Trading Signals: MRNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 19, 2023

Trading Signals: MRNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 7, 2018 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Moderna, Inc)
MRNA latest price $125.4550 (2.44%) ($125.4550 - $125.4550) on Wed. Jul. 19, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.3% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $125.4550(2.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MRNA declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MRNA advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MRNA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKG(53%)    IBB(50%)    TAN(49%)    XBI(47%)    ICLN(46%)
Factors Impacting MRNA price   MRNA will decline at least -1.15% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-19%)    VXX(-16%)    VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-14%)    USO(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.15% (StdDev 2.3%)
Hourly BBV 1.3 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $123.65(1.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $122.74(2.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $122.1(2.75%)
To recent high   -11.9%
To recent low   6%
Market Cap   $49.339b

Moderna, Inc. engages in the development of transformative medicines based on messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA). Its product pipeline includes the following modalities: prophylactic vaccines, cancer vaccines, intratumoral immuno-oncology, localized regenerative therapeutics, systemic secreted therapeutics, and systemic intracellular therapeutics. The company was founded by Noubar B. Afeyan, Robert S. Langer, Jr., Derrick J. Rose and Kenneth R. Chien in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

July 7, 2020 MRNA, which has developed a vaccine candidate mRNA-1273, is in its phase 2 clinical trials. The mRNA is a molecule that genetically encodes a set of instructions, based on which cells make proteins and send them to various parts of the body.

$. MRNA price fluctuates within 1.8% (three month std-dev: 2.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 0.69%(56%) Average negative next day return: -1.05%(44%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 3.68%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -2.36%(44%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 3.41%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.49%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20230819

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_19_2023	135.3	122.1	122.74	123.65	122.83	123.96	125.46(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	40	30	26	2.46	39%	-0.1	-30.6	2.3%	1.3	1.5	54	1.5
2	Jul_18_2023	135.44	122.01	122.5	123.72	123.2	122.33	122.47(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.6	8	-60	3	22	2.24	37%	-0.12	-29.3	2.27%	0.4	0.2	55	1.9
3	Jul_17_2023	135.6	122.3	122.44	123.71	124.03	121.69	122.19(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-40	-120	-54	2	2.16	32%	-0.13	-20.9	2.27%	-0.4	-0.1	55	1.4
4	Jul_14_2023	135.78	122.65	122.41	123.82	124.09	124.07	121.19(-4.54%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-34	10	-48	9	3.5	32%	-0.21	-8.7	2.49%	-1.4	-0.5	57	1.2
5	Jul_13_2023	136.06	122.97	122.55	123.35	124.48	126.37	126.95(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	78	130	83	61	2.06	38%	-0.23	-10.1	2.44%	0.9	1.3	63	1

6	Jul_12_2023	136.38	122.77	122.1	121.64	122.45	124.1	125.78(2.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	51	110	56	35	2.44	38%	-0.26	-33.6	2.47%	1.5	1	60	1.1
7	Jul_11_2023	136.73	122.63	121.56	121.19	120.6	122.59	122.42(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	100	35	15	1.54	33%	-0.12	-45.3	2.44%	0.4	-0.1	45	-0.3
8	Jul_10_2023	136.89	122.76	121.36	121.06	120.82	120.81	122.76(3.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	-10	49	4	2.83	33%	-0.33	-51.7	2.47%	1.6	0	37	-0.5
9	Jul_7_2023	137.34	122.89	120.97	120.87	120.57	118.62	118.86(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-61	-120	-60	-63	2.02	30%	-0.41	-56.6	2.43%	-0.4	-1.2	26	-0.3
10	Jul_6_2023	137.9	123.3	121.17	121.6	121.3	120.84	118.38(-4.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-56	-30	-53	-66	4.15	30%	-0.45	-55	2.45%	-1.1	-1.5	31	-0.6

11	Jul_5_2023	138.52	123.82	121.47	122.52	122.35	122.52	123.55(1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	10	20	-32	4.99	32%	-0.63	-46.9	2.42%	0.6	-0.1	51	0.9
12	Jul_3_2023	139.4	124.14	121.49	121.95	122.27	121.77	121.75(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-20	-3	-47	1.77	36%	-0.36	-43.1	2.4%	0	-0.7	48	1.2
13	Jun_30_2023	139.9	124.47	122.14	121.69	122.01	122.17	121.79(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	20	-4	-42	1.62	40%	-0.31	-45.9	2.51%	-0.7	-0.8	44	1
14	Jun_29_2023	140.34	124.77	122.89	121.09	121.67	122.76	122.55(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	17	80	32	-27	1.31	40%	-0.31	-62.2	2.51%	1	-0.6	44	1
15	Jun_28_2023	140.78	125.08	123.4	120.68	120.74	121.85	122.97(1.9%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	21	70	37	-28	1.8	40%	-0.36	-63.4	2.52%	1.6	-0.6	42	1.2

16	Jun_27_2023	141.29	125.25	123.45	120.3	119.99	120.58	120.68(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	30	13	-52	1.93	40%	-0.36	-65.6	2.51%	0.7	-1.3	34	1.1
17	Jun_26_2023	141.8	125.56	123.76	121.01	120.07	119.63	120.44(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-50	-18	-70	2.97	40%	-0.39	-61.3	2.51%	0.8	-1.4	31	1
18	Jun_23_2023	142.35	126.11	124.25	122.74	121.01	119.4	118.83(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-70	-140	-67	-79	2.23	40%	-0.41	-44.9	2.5%	-0.9	-2.2	33	1.1
19	Jun_22_2023	142.94	127.04	124.99	124.97	123.57	120.52	120.49(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-72	-210	-75	-63	3.26	40%	-0.4	-12	2.5%	-1	-2.3	37	1.4
20	Jun_21_2023	143.52	127.39	125.68	126.5	125.53	122.62	121.07(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-93	-190	-103	-62	2.88	40%	-0.4	-2.8	2.52%	-1.4	-2.3	36	1.3

21	Jun_20_2023	144.09	127.7	126.48	126.96	127.3	126.63	124.23(-3.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-30	-32	-25	2.86	44%	-0.73	-1.9	2.51%	-1.5	-1.1	48	1.2
22	Jun_16_2023	145.15	127.78	127.1	126.79	127.1	128.43	129.07(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	80	32	6	2.95	47%	-0.45	-7.4	2.49%	0.6	0.4	56	1.6
23	Jun_15_2023	145.81	127.63	127.01	125.99	125.67	127.97	129.98(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	44	120	58	2	3.03	47%	-0.8	-21.4	2.49%	0	0.7	45	1.2
24	Jun_13_2023	146.98	127.37	126.75	125.13	125.02	125.77	128.14(3.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	37	40	57	-24	2.65	52%	-0.47	-41.8	2.48%	1.5	0.2	32	1.3
25	Jun_12_2023	147.68	127.46	126.78	124.9	124.39	123.38	123.4(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-70	-34	-58	2.17	49%		-45.8	2.59%	-0.3	-1.3	48	1.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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