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     Tue. Jun. 30, 2020

Trading Signals: MRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Mon. May. 17, 2021)

(Merck)

MRK latest price $77.3300 (1.59%) ($76.2000 - $77.6600) on Tue. Jun. 30, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Narrative  Breakdown
Price Pattern  Downtrend Pop
Average Daily Price Swing  $2.74 (3.51% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  2.13% (three month average)
Moving Force
(Hourly Trend Force)
  -59.92%
Trend Force  -1.9%
RSI   38
Momentum  1.6
Latest Price   $77.3300(1.59%)
Forecasted Low Price  -104.42(-235.03%)
Forecasted High Price  -103.6(-233.97%)
Direction of Next Movement  Solid DownMove(-234.5%)
Bullish Probability  10%
Short-term volatility hourly trend  Equity Bullish (-60)
Mid-term volatility hourly trend  Equity Bullish (-60)
Risk Appetite   (0)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  6
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  MRK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  MRK declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support MRK advance at 0.1% a week (52% probability)
  XLV(68%)    SPLV(52%)    DIA(46%)    IVE(44%)    VYM(44%)  
Factors Impacting MRK price  MRK will decline at least -1.065% in a week (22% probabilities).
  VXX(-30%)    VIXM(-23%)    SHY(-17%)    TLT(-15%)    FEX(-12%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Short the breakdown
 
Valuation to SPY   1.2
 
Relative Volatility   1.1 (options are expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.965% (StdDev 2.13%)
Hourly BBV   1.9 ()
Intraday Trend   0.8%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $77.64(0.4%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $72.38(-6.4%)
Inflection Point  Yes
Resistance Level  $78.01
5 Day Moving Average  $76.22(1.46%)
10 Day Moving Average  $76.53(1.05%)
20 Day Moving Average  $78.01(-0.87%)
To recent high  -7.9%
To recent low  4.8%
Market Cap  $195.581b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Thu. Jul. 29, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price  $92.60 ($84.00 - $107.00)
  15 analysts (last updated on Mon. Jun. 29, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  19.75%
% to Low Target Price  8.63%
% to High Target Price  38.37%
 
 


Merck & Co., Inc. engages in the provision of health solutions through its prescription medicines, vaccines, biologic therapies, animal health, and consumer care products. It operates through the following segments: Pharmaceutical, Animal Health, Healthcare Services, and Alliances. The Pharmaceutical segment includes human health pharmaceutical and vaccine products. The Animal Health segment discovers, develops, manufactures, and markets animal health products, such as pharmaceutical and vaccine products, for the prevention, treatment and control of disease in livestock and companion animal species, which it sells to veterinarians, distributors, and animal producers. The Healthcare Services segment offers services and solutions that focus on engagement, health analytics, and clinical services to improve the value of care delivered to patients. The Alliances segment includes results from the Company's relationship with AstraZeneca LP related to sales of Nexium and Prilosec. The company was founded in 1891 and is headquartered in Kenilworth, NJ.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. MRK price fluctuates within 3.51% (three month std-dev: 2.13%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. MRK price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200730

iDateema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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BBVRSITrendPatternVIXCD
1Jun_30_202078.0176.5376.22 76.12 76.3977.33(1.59%)9.47    -234.5% -235%--234% 10% Solid DownMove-91.98%0%-1.9%2.13%1.1-0.238 Breakdown Downtrend Pop0.3
2Jun_29_202078.1876.4876.17 75.91 75.7376.12(1.24%)6.9    -234.6% -235.1%--234% 10% Solid DownMove-92%0%-2.2%2.3%0.6-0.834 Breakdown Downtrend Pop-0.2
3Jun_26_202078.3576.376.3 76.36 75.8575.19(-1.8%)11.81    -234.6% -235.2%--234% 10% Solid DownMove-92.01%0%-2.6%2.32%-0.3-1.230 Breakdown N/A-0.9
4Jun_25_202078.6476.4276.84 76.71 76.0876.57(0.92%)7.15    -234.5% -235.1%--233.9% 10% Solid DownMove-91.98%0%-2.8%2.5%0.3-0.834 Breakdown Downtrend Pop-0.3
5Jun_24_202078.7776.4976.77 76.85 76.8775.87(-1.62%)7.71    -234.5% -235.2%--233.9% 10% Solid DownMove-91.99%0%-2.9%2.5%0-1.135 Breakdown Downtrend Pop-0.7
 
6Jun_23_202078.8877.0376.86 76.83 77.3577.12(0.48%)10.9    -234.6% -235.2%--234% 10% Solid DownMove-92.02%0%-2.3%2.53%-0.7-0.736 Breakdown N/A-0
7Jun_22_202078.9177.576.83 76.44 76.8276.75(-1.48%)7.13    -234.6% -235.3%--233.9% 10% Solid DownMove-92.01%0%-1.8%2.69%-0.4-0.840 Breakdown N/A-0.2
8Jun_19_202078.9278.0776.28 76.31 76.377.9(2.2%)16.88    -234.5% -235.1%--233.8% 10% Solid DownMove-91.96%0%-1.1%2.68%2.4-0.447 Breakdown Downtrend Pop-0.8
9Jun_18_202078.8778.4775.96 75.67 76.0576.22(-0.09%)7.32    -234.5% -235.2%--233.9% 10% Solid DownMove-91.99%0%-0.5%2.67%0.3-139 Breakdown Downtrend Pop-0.7
10Jun_17_202078.937976.19 75.78 76.3376.29(-0.88%)13.31    -234.6% -235.2%--233.9% 10% Solid DownMove-92%0%0.1%2.72%-0-145 Breakdown N/A-0.9
 
11Jun_16_202079.0179.5877.28 76.35 75.2976.97(3.99%)20.44    -234.6% -235.3%--233.9% 10% Solid DownMove-92.01%0%0.7%2.83%0.1-0.851 Breakdown Downtrend Pop-1
12Jun_15_202079.1679.9978.34 77.7 75.2374.02(-2.99%)16.82    -234.6% -235.4%--233.9% 10% Solid DownMove-92.02%0%1.1%3.01%-0-245 Breakdown N/A-1.3
13Jun_12_202079.4780.6380.12 79.86 77.476.3(-1.36%)16.22    -234.6% -235.3%--233.8% 10% Solid DownMove-92%0%1.5%3.01%0.1-1.454 Breakdown Downtrend Pop-1.4
14Jun_11_202079.6781.1281.31 81.45 80.1677.35(-5.41%)13.72    -234.6% -235.4%--233.9% 10% Solid DownMove-92.03%0%1.8%3.1%-0.4-1.157 Breakdown N/A-2.6
15Jun_10_202079.7281.3682.15 82.43 82.3181.77(-0.6%)8.66    -234.6% -235.3%--233.8% 10% Solid DownMove-92%0%2.1%3.05%-0.3172 Breakdown N/A0.9
 
16Jun_9_202079.4980.9782.21 82.33 82.7482.26(-0.77%)8.44    -234.6% -235.4%--233.8% 10% Solid DownMove-92.01%0%1.9%3.09%-0.91.370 Breakdown N/A1
17Jun_8_202079.2780.4981.92 82.09 82.5682.9(0.78%)9.5    -234.6% -235.3%--233.8% 10% Solid DownMove-92%0%1.5%3.13%0.11.860 Breakdown Downtrend Pop1.6
18Jun_5_202078.9479.8481.25 81.48 81.9282.26(0.87%)9.93    -234.6% -235.4%--233.8% 10% Solid DownMove-92.01%0%1.1%3.13%-0.21.757 Breakdown N/A2
19Jun_4_202078.679.2780.95 80.78 81.6481.55(-0.62%)8.86    -234.5% -235.3%--233.8% 10% Solid DownMove-91.99%0%0.9%3.13%0.11.654 Breakdown Downtrend Pop1.6
20Jun_3_202078.3778.880.44 80.29 81.0582.06(1.51%)13.04    -234.6% 0%-0% 10% Solid DownMove-92%0%0.5%3.19%02.164 Breakdown Overbought1.7
 
21Jun_2_202078.1578.3279.54 79.66 79.9180.84(1.61%)11.16    -234.7% 0.1%--92% 10% Solid DownMove-91.99%-0.06%0.2%3.2%0.81.863 Breakdown Overbought1.3
22Jun_1_202077.9478.1678.83 78.87 79.5279.56(-1.44%)5.98    -234.6% -235.4%--233.7% 10% Solid DownMove-92%0%0.3%3.24%-0.11.256 Breakdown N/A1
23May_29_202077.8378.1578.19 78.38 79.4180.72(2.13%)12.82    -236.3% 0.7%--92% 10% Solid DownMove-91.96%-0.72%0.4%3.26%1.12.166 Breakdown Overbought1.3
24May_28_202077.7478.0377.35 77.61 78.2179.04(1.92%)11.33    -234.6% -235.4%--233.7% 10% Solid DownMove-92%0%0.4%3.27%-0.21.165 Breakdown N/A0.9
25May_27_202077.877.9176.92 76.91 77.3677.55(0.38%)12.24    -234.5% -235.4%--233.7% 10% Solid DownMove-91.99%0%0.1%3.27%1-0.253 Breakdown Downtrend Pop1.5
iDateema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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