Trading Signals: MS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Dec. 29, 2015

Trading Signals: MS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Morgan Stanley)
MS latest price $30.2731 (1.18%) ($30.0639 - $30.4141) on Tue. Dec. 29, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.86% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $30.2731(1.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MS advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MS declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(78%)    XHB(59%)    XLF(17%)    XBI(16%)    XLB(15%)
Factors Impacting MS price   MS will decline at least -0.93% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-18%)    BND(-13%)    XLU(-11%)    BNDX(-9%)    TLT(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.93% (StdDev 1.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

Resistance Level   $30.78
5 Day Moving Average   $30.14(0.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.11(0.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.78(-1.65%)
To recent high   -8.1%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $47.714b

Morgan Stanley provides investment banking products and services to its clients and customers including corporations, governments, financial institutions, and individuals. It operates through the following business segments: Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Investment Management. The Institutional Services segment provides financial advisory, capital-raising services, and related financing services on behalf of institutional investors. The Wealth Management segment offers brokerage and investment advisory services covering various types of investments, including equities, options, futures, foreign currencies, precious metals, fixed-income securities, mutual funds, structured products, alternative investments, unit investment trusts, managed futures, separately managed accounts, and mutual fund asset allocation programs. The Investment Management segment provides equity, fixed income, alternative investments, real estate, and merchant banking strategies. The company was founded by Harold Stanley and Henry S. Morgan on September 16, 1935 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. MS price fluctuates within 3.67% (three month std-dev: 1.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160129

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_29_2015	31.17	30.78	30.11	30.14			30.27(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	-10000	6	-22	6.39	52%	-0.22	-29.2	1.86%	0	-0.5	41	0
2	Dec_28_2015	31.24	30.86	30.05	29.98			29.92(-0.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-10	-10000	6	-57	5.42	49%	-0.32	-31.7	1.86%	0	-0.8	35	0
3	Dec_24_2015	31.34	30.94	30.04	29.81			30.21(-0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-23	-10000	1	-96	2.8	49%	-0.19	-38.1	1.89%	0	-0.7	34	0
4	Dec_23_2015	31.4	31	30.12	29.79			30.32(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-33	-10000	-7	-110	6.81	49%	-0.19	-41.6	1.9%	0	-0.6	40	0
5	Dec_22_2015	31.46	31.05	30.18	29.98			29.97(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-32	-10000	-4	-114	11.47	47%	-0.19	-37.9	1.89%	0	-1	36	0

6	Dec_21_2015	31.52	31.12	30.34	30.1			29.46(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-10000	-1	-117	10.92	47%	-0.19	-37.8	1.91%	0	-1.6	32	0
7	Dec_18_2015	31.58	31.23	30.61	30.13			29.1(-3.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-32	-10000	-5	-114	19.33	45%	-0.25	-40.4	1.91%	0	-2.2	37	0
8	Dec_17_2015	31.66	31.37	30.98	30.28			30.12(-3.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-10000	-7	-97	15.96	47%	-0.19	-42.2	1.9%	0	-1.4	44	0
9	Dec_16_2015	31.72	31.37	31.18	30.47			31.26(2.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-19	-10000	1	-80	13.68	50%	-0.16	-42.5	1.85%	0	-0.3	51	0
10	Dec_15_2015	31.77	31.47	31.28	30.43			30.54(3.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-10000	-8	-78	13.71	50%	-0.19	-52.5	1.83%	0	-1.1	47	0

11	Dec_14_2015	31.83	31.53	31.5	30.66			29.65(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-28	-10000	-18	-57	14.99	47%	-0.22	-52.6	1.81%	0	-2.4	40	0
12	Dec_11_2015	31.9	31.63	31.75	31.18			29.84(-4.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-22	-10000	-21	-25	16.13	47%	-0.22	-51.2	1.81%	0	-2.7	39	0
13	Dec_10_2015	31.97	31.74	31.94	31.78			31.08(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-2	-10000	-7	13	10.67	51%	-0.19	-31.1	1.74%	0	-1.3	45	0
14	Dec_9_2015	32.03	31.82	31.97	31.97			31.04(-2.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-3	-10000	-10	18	13.21	51%	-0.19	-8.6	1.74%	0	-1.5	44	0
15	Dec_8_2015	32.09	31.9	32.01	32.25			31.68(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	3	-10000	-8	37	10.61	56%	-0.16	21.7	1.73%	0	-0.4	56	0

16	Dec_7_2015	32.14	31.95	31.98	32.48			32.25(-1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	14	-10000	2	51	8.39	58%	-0.16	45.3	1.77%	0	0.5	56	0
17	Dec_4_2015	32.19	31.98	31.91	32.41			32.85(2.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	-10000	10	51	13.21	58%	-0.12	56.5	1.76%	0	1.5	62	0
18	Dec_3_2015	32.23	31.91	31.79	32.12			32.04(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	5	32	15.02	56%	-0.15	48.6	1.75%	0	0.2	52	0
19	Dec_2_2015	32.28	31.86	31.77	31.97			32.45(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	-10000	9	18	11	58%	-0.12	38.9	1.74%	0	1	46	0
20	Dec_1_2015	32.32	31.79	31.64	31.72			32.8(2.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	6	-10000	11	-11	18.59	54%	-0.12	34.9	1.75%	0	1.7	47	0

21	Nov_30_2015	32.36	31.7	31.52	31.42			31.9(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	-10000	2	-42	17.42	51%	-0.09	30.6	1.78%	0	0.3	38	0
22	Nov_27_2015	32.39	31.65	31.48	31.35			31.42(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-10000	-2	-62	3.01	54%	-0.22	29.1	1.77%	0	-0.4	28	0
23	Nov_25_2015	32.46	31.65	31.52	31.42			31.26(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10000	-4	-53	6.21	56%	-0.12	41.8	1.89%	0	-0.6	50	0
24	Nov_24_2015	32.5	31.64	31.64	31.42			31.24(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	-10000	0	-33	7.95	51%	-0.15	53.5	1.9%	0	-0.6	54	0
25	Nov_23_2015	32.55	31.58	31.79	31.54			31.29(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	-10000	-2	-17	7.96	51%		49.8	2.03%	0	-0.4	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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