Trading Signals: MRNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MRNA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 6, 2021

Trading Signals: MRNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 7, 2018 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Moderna, Inc)
MRNA latest price $116.2600 (6.48%) ($110.2800 - $116.9300) on Wed. Jan. 6, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.82% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $116.2600(6.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MRNA advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MRNA declines -11.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MRNA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(63%)    IPO(44%)    IBUY(39%)    IWO(37%)    ONLN(37%)
Factors Impacting MRNA price   MRNA will decline at least -2.91% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-15%)    USO(-10%)    TBT(-8%)    VXX(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.91% (StdDev 5.82%)
Hourly BBV 1.5 ()
Intraday Trend 4.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $93.22(-19.82%)
Inflection Point   Yes
Resistance Level   $131.78
5 Day Moving Average   $110.55(5.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $115.47(0.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $131.78(-11.78%)
To recent high   -31.6%
To recent low   76.8%
Market Cap   $45.722b

Moderna, Inc. engages in the development of transformative medicines based on messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA). Its product pipeline includes the following modalities: prophylactic vaccines, cancer vaccines, intratumoral immuno-oncology, localized regenerative therapeutics, systemic secreted therapeutics, and systemic intracellular therapeutics. The company was founded by Noubar B. Afeyan, Robert S. Langer, Jr., Derrick J. Rose and Kenneth R. Chien in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

July 7, 2020 MRNA, which has developed a vaccine candidate mRNA-1273, is in its phase 2 clinical trials. The mRNA is a molecule that genetically encodes a set of instructions, based on which cells make proteins and send them to various parts of the body.

$. MRNA price fluctuates within 13.52% (three month std-dev: 5.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 4.85%(67%) Average negative next day return: -2.63%(33%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 7.77%(72%) Average negative next three day return: -2.62%(28%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 9.74%(61%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.45%(39%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_6_2021	90.6	131.78	115.47	110.55	110.43	112.47	116.26(6.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	130	20	-111	21.59	62%	0.55	-54.4	5.82%	1.5	-0.9	33	-0.4
2	Jan_5_2021	90.1	133.9	117.44	110.18	110.43	110.13	109.18(-2.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-21	-20	14	-127	15.45	61%	0.46	-49.5	5.78%	0.1	-1.3	26	-0.5
3	Jan_4_2021	89.69	136.12	120.44	110.62	110.6	108.39	111.73(6.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-69	-140	-40	-156	22.44	61%	0.74	-44.6	5.79%	0.5	-1.3	26	-1.6
4	Dec_31_2020	89.03	138.44	123.55	112.96	112.45	111.06	104.47(-5.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-81	-100	-54	-160	23.37	60%	0.39	-33.2	5.75%	-2	-1.8	20	1.2
5	Dec_30_2020	88.68	140.55	126.92	118.13	116.86	112.82	111.13(-2.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-60	-270	-31	-145	23.97	62%	0.49	-18.1	5.69%	-1.7	-1.7	21	1.3

6	Dec_29_2020	88.25	142.23	130.54	121.08	119.36	113.84	114.39(2.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-121	-370	-103	-175	23.72	62%	0.5	-3.4	5.67%	0.3	-1.8	19	0.2
7	Dec_28_2020	87.81	144.26	134.57	125.86	124.61	120.89	111.4(-9.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-101	-240	-84	-153	31.09	62%	0.6	23.9	5.66%	0.2	-2.3	26	1.2
8	Dec_24_2020	87.29	145.33	139.2	131.63	130.79	124.89	123.39(-5.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-78	-330	-63	-124	12.72	66%	0.55	54.4	5.5%	-2.4	-1.8	36	1.3
9	Dec_23_2020	86.81	144.94	142.47	135.75	134.54	128.33	130.34(3.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-110	-350	-104	-127	41.91	66%	0.6	65.4	5.46%	-0.2	-1	36	0.5
10	Dec_22_2020	86.29	143.68	145.12	137.09	138.84	136.68	125.88(-8.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-65	-70	-55	-95	36.13	66%	0.56	58.6	5.47%	-1.5	-1	45	-0.7

11	Dec_21_2020	85.81	142.76	149.52	141.36	140.16	140.75	138.3(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	0	-25	-50	23.92	70%	0.76	61.2	5.33%	-1	-0.2	52	-1.6
12	Dec_18_2020	85.16	140.98	151.69	144.71	142.65	141	140.23(-2.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-120	-21	-31	33.16	70%	0.76	62.5	5.33%	0.3	-0	46	1.2
13	Dec_17_2020	84.52	138.86	153.06	148.05	147.21	139.58	144(5.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-62	-380	-75	-22	32.4	70%	0.78	63.1	5.31%	0.5	0.2	62	1.6
14	Dec_16_2020	83.87	136.32	154.46	150.39	151.59	144.3	137.03(-6.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-100	-310	-132	-2	28.48	70%	0.67	63	5.3%	-1.2	0	68	1.5
15	Dec_15_2020	83.31	134.33	155.39	154.3	155.58	154.84	147.22(-5.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-29	-10	-65	80	36.45	73%	0.82	69	5.2%	-1.5	0.5	76	0.8

16	Dec_14_2020	82.63	131.97	155.01	158.83	158.14	158.88	155.07(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	51	20	10	172	22.47	74%	1	78.5	5.16%	-0.7	0.8	77	-0.6
17	Dec_11_2020	81.81	128.76	154.79	159.72	160.36	156.33	156.93(0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	52	-160	-6	225	22.07	74%	1.02	82.6	5.19%	-0.3	1	79	0.3
18	Dec_10_2020	80.98	125.33	152.04	158.84	160.07	157.39	155.69(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-90	-69	240	22.06	74%	0.91	85.5	5.2%	-0.9	1	80	0.9
19	Dec_9_2020	80.25	121.7	147.76	159.15	160.2	164.4	156.59(-7.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	110	200	38	326	40.95	74%	0.97	89.4	5.19%	-1.3	1.2	81	1
20	Dec_8_2020	79.48	117.69	142.32	156.43	157.58	162.74	169.86(6.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	187	250	123	378	27.74	72%	1.12	88.4	5.06%	1.3	1.7	82	1.6

21	Dec_7_2020	78.6	112.97	135.48	150.66	150.65	155.99	159.52(4.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	107	250	38	315	31.41	71%	0.83	89.4	5.36%	1.4	1.6	76	1.1
22	Dec_4_2020	77.95	108.54	129.35	149.31	150.4	152.42	152.52(-3.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	156	120	88	361	27.7	71%	0.92	94.2	5.39%	0.8	1.6	78	1.2
23	Dec_3_2020	77.24	104.41	123.42	144.21	148.85	145.3	157.26(9.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	112	-70	38	333	38.66	71%	1.02	92	5.4%	0.7	2	80	0.9
24	Dec_2_2020	76.46	99.9	116.49	134.59	141.61	148.38	143(1.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	105	490	40	299	51.22	70%	0.91	87.3	5.29%	-0.6	1.8	80	1
25	Dec_1_2020	75.77	96.1	111.39	125.7	132.65	152.39	141.01(-7.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	298	1210	276	363	125.55	70%		78.7	5.29%	0.3	2	82	1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.