22.72	21.94	21.6			22.67(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-19	-10000	9	-102	19.23	32%	-0.21	-76.9	2.52%	0	-0	44	0
3	Feb_16_2016	28.72	22.8	21.95	21.36			22.19(2.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-26	-10000	8	-126	20.57	32%	-0.28	-86.5	2.49%	0	-0.5	41	0
4	Feb_12_2016	28.8	22.89	22.11	21.16			21.6(6.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-42	-10000	-9	-141	22.8	29%	-0.31	-98.4	2.44%	0	-1.1	41	0
5	Feb_11_2016	28.89	23.07	22.36	21.39			20.29(-4.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-54	-10000	-25	-141	29.16	24%	-0.34	-95.2	2.28%	0	-2.3	28	0

6	Feb_10_2016	28.99	23.31	22.7	22.02			21.24(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33	-10000	-12	-97	21.56	25%	-0.31	-104.9	2.23%	0	-1.9	40	0
7	Feb_9_2016	29.08	23.57	22.96	22.32			21.45(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-10000	-11	-76	25.64	25%	-0.31	-101.4	2.23%	0	-1.8	39	0
8	Feb_8_2016	29.17	23.82	23.19	22.61			21.21(-6.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-34	-10000	-22	-70	24.26	25%	-0.34	-102.4	2.22%	0	-2.2	32	0
9	Feb_5_2016	29.27	24.08	23.42	23.18			22.78(-2.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10000	-11	-41	16.11	32%	-0.31	-106.6	2.17%	0	-1.1	41	0
10	Feb_4_2016	29.36	24.28	23.53	23.47			23.4(2.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-10000	-1	-34	17.5	33%	-0.31	-102.5	2.16%	0	-0.7	38	0

11	Feb_3_2016	29.45	24.52	23.5	23.5			22.75(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10000	-8	-57	25.13	30%	-0.3	-91.1	2.13%	0	-1.2	35	0
12	Feb_2_2016	29.54	24.82	23.58	23.69			22.92(-4.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-10000	-6	-75	18.33	30%	-0.3	-79.3	2.13%	0	-1.1	29	0
13	Feb_1_2016	29.63	25.13	23.58	23.85			24.05(-0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-16	-10000	7	-84	11.18	32%	-0.27	-72.9	2.07%	0	-0.6	33	0
14	Jan_29_2016	29.71	25.39	23.73	23.69			24.21(2.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-28	-10000	3	-121	18.77	32%	-0.24	-76.2	2.08%	0	-0.6	34	0
15	Jan_28_2016	29.78	25.66	23.82	23.61			23.55(-0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-34	-10000	4	-147	16.02	34%	-0.27	-70.4	2.04%	0	-1	26	0

16	Jan_27_2016	29.86	25.99	23.95	23.51			23.74(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-44	-10000	2	-182	19.8	34%	-0.27	-66.4	2.12%	0	-1	22	0
17	Jan_26_2016	29.94	26.29	24.2	23.46			23.71(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-58	-10000	-6	-214	13.36	34%	-0.23	-62.7	2.12%	0	-1.1	20	0
18	Jan_25_2016	30.01	26.61	24.47	23.6			23.23(-2.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-64	-10000	-7	-236	20.14	34%	-0.27	-60.5	2.1%	0	-1.4	16	0
19	Jan_22_2016	30.09	26.97	24.78	23.78			23.82(3.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-73	-10000	-11	-259	22.5	38%	-0.23	-62.4	2.09%	0	-1.3	16	0
20	Jan_21_2016	30.16	27.28	25.08	24.07			23.05(-1.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-80	-10000	-15	-276	22.13	33%	-0.3	-60.9	2.07%	0	-1.7	7	0

21	Jan_20_2016	30.25	27.61	25.61	24.46			23.47(-3.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-86	-10000	-23	-274	25.94	33%	-0.23	-60.4	2.08%	0	-1.8	7	0
22	Jan_19_2016	30.32	27.91	26.17	25.06			24.42(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-75	-10000	-16	-253	28.79	33%	-0.3	-60	2.03%	0	-1.6	13	0
23	Jan_15_2016	30.41	28.21	26.64	25.47			24.15(-4.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-71	-10000	-17	-234	29.46	36%	-0.26	-63.1	2.09%	0	-2.1	9	0
24	Jan_14_2016	30.49	28.57	27.19	25.92			25.25(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-63	-10000	-12	-216	23.81	38%	-0.2	-64.4	2.08%	0	-1.9	11	0
25	Jan_13_2016	30.55	28.85	27.66	26.26			25.01(-5.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-70	-10000	-24	-206	29.72	38%		-65.7	2.07%	0	-2.3	13	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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