Trading Signals: MRNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MRNA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. May. 4, 2022

Trading Signals: MRNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 7, 2018 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Moderna, Inc)
MRNA latest price $155.2700 (5.94%) ($155.2700 - $155.3000) on Wed. May. 4, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.12% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $155.2700(5.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MRNA advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MRNA declines -4.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MRNA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(63%)    IWO(47%)    ONLN(47%)    IBUY(46%)    FIVG(45%)
Factors Impacting MRNA price   MRNA will decline at least -2.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    UUP(-15%)    TBT(-9%)    VXX(-4%)    USO(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.56% (StdDev 5.12%)
Hourly BBV 3 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $133.8(-13.83%)
5 Day Moving Average   $144.14(7.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $144.49(7.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $151.15(2.73%)
To recent high   -16.9%
To recent low   22.9%
Market Cap   $61.064b

Moderna, Inc. engages in the development of transformative medicines based on messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA). Its product pipeline includes the following modalities: prophylactic vaccines, cancer vaccines, intratumoral immuno-oncology, localized regenerative therapeutics, systemic secreted therapeutics, and systemic intracellular therapeutics. The company was founded by Noubar B. Afeyan, Robert S. Langer, Jr., Derrick J. Rose and Kenneth R. Chien in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

July 7, 2020 MRNA, which has developed a vaccine candidate mRNA-1273, is in its phase 2 clinical trials. The mRNA is a molecule that genetically encodes a set of instructions, based on which cells make proteins and send them to various parts of the body.

$. MRNA price fluctuates within 5.96% (three month std-dev: 5.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 6.39%(71%) Average negative next day return: -2.69%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 4.72%(71%) Average negative next three day return: -4.2%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 6.24%(71%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.61%(29%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220604

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_4_2022	176.5	151.15	144.49	144.14	144.73	151.26	155.27(5.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	64	330	90	-15	10.58	64%	-0.7	-71.1	5.12%	3	0.5	39	1
2	May_3_2022	177.74	151.41	143.77	141.6	141.51	144.65	146.57(3.18%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	43	150	71	-42	5.88	63%	-0.72	-85	5.06%	1.2	-0.5	42	-0.9
3	May_2_2022	179.03	152.62	144.27	141.47	140.35	138.2	142.05(5.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-30	-130	-12	-82	7.2	63%	-0.65	-78.3	5.06%	0.3	-1	39	-0.1
4	Apr_29_2022	180.2	154.29	145.46	143.12	141.32	138.38	134.39(-5.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-77	-180	-68	-103	7.01	63%	-0.78	-65.4	5%	-2	-1.8	32	0.2
5	Apr_28_2022	181.62	156.22	148.53	144.3	145.3	142.5	142.41(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-110	-15	-73	5.35	67%	-0.79	-68.5	4.99%	-0.2	-1.3	38	0.8

6	Apr_27_2022	183.07	157.84	151.12	144.69	144.75	144.26	142.59(-2.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-55	-20	-48	-75	4.39	67%	-0.78	-68.7	5.07%	-1	-1.4	43	0.4
7	Apr_26_2022	184.51	159.71	152.85	146.16	145.82	148.11	145.92(-2.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	3	100	19	-44	4.64	67%	-0.67	-66.1	5.08%	0.3	-1.2	39	1.4
8	Apr_25_2022	185.75	161.04	154.26	147.53	146.83	145.24	150.29(7.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	-90	11	-51	5.48	67%	-0.86	-66.4	5.07%	1.2	-1	36	1.9
9	Apr_22_2022	187.36	161.86	155.31	148.41	147.44	143.54	140.28(-2.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-87	-200	-84	-97	3.72	66%	-0.88	-71.5	4.97%	-1.7	-2	24	1.1
10	Apr_21_2022	189.02	163.86	157.34	153.49	151.07	148.42	144.38(-3.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-73	-170	-70	-80	3.52	66%	-0.9	-59.4	5%	-2.4	-2	31	1.3

11	Apr_20_2022	190.73	165.62	158.58	158.54	155.77	151.34	149.94(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-61	-250	-58	-69	3.62	66%	-1.08	-45.6	5.01%	-0.6	-1.7	32	0.7
12	Apr_19_2022	192.82	167.45	159.86	160.45	160.69	153.71	152.75(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-79	-300	-78	-82	6.14	62%	-1.14	-22	5.03%	-0.9	-1.5	30	0.8
13	Apr_18_2022	195.05	168.65	161.79	161.86	162.38	160.2	154.68(-6.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-83	-80	-84	-78	4.39	59%	-0.92	-6.9	5.09%	-1.5	-1.5	40	1
14	Apr_14_2022	196.86	169.84	163.92	163.1	163.65	167.66	165.73(-2.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	27	180	42	-17	3.94	61%	-0.56	17.9	5.15%	0	-0.5	51	1.5
15	Apr_13_2022	197.97	170	164.5	161.77	162.17	164.56	169.6(6.32%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	49	110	70	-15	6.22	61%	-0.55	29.7	5.15%	1.6	-0	44	1.5

16	Apr_12_2022	199.07	169.99	164.87	158.83	159.53	159.64	159.52(-0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	20	4	-56	4.64	60%	-0.63	30.1	5.13%	-1	-1.1	38	1
17	Apr_11_2022	200.34	169.59	166.9	159.32	158.38	159.78	159.75(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-20	40	-6	-62	4.84	60%	-0.53	38.8	5.13%	0.2	-1	34	0.1
18	Apr_8_2022	201.41	169.27	168.17	161.87	158.93	159.43	160.91(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-30	-2	-53	5.42	62%	-0.46	49.1	5.26%	0.9	-0.7	43	0.7
19	Apr_7_2022	202.35	168.34	168.77	164.99	162.1	156.98	159.05(2.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-50	-270	-45	-66	5.22	62%	-0.42	52.3	5.3%	0.2	-0.7	41	1.3
20	Apr_6_2022	203.2	167.55	170.83	167.69	166.48	158.43	154.9(-4.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-108	-360	-117	-80	6.85	62%	-0.4	54.6	5.28%	-1.1	-0.9	46	1.1

21	Apr_5_2022	204.02	167.13	173.34	171.7	170.88	167.23	161.97(-6.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-84	-160	-95	-52	6.15	59%	-0.37	54.9	5.26%	-1.8	-0.3	49	0.5
22	Apr_4_2022	204.77	165.7	175.85	175.42	173.99	174.52	172.5(-2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-0	-11	18	5.36	62%	-0.3	50.3	5.29%	-2.5	0.4	67	-0.1
23	Apr_1_2022	205.38	163.55	176.22	175.33	176.01	174.53	176.54(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-50	21	46	4.34	59%	-0.25	41.7	5.32%	0.6	0.7	67	-0.5
24	Mar_31_2022	205.89	161.59	176.32	173.16	174.88	173.46	172.53(-1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-13	-30	-31	42	4.92	59%	-0.28	34.6	5.35%	-1	0.6	71	-0.9
25	Mar_30_2022	206.47	160.06	176.01	174.54	173.18	177.49	174.95(-3.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	22	150	2	82	7.02	59%		33.6	5.35%	-0.3	0.8	72	-0.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.