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     Wed. Sep. 2, 2020

Trading Signals: MRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Feb. 24, 2021)

(Merck)

MRK latest price $86.9300 (2.96%) ($84.2700 - $87.2100) on Wed. Sep. 2, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Uptrend
Trend Narrative  Uptrend
Average Daily Price Swing  $1.85 (2.2% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.43% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0.3% (StdDev 1.43%)
Daily Moving Force  0.1%
Correction Force  Weak (0%)
Trend   0.18%
Trend Strength  1.5%
RSI   75
Momentum  1.5
Latest Price  $86.9300(2.96%)
Forecasted Low Price  86.58(-0.4%)
Forecasted High Price  87.63(0.8%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(0.5%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  3.7% (83.83)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  2.4%
Hourly Trend   0.1% [$85.3(0.11), $85.41(0.02)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  7
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to downside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  MRK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  MRK advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support MRK advance at 0.4% a week (55% probability)
  XLV(74%)    DIA(48%)    IVE(47%)    SPY(47%)    VT(46%)  
Factors Impacting MRK price  MRK will decline at least -0.3% in a week (26% probabilities).
  VXX(-38%)    VIXM(-27%)    SHY(-17%)    IGOV(-11%)    XLC(-9%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -1
 
Relative Volatility   0.2 (options are faily valued)
 
Market Trend Strength  0.4% (StdDev 1.43%)
Hourly BBV   2.1 ()
Intraday Trend   3%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $87.47(0.62%)
Inflection Point  Yes
Support Level  $84.24
5 Day Moving Average  $85.62(1.53%)
10 Day Moving Average  $85.49(1.68%)
20 Day Moving Average  $84.24(3.19%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  17.4%
Market Cap  $219.861b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Thu. Feb. 4, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price  $95.44 ($84.00 - $107.00)
  16 analysts (last updated on Fri. Aug. 28, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  9.79%
% to Low Target Price  -3.37%
% to High Target Price  23.09%
 
 


Merck & Co., Inc. engages in the provision of health solutions through its prescription medicines, vaccines, biologic therapies, animal health, and consumer care products. It operates through the following segments: Pharmaceutical, Animal Health, Healthcare Services, and Alliances. The Pharmaceutical segment includes human health pharmaceutical and vaccine products. The Animal Health segment discovers, develops, manufactures, and markets animal health products, such as pharmaceutical and vaccine products, for the prevention, treatment and control of disease in livestock and companion animal species, which it sells to veterinarians, distributors, and animal producers. The Healthcare Services segment offers services and solutions that focus on engagement, health analytics, and clinical services to improve the value of care delivered to patients. The Alliances segment includes results from the Company's relationship with AstraZeneca LP related to sales of Nexium and Prilosec. The company was founded in 1891 and is headquartered in Kenilworth, NJ.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. MRK price fluctuates within 2.2% (three month std-dev: 1.43%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. MRK price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201002

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Sep_2_202084.24 (0.2%)85.49 (0.2%)85.62 (0.3%) 85.41 85.3(0%)86.93(2.96%)84.27-87.210.9(1.5)2.1 0.1%0.3%0%0.18%1.5%751.5 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)7-10.2Uptrend 87.19(0.3%)86.45-87.511.03   0%-17.4% 
2Sep_1_202083.97 (0.2%)85.29 (0.2%)85.34 (-0.3%) 85.39 85.19(0%)84.43(-0.99%)83.92-85.80.8(0.3)-2.2 -0.3%0%0%0.2%1.6%701.5 Downtrend Reversal  Range(0.2%)8-20Uptrend Consolidation 84.32(-0.13%)84.16-84.796.49   -1.6%-14.1% 
3Aug_31_202083.84 (0.4%)85.32 (0.2%)85.59 (-0%) 85.49 85.52(0%)85.27(-0.44%)85.14-85.931.1(0.8)-1.2 -0.1%0.1%0%0.3%1.8%871.5 Correction  Range(0.2%)9-0.90.1Uptrend Consolidation 85(-0.32%)84.72-85.827.56   -0.6%-15.2% 
4Aug_28_202083.7 (0.4%)85.27 (0.4%)85.62 (0.2%) 85.56 85.59(0%)85.65(-0.2%)84.91-85.881.2(1)2.3 0.1%0.3%0%0.38%1.9%911.6 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.5%)9-0.80.8Uptrend 86.3(0.76%)85.31-86.725.83   -0.2%-15.7% 
5Aug_27_202083.44 (0.4%)85.07 (0.4%)85.49 (0.2%) 85.47 85.46(0%)85.82(0.33%)85.08-86.161.2(1.2)2.6 0.1%0.3%0%0.42%2%911.7 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)9-0.20.7Uptrend 86.58(0.89%)85.4-87.096.17   0%-15.9% 
 
6Aug_26_202083.1 (0.4%)84.84 (0.4%)85.33 (0.1%) 85.28 85.54(0%)85.54(-0.16%)84.66-85.681.3(1.2)2.9 0.1%0.3%0%0.46%2.1%901.8 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.5%)10-0.21.3Uptrend 86.4(1.01%)85.1-86.967.17   -0.2%-15.6% 
7Aug_25_202082.8 (0.4%)84.57 (0.4%)85.23 (0.3%) 85.18 85.49(0%)85.68(0.3%)85.2-86.31.4(1.4)2.5 0.4%0.5%0%0.46%2.1%821.8 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.9%)100.61.6Uptrend 86.54(1%)85.18-87.119.77   0%-15.8% 
8Aug_24_202082.5 (0.4%)84.11 (0.4%)85 (0.2%) 84.97 85.01(0%)85.42(0.52%)84.48-85.471.4(1.4)0.5 0.2%0.5%0%0.44%2%801.8 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.7%)100.71.7Uptrend 86.2(0.91%)84.92-86.757.24   0%-15.4% 
9Aug_21_202082.17 (0.4%)83.68 (0.4%)84.87 (0.4%) 84.82 84.86(0%)84.98(-0.06%)84.12-85.181.5(1.2)1 0.1%0.5%0%0.42%1.8%671.9 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.6%)91.21.7Uptrend 85.8(0.97%)84.45-86.396.48   -0.1%-14.8% 
10Aug_20_202081.79 (0.4%)83.29 (0.4%)84.57 (0.4%) 84.74 84.93(0%)85.03(0%)84.39-85.311.7(1.4)1.8 0.3%0.5%0%0.38%1.8%771.9 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.8%)81.61.5The Top 85.39(0.42%)83.42-86.996.08   0%-14.9% 
 
11Aug_19_202081.44 (0.4%)82.89 (0.4%)84.27 (0.6%) 84.42 84.77(0%)85.03(0.56%)84.56-85.711.8(1.6)2.8 0.4%0.4%0%0.4%1.8%801.9 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.8%)721.6Uptrend 85.71(0.8%)84.33-86.36.59   0%-14.9% 
12Aug_18_202081.12 (0.2%)82.54 (0.4%)83.8 (0.9%) 83.88 84.55(0%)84.56(-0.24%)83.77-85.011.8(1.6)3.7 0.7%0.4%0%0.38%1.8%761.7 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.2%)71.51.6Uptrend 85.22(0.78%)83.96-85.766.19   -0.2%-14.2% 
13Aug_17_202080.82 (0.2%)82.23 (0.4%)83.07 (0.9%) 83.26 84.07(0%)84.76(1.53%)84.01-85.181.7(2)2.8 1%0.3%0%0.34%1.7%741.6 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.3%)71.91.8Uptrend 85.24(0.57%)84-85.788.28   0%-14.5% 
14Aug_14_202080.54 (0.2%)81.97 (0.4%)82.3 (0.6%) 82.45 83.21(0%)83.48(-0.07%)83.17-84.431.5(1.7)1.7 0.8%0.4%0%0.32%1.8%741.4 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.2%)71.11.8After Top 83.42(-0.07%)81.88-84.687.05   -0.1%-12.8% 
15Aug_13_202080.34 (0.2%)81.65 (0.4%)81.81 (0.6%) 81.76 82.45(0%)83.54(1.04%)82.01-83.631.3(2)3.2 0.8%0.5%0%0.32%1.6%791.3 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.3%)71.21.7Growing Uptrend 84.02(0.57%)82.96-84.287.11   0%-12.9% 
 
16Aug_12_202080.12 (0.2%)81.19 (0.4%)81.31 (0.3%) 81.24 81.68(0%)82.68(2.19%)81.34-82.911.1(1.8)2.2 0.5%0.4%0%0.3%1.3%701.2 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.9%)70.11.5Uptrend 82.94(0.32%)82.21-83.266.94   -0.3%-11.7% 
17Aug_11_202079.95 (0.2%)80.86 (0.4%)81.11 (-0.2%) 81.07 81.08(0%)80.91(0%)80.63-81.871(0.7)-0.3 0.1%0.1%0%0.28%1.1%611.1 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)7-0.61.3Uptrend 81.18(0.33%)80.71-81.387.28   -2.4%-9.3% 
18Aug_10_202079.82 (0.2%)80.75 (0.4%)81.26 (-0.4%) 81.2 80.8(0%)80.91(-0.14%)80.3-81.211.2(0.8)-1 -0.3%0.2%0%0.32%1.2%601.1 Correction  Range(-0%)7-1.31.6Uptrend 81.24(0.41%)80.7-81.485.52   -2.4%-9.3% 
19Aug_7_202079.65 (0.2%)80.57 (0.4%)81.58 (0.2%) 81.46 81.06(0%)81.02(-0.04%)80.03-81.021.5(0.9)-0.4 -0.5%0.4%0%0.36%1.2%571.2 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(-0.1%)7-11.6Growing Uptrend 81.53(0.63%)80.83-81.716.66   -2.3%-9.5% 
20Aug_6_202079.44 (0.2%)80.2 (0.4%)81.43 (0.5%) 81.93 81.6(0%)81.05(-0.72%)80.58-82.391.7(1)0.1 %0.3%0%0.3%1%551.3 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.7%)7-11.6Growing Uptrend 81.5(0.56%)80.77-81.696.92   -2.2%-9.5% 
 
21Aug_5_202079.22 (0.2%)79.91 (0.2%)81.02 (0.6%) 81.69 81.87(0%)81.64(-0.04%)81.15-82.471.7(1.6)2.3 0.2%0.3%0%0.22%0.9%591.2 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.5%)70.11.6Growing Uptrend 81.93(0.36%)81.21-82.116.2   -1.5%-10.3% 
22Aug_4_202079.03 (0.2%)79.62 (0.2%)80.56 (0.5%) 80.89 82.26(0%)81.67(-1.05%)81.07-82.551.6(1.9)1.4 0.8%0.3%0%0.16%0.7%591.1 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.6%)60.61.5Growing Uptrend 81.87(0.24%)81.19-82.046.82   -1.5%-10.3% 
23Aug_3_202078.87 (0.2%)79.32 (0.2%)80.16 (0.9%) 80.25 81.51(0%)82.54(2.87%)81.86-83.81.4(2.8)1.9 1.7%0.4%0%0.14%0.6%681 Breakout  Higher(2.1%)51.81.6Growing Uptrend 82.67(0.16%)81.86-82.8810.11   -0.4%-11.5% 
24Jul_31_202078.7 (0.2%)78.96 (0%)79.44 (0.8%) 79.49 79.53(0%)80.24(1.58%)79.15-81.680.9(1.5)2.1 0.8%0.1%0%0.1%0.3%650.8 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.9%)501.7Uptrend 80.3(0.08%)79.95-80.4511.74   -3.2%-8.4% 
25Jul_30_202078.61 (0.2%)78.9 (0%)78.81 (0.2%) 78.82 78.99(0%)78.99(-0.45%)77.63-79.280.5(0.4)1.1 -0.1%-0%0%0.08%0.4%640.8 N/A  Range(0.1%)5-0.61.7Uptrend 79.07(0.1%)78.92-79.136.81   -4.7%-6.7% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
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Fast Hourly
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CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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