Trading Signals: MS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Dec. 19, 2014

Trading Signals: MS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Morgan Stanley)
MS latest price $35.2674 (1.08%) ($34.7454 - $35.3773) on Fri. Dec. 19, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $35.2674(1.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MS advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MS advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(78%)    XHB(59%)    XLF(22%)    XLB(20%)    XLY(19%)
Factors Impacting MS price   MS will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-19%)    BND(-14%)    VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-11%)    BNDX(-10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.85(4.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.06(3.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.47(5.37%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18.7%
Market Cap   $55.585b

Morgan Stanley provides investment banking products and services to its clients and customers including corporations, governments, financial institutions, and individuals. It operates through the following business segments: Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Investment Management. The Institutional Services segment provides financial advisory, capital-raising services, and related financing services on behalf of institutional investors. The Wealth Management segment offers brokerage and investment advisory services covering various types of investments, including equities, options, futures, foreign currencies, precious metals, fixed-income securities, mutual funds, structured products, alternative investments, unit investment trusts, managed futures, separately managed accounts, and mutual fund asset allocation programs. The Investment Management segment provides equity, fixed income, alternative investments, real estate, and merchant banking strategies. The company was founded by Harold Stanley and Henry S. Morgan on September 16, 1935 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. MS price fluctuates within 3.02% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_19_2014	31.6	33.47	34.06	33.85			35.27(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	24	-10000	18	42	12.53	56%	0.16	32.8	1.4%	0	1.8	71	0
2	Dec_18_2014	31.55	33.32	33.93	33.43			34.89(3.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	12	-10000	6	31	12.77	58%	0.16	21.3	1.4%	0	1.7	70	0
3	Dec_17_2014	31.5	33.2	33.8	33.3			33.64(3.41%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	6	-10000	-5	38	11.92	56%	0.13	16.6	1.34%	0	0.5	64	0
4	Dec_16_2014	31.46	33.14	33.78	33.42			32.53(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-2	-10000	-22	58	11.46	52%	0.06	18.6	1.28%	0	-0.7	56	0
5	Dec_15_2014	31.44	33.15	33.83	33.9			32.9(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	13	-10000	-17	102	10.47	52%	0.1	32.8	1.27%	0	-0.3	55	0

6	Dec_12_2014	31.41	33.14	33.78	34.28			33.2(-3.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	28	-10000	-8	135	10.97	52%	0.1	45.4	1.27%	0	0.1	59	0
7	Dec_11_2014	31.38	33.12	33.7	34.46			34.25(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	45	-10000	5	163	8.94	57%	0.13	53.9	1.21%	0	1.3	73	0
8	Dec_10_2014	31.34	33.05	33.5	34.35			34.24(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	45	-10000	8	154	13.79	59%	0.13	58.8	1.21%	0	1.4	71	0
9	Dec_9_2014	31.3	32.97	33.31	34.19			34.89(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	53	-10000	21	149	12.28	58%	0.16	63.4	1.19%	0	2.4	82	0
10	Dec_8_2014	31.25	32.86	33.07	33.76			34.8(2.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	47	-10000	25	112	14.07	58%	0.16	65.7	1.25%	0	2.9	78	0

11	Dec_5_2014	31.2	32.74	32.83	33.23			34.1(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	31	-10000	19	66	11.49	55%	0.16	65.3	1.23%	0	2.8	71	0
12	Dec_4_2014	31.15	32.65	32.64	32.84			33.69(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	19	-10000	16	28	9.38	55%	0.13	63.9	1.22%	0	2.7	63	0
13	Dec_3_2014	31.11	32.56	32.51	32.53			33.45(2.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.8	7	-10000	11	-6	9.15	55%	0.13	56.4	1.22%	0	2.7	56	0
14	Dec_2_2014	31.07	32.47	32.41	32.31			32.76(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-7	-10000	2	-34	9.34	52%	0.13	45.3	1.19%	0	0.9	48	0
15	Dec_1_2014	31.03	32.43	32.38	32.28			32.14(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-14	-10000	-4	-44	8.8	50%	0.13	49.5	1.17%	0	-0.9	27	0

16	Nov_28_2014	30.99	32.42	32.44	32.36			32.14(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-10000	-3	-37	8.79	50%	0.16	65.7	1.17%	0	-0.8	37	0
17	Nov_26_2014	30.94	32.4	32.51	32.41			32.16(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10	-10000	-4	-27	6.14	50%	0.1	63.8	1.17%	0	-0.6	49	0
18	Nov_25_2014	30.91	32.38	32.58	32.48			32.33(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3	-10000	-2	-6	7.65	53%	0.1	71.7	1.17%	0	-0.1	62	0
19	Nov_24_2014	30.88	32.33	32.63	32.48			32.62(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-10000	0	12	6.74	53%	0.06	67.1	1.19%	0	0.5	73	0
20	Nov_21_2014	30.86	32.26	32.65	32.51			32.54(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	6	-10000	-1	26	7.48	56%	0.1	68.4	1.2%	0	0.5	70	0

21	Nov_20_2014	30.83	32.2	32.65	32.53			32.41(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10000	-5	36	6.09	56%	0.06	72.5	1.21%	0	0.3	61	0
22	Nov_19_2014	30.81	32.14	32.66	32.62			32.49(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10000	-5	55	5.75	56%	0.13	77.1	1.21%	0	0.5	70	0
23	Nov_18_2014	30.77	32.04	32.62	32.71			32.48(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	-10000	-3	71	5.32	58%	0.1	84	1.21%	0	0.6	71	0
24	Nov_17_2014	30.74	31.98	32.56	32.77			32.6(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-10000	-2	83	6.21	58%	0.13	86.5	1.22%	0	0.8	75	0
25	Nov_14_2014	30.7	31.87	32.48	32.82			32.68(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	-10000	0	101	7.22	58%		87.5	1.22%	0	1	81	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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