Trading Signals: MS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 12, 2015

Trading Signals: MS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Morgan Stanley)
MS latest price $31.8356 (-2.26%) ($31.7891 - $32.3378) on Thu. Nov. 12, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.16% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $31.8356(-2.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MS advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MS advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(77%)    XHB(59%)    XLF(18%)    XBI(16%)    XLB(15%)
Factors Impacting MS price   MS will decline at least -1.08% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-18%)    BND(-13%)    XLU(-10%)    BNDX(-9%)    TLT(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.08% (StdDev 2.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.55(-2.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.85(-0.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.1(2.37%)
To recent high   -9.8%
To recent low   10.9%
Market Cap   $50.176b

Morgan Stanley provides investment banking products and services to its clients and customers including corporations, governments, financial institutions, and individuals. It operates through the following business segments: Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Investment Management. The Institutional Services segment provides financial advisory, capital-raising services, and related financing services on behalf of institutional investors. The Wealth Management segment offers brokerage and investment advisory services covering various types of investments, including equities, options, futures, foreign currencies, precious metals, fixed-income securities, mutual funds, structured products, alternative investments, unit investment trusts, managed futures, separately managed accounts, and mutual fund asset allocation programs. The Investment Management segment provides equity, fixed income, alternative investments, real estate, and merchant banking strategies. The company was founded by Harold Stanley and Henry S. Morgan on September 16, 1935 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. MS price fluctuates within 3.38% (three month std-dev: 2.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_12_2015	32.82	31.1	31.85	32.55			31.84(-2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	25	-10000	2	95	10.4	45%	-0.15	55.3	2.16%	0	0.7	65	0
2	Nov_11_2015	32.87	31.06	31.79	32.49			32.57(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	9	108	7.51	45%	-0.15	56.8	2.15%	0	1.4	73	0
3	Nov_10_2015	32.92	30.93	31.64	32.19			32.78(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	36	-10000	11	111	7.34	46%	-0.12	49.8	2.17%	0	1.9	79	0
4	Nov_9_2015	32.96	30.79	31.35	31.82			32.65(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	-10000	9	94	10.98	46%	-0.09	44.9	2.18%	0	2	69	0
5	Nov_6_2015	32.99	30.67	31.09	31.52			32.93(4.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	31	-10000	13	84	19.36	46%	-0.12	43.7	2.18%	0	2.8	71	0

6	Nov_5_2015	33.03	30.53	30.81	31.07			31.51(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	2	50	12.19	42%	-0.15	45.5	2.1%	0	1.6	49	0
7	Nov_4_2015	33.08	30.47	30.65	31			31.06(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-10000	-0	37	9.13	42%	-0.18	57.2	2.09%	0	1	49	0
8	Nov_3_2015	33.14	30.44	30.47	31.01			30.96(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	-10000	7	33	11.39	42%	-0.15	69	2.09%	0	0.9	56	0
9	Nov_2_2015	33.19	30.39	30.35	30.79			31.14(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	6	18	9.89	42%	-0.18	69.6	2.09%	0	1.3	56	0
10	Oct_30_2015	33.25	30.32	30.23	30.59			30.66(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10000	3	3	13.58	41%	-0.18	65.6	2.08%	0	0.6	52	0

11	Oct_29_2015	33.31	30.25	30.29	30.49			31.19(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	8	-10000	8	9	12.76	41%	-0.18	52.9	2.08%	0	1.5	56	0
12	Oct_28_2015	33.37	30.15	30.26	30.24			31.1(4.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	11	-10000	13	3	17.29	41%	-0.15	39.8	2.08%	0	1.5	53	0
13	Oct_27_2015	33.42	30.05	30.15	30.24			29.84(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-7	-10000	0	-27	13.3	38%	-0.18	16.2	2%	0	-0.3	45	0
14	Oct_26_2015	33.48	30	30.19	29.85			30.13(-0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-10000	1	-25	10.95	38%	-0.18	6.9	2%	0	0.2	53	0
15	Oct_23_2015	33.54	29.94	30.21	29.81			30.2(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-13	-10000	-8	-28	14.73	37%	-0.18	-8.1	2%	0	0.4	54	0

16	Oct_22_2015	33.6	29.92	30.22	30.06			29.95(2.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-10000	-8	-4	18.75	38%	-0.18	-3.4	2%	0	0	60	0
17	Oct_21_2015	33.66	29.9	30.28	30.29			29.14(-2.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	0	-10000	-7	23	22.32	35%	-0.18	-6.4	1.97%	0	-1.1	54	0
18	Oct_20_2015	33.72	29.9	30.43	30.49			29.85(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	11	-10000	-2	49	23.59	37%	-0.18	-12.8	1.96%	0	-0.1	61	0
19	Oct_19_2015	33.78	29.95	30.45	30.55			29.92(-4.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	14	-10000	-3	65	39.26	37%	-0.15	-22.2	1.96%	0	-0	65	0
20	Oct_16_2015	33.83	30	30.46	30.64			31.43(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	29	-10000	8	91	13.8	40%	-0.15	-21.3	1.88%	0	2	84	0

21	Oct_15_2015	33.88	29.94	30.23	30.42			31.11(3.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	21	-10000	4	71	12.92	40%	-0.12	-35.8	1.88%	0	1.6	62	0
22	Oct_14_2015	33.92	29.95	30.03	30.3			30.12(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10000	-3	60	9.88	36%	-0.15	-35.2	1.82%	0	0.2	57	0
23	Oct_13_2015	33.97	30.03	29.94	30.37			30.19(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-10000	1	60	10.94	38%	-0.12	-25.5	1.83%	0	0.2	52	0
24	Oct_12_2015	34.01	30.11	29.8	30.33			30.36(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	15	-10000	4	46	7.03	38%	-0.15	-25	1.85%	0	0.3	52	0
25	Oct_9_2015	34.06	30.15	29.65	30.23			30.29(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	9	22	11.71	39%		-24.4	1.86%	0	0.1	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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